The Pros and a Few Cons to adding the Triple Double Machine to the Rockets

Should the Rockets pursue Westbrook? Why or why not?

Russell Westbrook
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Last weekend when the Oklahoma City Thunder traded all-star Paul George, it signaled the end of an era and put the wheels in motion for the franchise to wave the white flag, hit the reset button and begin the tough process of starting over. Before they can move forward, however, there is still one big piece to move and that would be finding a trade partner or partners to consummate a trade for Russell Westbrook, their final remaining superstar. Say what you will about the passionate and outspoken former MVP, you can never question his ridiculous athleticism, incredible basketball abilities and the knack he has for overstuffing a stat sheet. After the initial shock felt around the basketball world when PG13 was sent packing, the rumors started flying about potential teams that might be interested in Westbrook and where he could end up when the smoke clears and GM Sam Presti has pulled the trigger on the last big deal of the summer of 2019. Miami, Minnesota, and Detroit were mentioned as the front runners to obtain the former MVP's services, but there was also a "long shot" mentioned in the Houston Rockets who are desperate for a big move that can catapult the team forward as it heads into next season.

Rockets Chris Paul , James Harden, Clint CapelaPhoto by Ronald Cortes/Getty Images

If you are the Rockets why would you try and trade for Westbrook? Well for starters he has a great relationship with James Harden dating back to their days playing together in OKC. The two have remained close and Harden would love to add a player of Russ's caliber to his Houston squad as they try and re-tool for another run at the Western Conference. Both train in Los Angeles in the offseason and they frequently scrimmage together with a full complement of other NBA players on the campus of UCLA. The bigger question when considering adding Westbrook to the Rockets is at what price is the franchise willing to pay? The city seems to be over the Chris Paul love affair and would prefer a divorce gets done before training camp starts instead of marriage counseling and attempting to rekindle the fire between the Beard and CP3. Would Sam Presti take Paul's remaining contract of 3 years and 125 million dollars remaining for Russ or would the deal require a third team? Would the Thunder be more inclined to consider Clint Capella, Eric Gordon, PJ Tucker, and draft picks instead? As a fan, which deal would you feel better about? On one hand, you have Harden, Westbrook and a full complement of quality secondary players around them or you get 3 future Hall of Famers, Austin Rivers, Danuel House, Gerald Green and a remaining roster comprised of free agents coming from a small pool of remaining available veterans.

Rockets Chris Paul James Harden, Heat Butler DragicComposite photo by Brandon Strange

Another reason the Rockets may pursue Westbrook is GM Daryl Morey is feeling the pressure of an owner in Tilman Fertitta who wants change and improvement and so far has seen little to make him feel good about achieving either with his teams' offseason activity to this point in the summer. Morey has wavered on his plan for next season, one day saying his team should be the favorite in the West next year because he has his entire starting lineup still intact while promising to add a quality free agent, then two days later swinging for the fences in trying to trade away three of his five starters in separate deals to stockpile first round picks in an attempt to bring in all-star Jimmy Butler in a blockbuster trade scenario. Morey can't get his story straight and the fans are getting restless, and no doubt so is the owner that has a deep desire to bring the Larry O'Brien trophy back to H-town after a 25-year absence. After all the optimism and hope the fans of Houston had heading into free agency, there is an overall feeling of despair and disappointment as time keeps on ticking on the Rockets future with every passing day and free agents keep signing everywhere but Houston. CEO Tad Brown promised fireworks this offseason with Fertitta at the helm, but unless he meant the show on July 4th that lit up the night sky of the Bayou City, so far we have seen nothing short of a few smoke bombs and a fizzling sparkler. Adding Russell Westbrook would be the kind of "Woj Bomb" that would allow the franchise and its GM to exhale while giving Fertitta, the city and its fanbase reason for optimism going forward.

Rockets Chris Paul, Tilman FertittaPhoto by Gene Sweeney Jr./Getty Images

So I've given you a few reasons why the Rockets should consider adding Westbrook, but what about a little reality check as to why they should pass on the point guard and move forward without him? For all Russ does well and believe me there are plenty of skills he has mastered, he is still a scorer and not a shooter. He shoots at a high volume, but at a lower than ideal percentage, especially from distance which is a prerequisite for being a Rockets player under coach Mike D' Antoni. He struggles to knock down the 3-ball while demanding the ball be in his hands for the majority of each possession his team has in any given game. Sound Familiar? Well it should, because no one has the ball in his hands more for his team on a night by night basis than Harden. Could the two co-exist on the court together, on the same team? Would there be enough balls to go around to make everyone happy? If Paul and Eric Gordon and Austin Rivers were frustrated at the end of last season with ball distribution what would they feel like if Westbrook was added to the mix? How would Russ feel and could he handle sharing the rock with Harden and deferring to him during crunch time? If he couldn't handle playing second fiddle to Kevin Durant, would he even consider trying it again with Harden? Sure trading for Russ would be a huge splash and garner a ton of publicity, but would it end up backfiring on the franchise when all that exposure turned negative the first time the Beard and his Brodie got sideways? The last thing anyone in this town wants is another chapter in what has been a soap opera of an off-season in H-town. Oh, by the way, did I mention that Russ is going to make 170 million dollars over the next 4 years? That might be the single biggest reason why not. If you thought CP3's contract was bad, do you really want to pay Westbrook over 47 million dollars in the final year of his deal at the age of 34?

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96 games down, 66 games to go as the Astros tackle a fairly significant series in Seattle to open up the figurative second half of the season Friday night. It’s actually just over 40 percent of the schedule remaining. With the Astros having closed within one game of the Mariners in the American League West it’s the biggest series possible for them as the season resumes. But it’s not remotely make or break. Measuring by run differential the Astros should already be out front. They have outscored their opponents by 49 runs while Seattle is just plus-19. The actual standings can be explained in no small part by this comparison: in one-run games the Astros are a pitiful 7-17 while the Mariners are 19-14.

The spectrum of outcomes this weekend ranges from the Astros sweeping and leaving the Emerald City two games on top, to getting swept and heading down the coast to Oakland four games behind. Of note, the Mariners beat the Astros in five of the seven meetings to date this season. So if Seattle wins this series it clinches the season series and playoff tiebreaker should a spot come down to it. The Astros and Mariners have another series to come after this one, three games in Houston the final week of the regular season.

Trade deadline looming

What may be even more important than this weekend’s games is who gets what done between now and the July 30 trade deadline. With Justin Verlander clearly not close to returning, Spencer Arrighetti and Jake Bloss both performance question marks, and both Ronel Blanco and Hunter Brown being asked to handle unprecedented workloads for them, the Astros’ rotation needs obvious fortification. The Mariners’ rotation is second to none in the American League and their bullpen is good. Seattle’s lineup is atrocious. The Chicago White Sox are on pace to be one of the worst teams of all-time. The ChiSox’ offense is a joke with a team batting average of .220. The Mariners’ team average is .219. Only the White Sox and pathetic Marlins are scoring fewer runs per game than the M’s.

The Mariners have 11 players with at least 100 at bats this season. Eight of them have an OPS of .690 or lower. Cal Raleigh has the highest at .734. The Astros have 12 guys with at least 100 at bats including Jose Abreu. Abreu, Chas McCormick, and Mauricio Dubon are the only .690 or worse OPS guys. Kyle Tucker is the Astros’ OPS leader by a significant margin, .979 to Yordan Alvarez’s .912. What’s that you ask? Who is this Kyle Tucker? 35 missed games and counting for “Tuck” with his leg bone bruise, with return not imminent. T-Mobile Park is a notably better pitchers’ park than is Minute Maid Park, but not enough to shrug off the Mariners’ offensive ineptitude. The Mariners team payroll is more than 100 million dollars below the Astros’ payroll. The Mariners have the clearly better farm system from which to deal. If Seattle doesn’t add offense, its ownership and front office will deserve a continued fade in the second half, on top of the Mariners’ 8-15 gimp into the All-Star break.

Don't forget about the Rangers

With the Astros and Mariners going at it this weekend with the division lead in the balance, a reminder that this is not a two-team race. The Texas Rangers rallying to take the final two games at Minute Maid Park last weekend sent up a flare that the reigning World Series Champions are definitely still in the picture. The Rangers sit four games behind the Astros, five back of the Mariners. If the Rangers manage to win their series in Arlington with the Orioles this weekend, they are guaranteed to gain ground on at least one team ahead of them. The Astros-Rangers season series sits tied at five wins apiece with three games left, it will be decided in Arlington the first week of August. The Rangers and Mariners play seven more times.

In broader view, as measured by opponents’ records, the Astros have the toughest remaining schedule among the three. Among the 30 big league clubs the Rangers have the fourth easiest slate left, the Mariners have the fifth easiest, the Astros have the 15th easiest. If the Astros ultimately are not to win the West, there is the Wild Card race to keep in mind. The Astros are seven games behind the Yankees, four behind the Twins, and three and a half back of the Red Sox. Those three currently hold the Wild Card spots. The Astros are also a game and a half behind the Royals. The Astros have already lost the season series and tiebreakers to the Yankees, Twins, and Royals. The Astros and Red Sox have all six of their meetings yet to come.

Remembering Ken Hoffman

This is my first column since the passing last Sunday of my friend and eventual colleague Ken Hoffman. I originally learned of Ken’s quirkiness and wit through his columns at the Houston Post. He was a big sports fan. Our friendship was driven in part by our shared passion for tennis. We played probably more than a thousand times over nearly 20 years. Tennis and baseball were Ken’s two favorite sports. His two favorite athletes were Roger Federer and Jose Altuve. Well, after he and his wife Erin’s son Andrew, who was a pitcher on Trinity University’s 2016 NCAA Division Three national championship-winning team.

*Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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