THE PALLILOG

Texans path to securing top pick in draft is becoming clear

Texans path to securing top pick in draft is becoming clear
The Texans need to keep losing and get some help from Detroit. Composite image by Jack Brame.
Why drafting outside the Top 5 isn't necessarily a bad thing for Texans

What a classic on tap Sunday in Jacksonville. If the tap is pouring bilge water. It's the 2-11 Texans at the 2-11 Jaguars in a matchup that as a start to finish proposition shouldn't even keep the attention of family and close friends. There is basically nothing interesting about the Texans, though Cameron Johnston continues to be the leading Pro Bowl vote getter among AFC punters! We are approaching the best part of this Texans' season: merciful conclusion. Not exactly a silver lining but at least here almost all of us knew the Texans had no chance to achieve even mediocrity this year. What is the prevailing sentiment in Jacksonville? Only the delusional had visions of Jags' glory in 2021, but at least there was optimism and curiosity around the hire of Head Coach Urban Meyer and the drafting of presumed franchise quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Well, Lawrence is still there...

Jaguars owner Shad Khan firing Meyer in the early hours of Thursday morning and saying he'd have no further comment and face no questions until after the regular season is just one more page in an ownership book full of embarrassment. Meyer was his own undoing through a blend of megalomaniacal, stupid, and mere in over his head behavior. The Jaguars have clinched their 10th double digit defeats season in the last 11, nine of the ten have had at least 11 Ls. In what has to be considered a bizarre anomaly the 2017 Jaguars went 10-6, reached the AFC Championship Game, and led at New England by 10 points in the fourth quarter before the Patriots rallied to win. Thiiiiiis close to a Super Bowl that season, straight garbage for the Jags the six prior and now four since.

Yet, Lawrence's presence (for those who believe in him) makes Jacksonville an attractive job beyond the fact it's one of only 32 head coaching gigs. He has little quality around him but Lawrence's rookie campaign has been lousy. He is 28th in QBR (ESPN's better than the NFL's standard quarterback rating) among this season's 32 primary starting signal callers. The four worse are Jared Goff, Davis Mills, Justin Fields, and Zach Wilson. All rookies except for Goff. Growing pains.

While there is no quarterback considered worthy of selection in the top few picks of this coming spring's NFL Draft, the Texans are still better off having as high a pick as possible. If the Texans can lose Sunday and drop the ensuing three games (definitely doable!) all they need is for Goff and the Detroit Lions to stumble into one more victory and the Texans get the first pick. The first pick in every round.

Rockets falling back to Earth

The Rockets' back-to-back not close losses to the Cavaliers and Knicks have their record at 9-20. They missed out on two chances to improve their winning percentage above .333 for the first time since they were 1-1. Saturday night they play at even worse Detroit. The Pistons have lost 13 straight and are 4-23. The Rockets need to be careful to not mix in too many victories. They currently have only the fifth worst record in the NBA. Keep that up and they'll be draft lottery longshots to wind up with a top three pick in a draft which at this point has three players considered the top tier of prospects. They are all freshmen: 6'10" Duke forward Paolo Banchero, Gonzaga seven foot 194 pounder Chet Holmgren, and the rising stock of the bunch 6'10" Auburn forward Jabari Smith.

Good news for the Aggies and Longhorns

If Jimbo Fisher never gets Texas A&M to the College Football Playoff (while it's four teams, the semifinals once the field inevitably expands) he will not have been worth his contract. To be determined how it plays out on the field, but Jimbo is recruiting at the necessary level as the Aggies won the mythical National Signing Day championship this week. Steve Sarkisian's UT class came in number five. Maybe the Longhorns can make a bowl next season!

Buzzer Beaters

1. The bloated college football bowl season is underway Friday with the Bahamas Bowl and the Cure Bowl. Toledo and Middle Tennessee State play on Nassau with Coastal Carolina and Northern Illinois meeting in Orlando. Bet you didn't know the Cure Bowl is in Orlando! Can you name any player to ever play for any of the four schools? It's not a quiz.

2. UH did not get jobbed with the no goaltending at the end of the Alabama game last Saturday. It may have been goaltending (though probably wasn't). It absolutely was not clearly goaltending. Be honest vehemently disagreeing Cougar fan. If the roles were reversed you'd be saying "Inconclusive! No way you can call goaltending!" The nature of fandom. Nonetheless, that was a tremendous college basketball game.

3. Best Will Ferrell movies: Bronze-Old School Silver-Anchorman Gold-Elf

Happy Holidays!

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The Texans are the class of the division. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images.

The Houston Texans received a lot of praise for their moves in free agency across various outlets. And for good reason, most people believe the team got significantly better with the additions of Danielle Hunter, Azeez Al-Shaair, and Denico Autry among others.

But there's another factor to consider this offseason. How much have the other teams in the AFC South improved?

When looking at the PFF grades in free agency, the Colts received a B-minus. Most of the Colts moves this offseason involved spending a lot of money re-signing their own players. Which is great in theory, but it's hard to improve the overall quality of your roster when you're bringing back players that were already there to begin with. A lot will be riding on player development for the Colts to see a big jump this season. A healthy quarterback wouldn't hurt either.

The Jaguars have made some big additions financially this offseason by signing receiver Gabe Davis and defensive tackle Arik Armstead. They also lost the top receiver on the market, Calvin Ridley, to the Titans. Gabe Davis wasn't able to establish himself as a reliable No. 2 receiver with Josh Allen throwing him the ball in Buffalo. So it's hard to believe he'll take the next step in Jacksonville. Their best move of the offseason might have been retaining edge rusher Josh Allen by using the franchise tag on him. So what did PFF think of Jacksonville's offseason? They received a B-minus, just like the Colts.

The Titans have a lot of turnover heading into the 2024 season, and not just on the roster. They have a new head coach in Brian Callahan, who's looking to revamp Tennessee's offense. Early in free agency, they agreed to terms with former Cowboys running back Tony Pollard, signing him to a 3-year deal at $8 million per season. Which is more money than the Ravens are paying for Derrick Henry, who left the Titans in free agency. Calvin Ridley was the most notable addition to the squad, he received a 4-year, $92 million deal. And while this could be viewed as an overpay, at least he gives the Titans' offense some upside. Their receiving corps looks a lot more dangerous with Ridley added to DeAndre Hopkins and Treylon Burks.

They also spent big at the center position, adding Lloyd Cushenberry on a 4-year, $50 million contract.

Because the Titans spent a lot of money on some highly coveted players, PFF gave them a B.

Now that brings us to the Texans. The Texans re-signed some of their own players like Dalton Schultz and Noah Brown. But they also made some big splashes with Hunter, Autry, Al-Shaair, and Joe Mixon. But the Texans spent their money in a more conservative way by not handing out many contracts over two years in length.

The Texans managed to add the best pass rusher in free agency with Hunter, but it's only a two-year deal. The overall talent level is going up on this roster, and GM Nick Caserio isn't having to sign players to long contracts that could come back and haunt him.

That's why we're seeing post-free agency power rankings coming out with Houston in the Top 10. And that's also why PFF gave the Texans an A for their moves in free agency.

Be sure to check out the video above as Craig from Sports Talk Extra takes an in-depth look at PFF's grades for the AFC South, and much more!

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