The Pallilog

Postseason advantage goes to Cowboys over Texans

Jason Garret and the Cowboys are a game away from the NFC title game. Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

Since the Texans entered the NFL, they have produced the less than grand total of three playoff wins.

Since the Texans entered the NFL, the Dallas Cowboys have produced three playoff wins.

Advantage Cowboys, for the moment at least. While the Texans this weekend perhaps dream about receiving their AFC South championship rings, the Cowboys dream of upsetting the Rams Saturday in Los Angeles and reaching their first NFC Championship game since the 1995 season. Of course the Cowboys have a chance (they're seven point underdogs).

Stats can be more deceiving in the NFL than in the other major sports because teams only play 16 games. But…the Cowboys' Ezekiel Elliott was the NFL's leading rusher this season. Nothing deceiving about that, Elliott is outstanding. One guess as to which team ranked dead last in the NFL this season in yards allowed per carry. Kind of a leading question, so right you are! The Rams allowed 5.1 yards per carry.

Here's the stats can be deceiving part. In going 13-3, the Rams were ahead, a lot. When facing teams trying to come from behind against you, your defense is concerned even more than usual with defending the pass and preventing big plays. That can make a defense susceptible to some runs. To what extent that impacted the Rams stats? I haven't done a deep dive on that. But you know Elliott is going to be fed the ball a lot Saturday.

The Rams are rightful favorites, as are the Saints over the Eagles. But I put it at about 40% that next week at least one NFC East team is playing for a trip to Super Bowl LIII.

With most Texans thinking: How 'Bout NOT Them Cowboys.

Mediocre, thy name is Texans

In the Texans 17 seasons, they still have yet to legitimately contend for a significant title. Winning a four team Division five times in eight years is nice little achievement, though anyone proudly wearing a 2018 AFC South champion shirt these days: Weak!

Recovering from an 0-3 start to make the playoffs isn't a throwaway, but twice within a month the Colts slapped the Texans at NRG Stadium. In the end that defines the Texans' season more so than does an 11-5 record built largely off of a marshmallow schedule.

Hubbed by Deshaun Watson, who picked a lousy time for a lousy game throwing the ball, the Texans are in a good position going forward. It's not as if their offensive line can get worse. The o-line and the secondary need major work this offseason. But as opposed to last year, the Texans are equipped with their first round draft choice, and two second rounders, and are among the top 10 teams in salary cap space. Big problem: the Colts also have a one and two twos, and they are number one in cap space.

Texans' General Manager Brian Gaine better nail it over these next several months, or the Texans could face another era of mostly breathing Indy exhaust fumes.

Beard vs. the Freak

James Harden's run of 14 consecutive 30+ point games as been phenomenally impressive. NBA rules and style of play are different, but this James Harden is the best offensive player in Rockets' history, in what really is now an easy call over Hakeem Olajuwon (Moses Malone third). OK, best regular season offensive player in Rockets history.

Harden is right back in the thick of the Most Valuable Player award race. That Harden is definitely again the NBA MVP, no way, as Giannis Antetokounmpo forcefully demonstrated Wednesday night in his Bucks' win at Toyota Center. But if Harden gets it again, check the membership list of the club he'd join as a back-to-back MVP winner: Russell, Chamberlain, Kareem, Moses, Larry, Magic, Michael, Duncan, Nash, LeBron, Curry.

Antetokounmpo turned 24 years old just last month. The "Greek Freak" has carried the Bucks into the weekend with the NBA's best record (29-11). The guy still has no outside shot, sub-wretched 16 percent 3-point shooting this season, but he's still nearly as unguardable as Harden at 26.6 points per game on 58% field goal shooting. He's also averaging almost 13 rebounds per game, and six assists per. And is a versatile defensive force.

Spring fling

Just over a month to the Astros opening the doors at Spring Training. Caesar's this week posted the first bettable over/under 2019 win total numbers. The Astros have the highest number in MLB at 97 ½, 14 higher than second in the AL West (Angels). Last season the 103 win Stros cruised over their number which was 96 ½.

Buzzer Beaters

1. Tom Brady and Philip Rivers have started in the same game seven times. The Patriots are 7-0. 2. The Chiefs this week hit the 25th anniversary of their last home playoff win. 0-6 since. 3. Top 3 picks in a draft of all current NBA players: Bronze-Joel Embiid Silver-Anthony Davis Gold-Giannis Antetokounmpo

WATSON HAS TO BE ON POINT

Week 11 fantasy football rankings: Call your shot

Deshaun Watson was magical in the win. Brett Carlsen/Getty Images

These are my very early ranks, so keep in mind I post these on Thursday. Make sure you check the injury report on Sunday for players that have missed practice. If it doesn't look like a player will play this week, I typically won't rank him. Keep in mind, these are PPR rankings, and don't forget to set your lineup for Thursday Night Football.

If you have any questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter. Be sure to check out my show MoneyLine with Jerry Bo on ESPN 97.5FM. We're on every Sunday morning from 10-noon, and we'll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling getting you ready for kickoff every Sunday.

@JoshJordan975

@Moneyline975

@JerryBoKnowz

QB

Photo via: Raiders/Facebook

1 Lamar Jackson

2 Patrick Mahomes

3 Drew Brees

4 Dak Prescott

5 Deshaun Watson

6 Josh Allen

7 Jimmy Garoppolo

8 Derek Carr

9 Tom Brady

10 Philip Rivers

11 Matt Ryan

12 Jameis Winston

13 Kirk Cousins

14 Carson Wentz

15 Kyle Allen

RB

Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

1 Christian McCaffrey

2 Ezekiel Elliott

3 Dalvin Cook

4 Melvin Gordon

5 Josh Jacobs

6 Alvin Kamara

7 Leonard Fournette

8 James Conner

9 Le'Veon Bell

10 Tevin Coleman

11 Mark Ingram

12 Nick Chubb

13 Damien Williams

14 Austin Ekeler

15 James White

16 Devin Singletary

17 Brian Hill

18 Todd Gurley

19 Marlon Mack

20 Ronald Jones

21 Joe Mixon

22 Phillip Lindsay

23 Kenyan Drake

24 Jordan Howard

25 David Montgomery

26 JD McKissic

27 Miles Sanders

28 Tarek Cohen

29 Kareem Hunt

30 Royce Freeman

*I'm done with David Johnson until he proves he's healthy.

WR

Bob Levey/Getty Images

1 Michael Thomas

2 Tyreek Hill

3 Julio Jones

4 Amari Cooper

5 Mike Evans

6 Julian Edelman

7 Chris Godwin

8 DeAndre Hopkins

9 Cooper Kupp

10 D.J. Moore

11 Keenan Allen

12 D.J. Chark

13 John Brown

14 Robert Woods

15 Marquise Brown

16 Kenny Golladay

17 Odell Beckham

18 Michael Gallup

19 Tyrell Williams

20 Stefon Diggs

21 Courtland Sutton

22 Jamison Crowder

23 Jarvis Landry

24 Christian Kirk

25 Curtis Samuel

26 Deebo Samuel

27 Sammy Watkins

28 JuJu Smith-Schuster

29 Calvin Ridley

30 Allen Robinson

31 Tyler Boyd

32 Dede Westbrook

33 Terry McLaurin

34 Mike Williams

35 Marvin Jones

36 Mohamed Sanu

*I'm assuming Emmanuel Sanders won't play, but we'll have to see if he's active. He's a risk/reward low-end No.2 fantasy receiver for me this week.

TE

1 Travis Kelce

2 Hunter Henry

3 Darren Waller

4 Mark Andrews

5 Zach Ertz

6 Greg Olsen

7 Jared Cook

8 Gerald Everett

9 Eric Ebron

10 OJ Howard

11 Jason Witten

12 Jack Doyle

13 T.J. Hockenson

14 Dallas Goedert

15 David Fells

DEF

1 Rams

2 Bills

3 Vikings

4 Cowboys

5 Steelers

6 Patriots

7 Bears

8 49ers

9 Raiders

10 Saints

11 Jets

12 Jaguars

KICKER

1 Justin Tucker

2 Harrison Butker

3 Wil Lutz

4 Greg Zuerlein

5 Joey Slye

6 Michael Badgley

7 Dan Bailey

8 Brett Maher

9 Zane Gonzalez

10 Matt Prater

11 Ka'imi Fairbairn

12 Nick Folk

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