PLAYING THE PONIES
Sam Houston Race Park selections for Saturday, March 7
Mar 7, 2020, 6:07 am
Coady Photography
Here are my selections for Saturday night at Sam Houston Race Park. These are not meant to be in exact order, but merely the four horses I think have the best chance to win. For beginners, I suggest exacta boxes with three horses, using two of mine and one of your own. And you can always pick up a copy of Acing Racing 2016 to learn everything you need to know. (These are the picks and format that are available on the free tip sheet at SHRP).
FIRST
7-2-4-5
HIGH SPIRITS is in sharp form and could take this
SECOND
1-2-7-6
RB RICH LYKE ME rates a slim edge in a very talented group
THIRD
2-7-8-6
CYPRESS POINT stretches out off a strong effort and will be tough to catch
FOURTH
4-1-7-3
STALEMATE has not shown a lot but class drop should help
FIFTH
1-10-7-3
BRAZOS ANGEL was in tough in last; slim edge in wide open affair
SIXTH
2-4-1-6
SILVER CITY TRICK freaked in meet debut; could roll again
SEVENTH
7-6-2-1
DANCE KINGDOM drops in class and stretches out; worth a look
EIGHTH
1-3-5-7
GRADE ONE has a pair of sharp starts this meet and should be in the mix
NINTH
1-7-4-5
ADDED ATTRACTION has been in top form this meet
TENTH
9-10-8-2
CADDO FOX chased a nice one in debut and should be in the mix
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The Houston Texans head to Green Bay this weekend to play in one of the most highly anticipated matchups of the season.
On offense, the Texans will look to maintain the boost Joe Mixon and Dameon Pierce provided to the running game last week against the Patriots.
Despite Houston's success with the ground game against the Pats, there are some concerns. Most of the production came from two explosive runs. They ranked in the Bottom 5 in success rate (26.9%) and Top 10 in stuff rate (23.1%) amongst all teams in Week 6.
Despite the volume against New England, Houston's run game on Sunday:
Ranked Bottom 5 in success rate (26.9%) and Top 10 in stuff rate (23.1%) amongst all teams in Week 6.
Lots of inefficient runs with huge gains sprinkled in-between. Is that sustainable? #HTownMade
— John Crumpler (@JohnHCrumpler) October 15, 2024
Air it out
The passing game once again will go through Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs with Nico Collins sidelined. Dell received a large portion of the downfield work that Collins had been doing.
Tank posted the highest route win rate and average separation score for Houston in Week 6, per Jacob Gibbs, and Fantasy Points Data.
In what should be a high scoring game, expect Dell to be Stroud's main target downfield.
What about the defense?
The Texans defense is 30th in EPA against play action, so don't be surprised if that's how the Packers will try to get some big plays down field.
D'Angelo Ross stepped in at corner with Kamari Lassiter injured last week. He lined up at the left corner spot, where Packers receiver Christian Watson will likely run the majority of his routes this week.
With Derek Stingley lining up outside on the right, he'll be facing Romeo Doubs a majority of the time. We expect Doubs will have a quiet day and the Packers will target Watson against Ross, and Jayden Daniels in the slot versus Jalen Pitre.
Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans has been dialing up the blitz more and more. And that looks like a good idea once again this week, as Love is 28th in QBR when blitzed this season.
What does Vegas think?
The Packers are favored by 2.5 points, with the total set at 47.5 points.
There are so many more angles to cover in this exciting matchup. Don't miss the video above as we break it all down! And head to the SportsMap Texans YouTube channel right after the game as we react live!