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The Texans served a 50-burger to the Falcons as they improved to 3-2 in a 53-32 romp. They took care of business against a team they should have. Here are my observations:
The Good
-Deshaun Watson and Will Fuller both had career games. Watson threw for 426 yards (career high), five touchdowns (tied career high) while completing 84.8% of his passes(career High). Fuller pulled in 14 of his 17 targets (career high when targeted over 10 times) for 217 yards and three touchdowns (both are career highs).
-Keeping with the offensive explosion theme, they scored on eight of their 10 possessions. Make it nine of 11 if you include the pick six. That kind of output is beyond impressive. It's a conversion of playing a bad team, and...
-...Bill O'Brien calling a great game. He finally put together a gameplan inwhich he took full advantage of the team they were up against while playing into the stregnths of his own team. I know I've crushed him in the past, but I also give credit when it's due. These are the kinds of games I wish O'Brien could have more of.
The Bad
-Falcons quarterback Matt Ryan completed 69% of his passes. Against better teams, this would've been a sure sign of a loss. 60% is a low end benchmark. Anything above that is considered pretty good. When you approach 70%, it's rare air. A quarterback in that range usually wins. This can't keep happening if they expect to build upon this win.
-Giving up 9/16 3rd down conversions is pretty damn bad. 56.3% is enough to by far lead the league in this category. A team with around 50% could lead the league, anything above that...well, you got the drift from the previous entry.
-Carlos Hyde averaged only 2.9 yards per carry. The team ran for 166 yards on 34 carries. Take out Hyde's 21 carries, and they ran for 106 yards on 13 carries for a 8.2 yards per carry average. Not saying they would've kept up that production, but Hyde gas to get it into gear if he expects to take advantage of playing time and touches.
The Ugly
-The Texans committed nine penalties accepted for 89 yards. Penalties are one of the poor themes this team has had going all year so far. If they don't find a cure for this ailment, it'll take them apart eventually.
-DeAndre Carter muffed a punt on the first play of the fouth quarter when the Texans were up 33-17. It led to a Falcons touchdown and two-point conversion that drew them within one score, 33-25. This could've been much worse had the offensive explosion not continued into the 4th quarter.
-Speaking of fumbles, the Texans coughed it up a total of five times, but managed to recover four of them. Had they not recovered four of the five fumbles, this score could've easily been reversed. Better teams tend to convert turnovers into points and don't pass on an opportunity to get them.
The Texans have the sniffles early on this season. As in what can best be described as the early signs of a full-blown cold, they have issues, but not bad enough to call it the flu. This was a chicken noodle soup game for them. The Falcons came into this game with a wealth of talent, and an underwhelming 1-3 record. While chicken noodle soup soothes the throat and can also warm you up, it only masks the symptoms. If the symptoms worsen or progress, they'll need some over the counter or prescription meds depending on the severity. So far, so good. They've been able to stave off the hard core cough, congestion, and stuffy breathing. They showed they can put up video game numbers if given the chance. Next week, they're rewarded with the Chiefs in Kansas City. That will be the thermometer game to see if the fever has broken, or if it has gotten worse.
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The Houston Astros have looked like one of baseball’s most dangerous teams in recent weeks, riding a hot streak fueled by dominant starting pitching and a red-hot offense that’s erupted for double-digit runs in four of their last eight games. But behind the current success, there are fair questions about whether this pace is truly sustainable as the grind of the season continues.
Yes, the Astros are winning — and winning big — but context matters. Many of their recent victories have come against struggling clubs like the White Sox and Athletics. Even matchups against the Twins and Guardians, while respectable, don’t exactly represent championship-caliber tests. That soft stretch of the schedule has certainly helped Houston pad its win column, but it may not be the best predictor of long-term performance. Houston will be tested in the upcoming series against the Phillies and Cubs.
On the pitching side, the numbers have been impressive, but how repeatable is it? With Lance McCullers Jr. sidelined for at least a couple of weeks, the Astros are relying on a patchwork rotation that includes unproven arms like Colton Gordon, Ryan Gusto, and Brandon Walter. While each has shown flashes, asking them to shoulder the load deep into the summer may be a tall order.
Offensively, Houston is firing on all cylinders. But scoring 10 or more runs every other game simply isn’t sustainable over a 162-game season. Regression is inevitable; the question is how the team responds when the bats cool down or the bullpen is asked to carry more weight.
Amid all this, rookie third baseman Cam Smith continues to shine. Just a few months into his major league career, Smith is producing at a level that suggests he’s not just a key piece of the future — he’s already one of the team’s most valuable players. His batting average sits just a point behind Jose Altuve’s, and his OPS is even higher. If the Astros were forced to choose two players to build around long-term, factoring in youth and contract status, the logical duo might be Smith and breakout pitcher Hunter Brown.
So what about the big picture? Is this team a true World Series contender?
Oddsmakers currently have Houston with the seventh-best odds to win it all, and only the Yankees and Tigers rank higher among American League teams. The core is still there, the experience is undeniable, and if the pitching continues to hold — especially with the anticipated return of Spencer Arrighetti and a healthy McCullers — the Astros have every reason to believe they’ll be in the mix deep into October.
But that’s a big “if.” The ceiling is still high, and with Cam Smith emerging as a star in real time, this team might just have another gear. Whether they can reach it when the competition stiffens, that remains to be seen.
There's so much more to cover! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.
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*ChatGPT assisted.
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