Gambling guide

Texans need a miracle from God to cover against Patriots

Texans need a miracle from God to cover against Patriots
The Texans will need a big effort from Deshaun Watson. Jim Rogash/Getty Images

ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED?! Huge weekend finishing 3-1 with one of those wins being our first 2 unit play of the year. I very rarely play anything over 2 units. Maybe one or two times all season we will have something worth 3 units- but it does not happen very often.

Fast recap:

3 Team 10 point teaser- it was never close. Win
Baltimore +2
Oakland -3.5
Denver +12.5

Baltimore/Clevland Under 39- Win. The Browns suck.

USC/Texas Over 67- Scoring exploded there for a second. I thought we would see more of that all game. Big props to Texas
and the effort they displayed on defense. Something about Tom Herman and big games. Loss

Texas Tech /Arizona State Over 76- Tech has scored over 50 points in 11 of their last 14 home games. Is that any good?
I said it could get into the 100’s. We got close- landed on 97. That was a big play and our first 2 unit Win of the year.

YTD Record (6-7) (-$60) Stay the course. Winning keeps the haters away.

3 team 10 point teaser– Risking $60 to win $50
Pats -3.5 Hahahahaha. Some things never change
Saints +15.5 Expect a big effort from the Saints to avoid 0-3. I know they struggle outside of a dome- but I like this spot.
Oklahoma State -2.5 Everyone’s favorite play this week is TCU. Last week everyone loved Pitt. How did that work out?

Risking $55 to win $50

Michigan State +4 vs Notre Dame- Michigan State is coming off a bye and Notre Dame is playing in back to back road games. I think Michigan State can win outright. Give me 4 points at home.

Oregon/Arizona State Over 75– Last year they combined for 89 points. Arizona State is one of the worst defensive teams in the nation. Should be a track meet. I will never shy away from high overs.

I will add one more Friday night- still looking at 5 different games.

Hit me up on Twitter if you have any questions @jayoff288

Side note: Still seeing flood victims out here in East Texas who have lost everything. Keep these people in your thoughts/prayers whatever you want. It is heart breaking to watch people cry telling you their stories. Most people have returned to their normal lives, but some of these people will never be the same. Donate what you can, even if all you have is time.


Toledo +13.5 at Miami- I have no idea what this Miami team is- but I do know they should not be laying 13/14 points to a Toledo team is ranked 10th in the Nation in Total Offense and is 14-2 ATS in their last 16 road games. Miami has only played one game all year. Toledo isn’t scared. When they cover. Send a tweet to @delv2 telling him how much you love Toledo.

Looked hard at Air Force (good spot), Georgia (line makes no sense and begs you to take MSU), and the Kansas/WV Over (that over number got away from us and I should have played it at 68 the other day, but I thought it might go down). Last thought- it has been a while since I have seen so many 3 point spreads in the NFL. Buckle up, because that usually means trouble.


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The Texans will have to shuffle the o-line once again. Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images.

“Another one!”- DJ Khaled

That's the first thing that came to mind when I heard the news of Tytus Howard being shut down for the season because of a knee injury. They've had more injuries on the offensive line this season than Nick Cannon has Father's Day cards. Almost every member of the offensive line has spent time on the injury report. Howard went down in the same game in which Juice Scruggs was finally on the active roster. He missed the first 10 games due to a hamstring injury. The irony of next man up has never been so in your face.

The other thing that came to mind was the soap opera As the World Turns.

Howard had just signed an extension this offseason. So did Laremy Tunsil and Shaq Mason. They drafted Juice Scruggs, and signed a few guys too. Those moves, along with other holdovers, were expected to fill out the depth chart. Then a rash of injuries struck. At one point, only one of the original five guys expected to start was playing! In fact, they beat the Steelers 30-6 with that backup offensive line!

One can't have the expectation of backups to perform as good as the starters. They're professionals and are on an NFL roster for a reason. However, the talent gap is evident. One thing coaching, technique, and preparation can't cover is lack of ability or talent. The Texans have done a good job of navigating the injury minefield this season. While the Howard injury will hurt, I have faith in the guys there still.

As of this writing, the Texans are in the eighth spot in the AFC playoff picture. The Steelers, Browns, and Colts are all in front of them at the fifth through seventh spots respectfully. They've beaten the Steelers already. They play the Browns on Christmas Eve and their starting quarterback is out for the season. The Colts are relying on the ghost of Gardner Minshew to steer their ship into the last game of the season vs. the Texans with a possible playoff trip on the line. The Broncos and Bills are the two teams immediately behind them. They play the Broncos this weekend. Even though they're on a hot streak, this is the same team that got 70 put on them by the Dolphins. The Bills are the old veteran boxer who still has some skill, but is now a stepping stone for up & comers.

To say this team should still make the playoffs would be an understatement in my opinion. I believe in them and what they have going on more than I believe in the teams I listed above. That includes teams around them in the playoff race that aren't on their schedule. The one thing that scares me a little moving forward is the sustainability of this line. When guys get up in age as athletes, it becomes harder to come back from injuries. The injuries also tend to occur more frequently when it's a knee, foot, ankle, shoulder, elbow, or another body part critical to blocking for C.J. Stroud.

I know they just re-signed three of those guys and drafted one they believe can be a starter, but depth and contingency plans are a way of life in the NFL. We see how important depth was this season. Why not plan ahead? Don't be surprised if the Texans spend valuable draft capital on the offensive line. By valuable, I'm talking about first through third or fourth rounders. Those are prime spots to draft quality offensive lineman. Whether day one starters or quality depth, those are the sweet spots. The only guy on the two deep depth chart for this offensive line that wasn't drafted in one of those rounds was George Fant, who was an undrafted rookie free agent. While I highly doubt they spend any significant free agency dollars on the group, I'm not totally ruling it out.

The bottom line is, this team will be okay on the line for the remainder of this season. The only way that doesn't happen, more injuries. Stroud is clearly the franchise guy. Protecting that investment is a top priority. I don't care about a number one receiver, or a stud stable or singular running back if the quarterback won't have time to get them the ball. If the pilot can't fly the plane, you know what happens. So making sure he's happy, healthy, and has a great crew is of the utmost importance.

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