PLAYING THE PONIES

Sam Houston Race Park selections for Saturday, Feb. 29

Horses leave the gate at Sam Houston Race Park
Courtesy photo

Here are my selections for Saturday night at Sam Houston Race Park. These are not meant to be in exact order, but merely the four horses I think have the best chance to win. For beginners, I suggest exacta boxes with three horses, using two of mine and one of your own. And you can always pick up a copy of Acing Racing 2016 to learn everything you need to know. (These are the picks and format that are available on the free tip sheet at SHRP).

FIRST 

7-1-4-6
LAZER HESS needed last; could bounce back in a big way

SECOND
2-1-4-3
I'MABARNKAT will be a short price but looks tough


THIRD

5-7-4-1

NOVA NOTION has been second in three straight; might break through

FOURTH
7-2-9-8
LADY GWEN has a pair of nice efforts in Oklahoma; could surprise

FIFTH
9-8-3-1
BLUE DARTER needed last and should move forward here


SIXTH
8-6-7-1
ELLE'S TOWN has faced tough company; should be in the mix


SEVENTH
4-2-8-3
SHIRL'S READY nearly won last out; should move forward

EIGHTH
1-5-9-2
FRONT PAGE had a troubled race in last; priors put him right there

NINTH
3-2-4-7
TARUCA has been close and consistent; should be there

TENTH
5-10-3-4

JAZZ MUSIC should improve in second start after claim


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The Astros are going for the sweep! Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images.

The Houston Astros will go for the sweep Wednesday afternoon in Phoenix as they wrap up a three-game set against the Arizona Diamondbacks. With wins in the first two games of the series and three straight overall, the AL West-leading Astros are starting to find their rhythm again, and they’ll look to keep it going behind left-hander Brandon Walter.

Walter (1-3, 3.66 ERA) has been steady since joining the rotation, and he'll be tasked with keeping Arizona’s contact-heavy lineup in check. The Diamondbacks, sitting fourth in the NL West at 50-52, are hitting .253 as a team, fifth-best in the National League, but have struggled to string together wins at home, where they’re just 26-27.

Opposing Walter is right-hander Brandon Pfaadt, who enters with a 10-6 record and 4.74 ERA. He’s capable of missing bats but can be vulnerable to power, something the Astros lineup will try to exploit as they look to post at least eight hits for the fourth straight game. A mark that has typically led to success this season (39-19 when they reach it).

Houston will again lean on veterans like Jose Altuve and the red-hot Victor Caratini, who’s 13-for-36 over his last 10 games. Brice Matthews and Christian Walker have also sparked the offense in recent days, while the bullpen continues to deliver under pressure.

For Arizona, Josh Naylor and Eugenio Suárez have been the primary power threats of late, with Suárez clubbing eight home runs in his last 10 games. If the Diamondbacks want to avoid the sweep, they’ll need to capitalize on any early chances against Walter and match Houston’s timely hitting.

First pitch is set for 3:40 p.m. EDT.

Lineup takeaways

For the finale, you'll notice Cam Smith is not in the leadoff spot and playing right field. Smith gets the day off with Taylor Trammell hitting first and playing center field, followed by Victor Caratini, who is playing first base. Christian Walker is the DH and hitting third, followed by Yainer Diaz (C), Brice Matthews (2B), Mauricio Dubon (SS), Cooper Hummel (LF), Chas McCormick (RF), and Shay Whitcomb (3B). Jose Altuve's name is nowhere to be found. It seems like manager Joe Espada is happy with the series win based on this lineup.

 

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Astros -116, Diamondbacks -104; over/under is 8 1/2 runs

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