The betting weekend

Play, action or pass Week 8: NFL gambling plays

The Browns passed on Deshaun Watson (above) and Carson Wentz. Bob Levey/Getty Images

Setting Trends:

A trend is a general direction in which something is developing or changing. Usually, when you set them, it's because something was done successfully and others try to replicate it. So, what do we think the success of Carson Wentz and Deshaun Watson does for teams desperately needing a Quarterback? Both of these teams, traded, what experts say was"too much."

The Eagles traded a  first-, third- and a fourth-round pick in 2016, a first-round pick in '17 and a second-round pick in '18 in order to draft Wentz and a conditional fourth-round pick.

Browns received the 8th pick, which was traded to Tennesee (Jack Conklin). A third-round pick also traded to Carolina (Daryl Worley) A fourth-round pick traded to Oakland (Connor Cook). Also, add in a first round pick in 2017 and 2018.

After the dust settled and the Browns made more moves they ended up with these nine players:

QB DeShone Kizer

QB Cody Kessler

WR Corey Coleman

WR Jordan Payton

OT Shon Coleman

WR Ricardo Louis

S Derrick Kindred

S Jabrill Peppers

OG/OT Spencer Drango

Houston's first-round pick in 2018

Philadelphia's second-round pick in 2018

That's a lot of players, but who on that list has the ceiling of Carson Wentz?

Let's look at what the Texans did to get Watson:

Texans swapped first rounds picks and gave up the first round in 2018. A draft in which they have previously traded the rights to the second round pick next year, this was an all-in type of move by a Franchise desperately needing a sense of direction from a winning mentality quarterback. There is plenty of football to be played, and these careers are young, but you have to think that these guys have all the tools to lead a franchise in the right direction. The Browns drafted safety Jabrill Peppers out of Michigan with the 25th pick.

OH CLEVELAND....

With quarterbacks like Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold (says he may return his senior year), and Josh Allen coming into the picture in next year's 83rd edition of the NFL draft in Arlington Texas, do teams make a big move to get one of these guys?

Not all trends are good to follow and risking for a quarterback that may not be the future can set a franchise back years. Similar to the trend of skinny jeans, which set society back a few years. Not all trends are good trends.

On to betting. Off to a 4-1-1 start in week 7. Let's  jump right in and keep searching for angles. A wise man once told me, "The best bet, sometimes, is no bet." So with that thought, be selective, be confident and never chase.

Teams receiving the most action:

Falcons      68%

Cowboys   67%

Eagles        65%

Chiefs        65%

Plays

Bengals -9.5: Cincinnati dropped to 2-4 straight up and 3-3 ATS last week vs. the Steelers. In a game they scored 14 points in the first half, they scored as many as you and I did in the second, zero! The Colts are also coming off an embarrassing performance getting beat 27-0. The Bengals are in desperate need of a win, as they travel for three straight weeks after this game. The Colts are giving up a season-high 31.3 points per game and have been outscored 128-49 away from Lucas Oil Field. Look for a solid game from Joe Mixon as the Colts are giving up 124 yards rushing per game. In a game that on paper presents a matchup between the 29th ranked offense in Cincinnati vs. the 32nd ranked defense. Going up against a team like the Colts is precisely what the Bengals need to gain momentum before hitting the road.

Saints-9: New Orleans is gaining momentum on both sides of the ball at the perfect time. The Saints are on a four-game winning streak, and much has to do with the 37-year-old Drew Brees and his 100.4 passer rating. In an offseason that puzzled people with the addition of Adrian Peterson to an already crowded backfield in a heavy pass offense, things are finally gaining clarity in the running back rotation. Since the departure of Peterson, Ingram has run for 219 yards and three scores in 2 games. The Bears numbers are indeed deceiving. Mitchell Trubisky has attempted 23 pass attempts in his last two games, both resulting in wins. It's not that the Bears have a strong running game and shutdown defense either, it more sits on the trust Head Coach John Fox has in the rookie's ability to read defenses. When led by Glennon, the Bears scored eight touchdowns in four games. While Trubisky has led, four touchdown drives in three games. So has there really been an upgrade? I believe it was more of a matter of the fans calling for this move to be made sooner than later. I expect the Saints to score in the lower 30's in this game and just don't see Trubisky being able to keep up. Brees has been sacked the least amount of times this year by a substantial amount and although the Bears are ninth in pass defense, time in the pocket will be a factor.

Action:

Cowboys vs. Redskins over 48

Seahawks -5.5

Steelers-2.5

Carolina+2.5(buy the hook +3)

Teaser of the Week :

Saints-3/Waskington+8

Pass:

New England -7.5

With the money coming in evenly on both sides, I genuinely want to take the Chargers. Although the New England defense has looked better allowing less than 17 points in the last three weeks, they've turned to a bend not break scheme to mask the holes they have. Last week the Falcons were in the Red Zone 4 times and came out with 0 points. Just look at the disrespect in last weeks game by the Falcons coaching staff by going for it on 4th down in the first quarter, no respect for that defense. Look for the Chargers to keep it close but Ill pass.

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.

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Houston dropped two of three

Astros drop series finale to Oakland, A's win series

Jose Urquidy couldn't hold Oakland back on Saturday. Photo by Hannah Foslien/Getty Images

With Oakland finally ending their drought against the Astros on Friday night to split the first two games of the series, and with the Angels staying in step with them as both teams started the day 6-2, the Astros needed a win to keep momentum in their favor on Saturday.

Instead, Oakland would outslug Houston once again to take the series finale and take the series win. The loss moves Houston to 6-3 and down to second place, at least for now, until the 6-2 Angels complete their game on Saturday evening.

Final Score: A's 7, Astros 3

Astros' Record: 6-3, second in AL West

Winning Pitcher: Frankie Montas (1-1)

Losing Pitcher: Jose Urquidy (0-1)

Urquidy gives up four over six

Much like the night before, Oakland was able to bring in runs against Houston's starter, this time Jose Urquidy, Saturday afternoon in their second time through the order. Their first time through, Urquidy was cruising, allowing just one baserunner in the first three innings on a single in the top of the third.

Things shifted in the top of the fourth, with the A's getting back-to-back singles to set the stage for a two-run frame with dual RBI-singles to take a 2-0 lead. Oakland doubled that in the fifth, getting a two-out single to set up a two-run homer by Ramon Laureano to make it 4-0. Urquidy would go on to finish six innings, but with no run support to that point, would leave in line for the loss. His final line: 6.0 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 0 BB, 7 K, 93 P.

A's pad their lead before Houston gets on the board

Meanwhile, although getting five hits, the Astros could not get anything on the board against Frankie Montas through six innings. Brandon Bielak took over out of the bullpen for Urquidy in the top of the seventh, but after loading the bases, he would allow a dagger two-RBI single to make it a 6-0 deficit for Houston.

With Montas starting the seventh looking to face a batter or two before Oakland moved to their bullpen, Kyle Tucker would finally get Houston on the board with a leadoff solo home run, cutting the lead to 6-1 and ending Montas' day. Houston would get a two-out rally going, with an RBI-double by Jose Altuve followed by an RBI-triple by Michael Brantley to make it a three-run game at 6-3.

Oakland takes the series win

Ryne Stanek tried to keep it a three-run game and give the Astros a chance to stay in it in the top of the eighth but instead would give up a two-out solo home run to push Oakland's lead back to four. That 7-3 score would go final as Houston would go scoreless in the eighth and ninth.

Up Next: Houston will have a day off on Sunday before continuing this homestand Monday night by welcoming in Detroit and former manager A.J. Hinch for three games. In the series opener, the Tigers will send young star Casey Mize (0-0, 2.25 ERA) to the mound, while the Astros will get another start by Zack Greinke (1-0, 1.38 ERA).

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