GAMBLING RECAP

In Week 11, The Chiefs had Giant problems

Things did not go well for Alex Smith and the Chiefs. Peter Aiken/Getty Images

Death, Taxes, and Wins for Andy Reid following the bye week, are things you can guarantee in life. Well, almost. Coming into Sunday, Andy Reid owned a stellar record going 16-2 straight-up and 13-5 ATS when coaching with an extra week to prepare. Attach those numbers to the New York Giants 0-3 ATS record in the last three games losing all those games by ten plus, and the double-digit spread was justified.

Ben McAdoo promised the Giants aficionadi, a “great show" for those who made it out to MetLife Stadium Sunday. "Great" can be questioned by standards, but after losing to the winless 49ers the prior week, a win in front of the hopeless fans might have bought Coach McAdoo, a few more weeks. The Giants coach pulled out all the tricks, converting a fake punt in the first half. The Chiefs also tried what looked to be a tight end screen to Travis Kelce. The tight end caught the Alex Smith pass behind the line of scrimmage and heaved a bomb down the field that was intercepted, setting up the Giants for a 1-yard score on the ensuing drive. The game went into overtime, and with the latest NFL overtime rule that shortened the extra period from 15 minutes to 10, the game looked to be headed to 2017's first stalemate. However, Giants Wide receiver Roger Lewis made an insane catch inside the final two and a half minutes on a 4th down, setting up a 23-yard game-winning field goal.  The game ended 12-9, completing the double-digit underdog victory and cashing the money line tickets of +350. This year's Giants have been more unpredictable than  Donald Trump's twitter account.  Their last win came back on Oct.15, where they also won as a double-digit underdog in Denver under the lights in a primetime game.


Most bet teams:

Patriots  89%

Eagles  86%

Lions  80%

Chiefs  74%

Jaguars  70%


The Giants may have taken home the honor of upset of the week, but again, the favorites prevailed. Teams favored went 11-3 straight up and 9-4-1 ATS. Teams favored now hold the edge 77-71-8 in 2017. Also, after week 11, the Home vs. Away record vs. the spread is split down the middle 73-73-8.

Totals:

The over/under went 7-7 in Week 11.

The worse bad beat for totals came in the Tampa Bay vs. Miami game. Under bettors were ordering top-shelf as the Buccaneers kicked a game-winning field goal with four seconds left to put them up 23-20. What happened next looked like a backyard game of kill the man with the ball. A series of backward laterals later, and Tampa Bay recovered the ball for a touchdown pushing the total over, ultimately landing on 50. If you had an over ticket, go to church Sunday.

Play, Action or pass went 7-3 in week 11. We are now 20-16-2 in 2017.

Patriots-7   WIN

Eagles Team Total Over 26.5  WIN

Saints Team Total over 29.5   WIN

Patriots Team Total over 30   WIN

Texans/Cardinals Under 43    LOSS

Buccaneers/Dolphins over 41  WIN

Teasers:

Patriots PK/ Saints(2x) WIN

Patriots PK/ Saints        WIN

Patriots Pk/ Chiefs -3.5  LOSS

Saints-1-/ Chiefs -3.5      LOSS

What we learned in week 11

- That you cannot trust a thief, and that is precisely what the fraudulent Browns have been to bettors. Just a week out from giving their backers and fans ulcers, the Browns blew a late game spread once again. The play came on a strip sack of the Brown's Deshone Kizer that was recovered by linebacker Telvin Smith in the end zone scoring a touchdown for the Jaguars. The score put the Jaguars in front, 19-7 with 1:14 remaining in the game, covering the 7.5 point spread and cashing tickets for the Jacksonville faithful. Just how bad are the Browns? They outgained the Lions the previous week and still failed to cover as a double-digit dog. If you were to bet blindly vs. the Browns this year both for the first half and full game, you would be 13-5. This trend goes back to last year, where being on the opposite side of Cleveland, would have you in the green with a 19-6 record.

- The Patriots came in well prepared, the Raiders, not so much.  Tom Brady came out scorching hot completing his first twelve passes, eight of those coming on the first drive capped by a 15-yard score by Dion Lewis. The Patriots came out in the no-huddle offense from the opening whistle, and although the Raiders were the team coming off a bye week, it was New England that looked the fresher of the two. Oakland never stood a chance and Brady was unstoppable in the first half, completing 20-of-24 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. The Patriots coasted to a 33-8 victory pushing them to  8-2 overall on the year with Division Foe Miami, on deck.

Super Bowl Favorite Odds

New England Patriots    +310

Philadelphia Eagles    +400

Pittsburgh Steelers    +600

New Orleans Saints    +800

Minnesota Vikings    +1200

ESPN Week 12 Power Rankings:

1) Eagles

2) Patriots

3) Steelers

4) Vikings

5) Saints

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.

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Rootes began writing The Winning Game Plan last March. Photo via: NRG Park/Facebook

Football players, coaches and general managers have come and gone, but only one person has been running the business side of the Texans, well, even before they were the Texans. Jamey Rootes has been President of the Houston Texans since 1999, when an NFL team in Houston was still just a gleam in owner Bob McNair's eyes. That's before the team adopted the name "Texans" in 2000, before there was NRG Stadium, which opened as Reliant Stadium in 2000, and before they became serial champs of the AFC South, six titles between 2011-2019.

The precise date was Oct. 6, 1999 when NFL owners voted 29-0 to award the NFL's 32nd and newest franchise to Houston. Not only that, Houston was awarded the 2004 Super Bowl. Rootes, 34 years old with no NFL experience, had his work cut out for him. Before taking the job in Houston, Rootes was team president, general manager and CEO of selling peanuts and popcorn for the Columbus Crew of Major League Soccer.

Major League Soccer, with all due respect, is not nearly a national obsession like the National Football League.

"I wasn't intimidated," Rootes said. "There's a quote that I love, 'Do the thing you fear and the death of fear is certain.' I've always been a purpose-driven person. As for the step up to the NFL, I went from knowing nothing at the start of my time in Columbus to five years later thinking, OK, I've got this sports thing down. Actually, I had a very significant reduction in my responsibilities in Houston. When I was in Columbus, I ran the stadium, I ran the team's business, I was the general manager so I did the talent side of it, too. When I came to Houston, all I had to do was the business, so that was great."

Rootes has captured his remarkable journey from the soccer team at Clemson to grad school at Indiana University to the business world at IBM and Proctor & Gamble to the Clemson Crew, to ultimately being named President of the Houston Texans in his new book, The Winning Game Plan: A Proven Leadership Playbook for Continuous Business Success, available next week.

I've known Rootes from his day one with the Texans, but I still had to ask: everybody knows what the general manager does, and what the head coach does. What exactly does the President of an NFL team worth $3.3 billion do?

"I like to use the parallel of a pharmaceutical company to describe my job. There are two sides to that company. First you put scientists in one building and you leave them alone. They create products, which is what our football team is. The football side has a coach and general manager and all the people who prepare the team to play on Sunday. But getting that product to market is done by the business side, traditional business disciplines. Those are the things that fall to me. Basically, everything between the white lines is run by the football side. Everything outside of those lines, I do," Rootes said.

Between 1999 and 2002, when the Texans played their first game (let the record show the Texans defeated the Dallas Cowboy, 19-10), the team was essentially a massive start-up project. First orders of business for Rootes involved building a new stadium, developing relationships with suppliers, contractors and government officials, preparing for a Super Bowl and, most important, developing a relationship with fans.

Rootes began writing The Winning Game Plan last March, but it's really an accumulation of lessons learned and behind-the-scenes stories about building the Texans from scratch into one of the most admired and valuable franchises in all of sports.

"I've always been a meticulous note-taker. I've kept every presentation I've ever done. I took all of my notes and concepts and put those down on paper," Rootes said. "To be a good leader, you need a wild imagination. You can show me a blank piece of paper, but I don't see it as blank. To me, it's a finished product that hasn't been created yet," Rootes said.

Rootes lays out his leadership strategy in seven chapters: Are You a Manager or a Leader, Get the Right People on Your Team, Build a Winning Culture, Create Raving Fans, a Winning Playbook for Adversity and Success, Your Leadership Playbook and Play to Win.

He learned lesson No. 1 the hard way. A friend once counseled Rootes, "your staff doesn't like the way you're all up in their business, you need to back off." Rootes took that advice to heart.

"It was an epiphany. I wasn't a leader. That's when I truly began thinking about leadership. I say this all the time, I don't do anything. All I do is create an environment where exceptional people can be their very best self. I know what's going on. I'm fully informed. I leave every game day exhausted. I get there early. I do the things I need to do. I kiss babies. I shake hands. I present checks. I entertain clients. I'm dialed in. It absolutely wears me out because I love this organization so much. I am so proud of what we've been able to do for this great city of Houston."

I asked Rootes, as someone who lives for Game Day and a packed NRG Stadium, are you devastated by 2020, the year of COVID-19 and small crowds limited by Centers for Disease Control guidelines?

"I don't look at it that way. I think there's a song by 10,000 Maniacs that said, these are the days that you'll remember. I told my staff, I know you're all going through hell right now, but later on in life, you'll talk about this year. Things that are important are memorable, for the positive and those things that leave a scar. You learn from adversity and you're a better person for enduring it. Victor Frankl said 'We can discover meaning in life in three different ways, by creating a work or doing a deed, experiencing something or encountering someone, and by the attitude we take toward unavoidable suffering.' Suffering is part of life. He should know, he survived a Nazi concentration camp," Rootes said.

H-E-B President Scott McClelland wrote the forward to The Winning Game Plan. Rootes dedicates the book to late Texans owner Bob McNair. Rootes' book is a fun read. All I kept thinking was, where was this book when I needed it? And before you buy too much into Rootes as a leader, consider that Rootes admits that he had to ask for wife Melissa's permission before he could accept the Texans job.

Personal note: I believe that a big part of leadership is the ability to keep a promise. Several years ago, I was riding my bicycle with my dog Lilly on a leash. It was the only way I could keep up with her. Well, one time Lilly saw a squirrel and pulled me off my bicycle. I tumbled a few times and rolled next to the curb. When I looked up, there was Jamey Rootes. I told him, "There's no need for you to tell anybody about this." He never said a word.

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