GAMBLING RECAP

In Week 11, The Chiefs had Giant problems

Seth Livingston
Jerry Bo
Nov 21, 2017, 1:00 pm
Things did not go well for Alex Smith and the Chiefs. Peter Aiken/Getty Images

Death, Taxes, and Wins for Andy Reid following the bye week, are things you can guarantee in life. Well, almost. Coming into Sunday, Andy Reid owned a stellar record going 16-2 straight-up and 13-5 ATS when coaching with an extra week to prepare. Attach those numbers to the New York Giants 0-3 ATS record in the last three games losing all those games by ten plus, and the double-digit spread was justified.

Ben McAdoo promised the Giants aficionadi, a “great show" for those who made it out to MetLife Stadium Sunday. "Great" can be questioned by standards, but after losing to the winless 49ers the prior week, a win in front of the hopeless fans might have bought Coach McAdoo, a few more weeks. The Giants coach pulled out all the tricks, converting a fake punt in the first half. The Chiefs also tried what looked to be a tight end screen to Travis Kelce. The tight end caught the Alex Smith pass behind the line of scrimmage and heaved a bomb down the field that was intercepted, setting up the Giants for a 1-yard score on the ensuing drive. The game went into overtime, and with the latest NFL overtime rule that shortened the extra period from 15 minutes to 10, the game looked to be headed to 2017's first stalemate. However, Giants Wide receiver Roger Lewis made an insane catch inside the final two and a half minutes on a 4th down, setting up a 23-yard game-winning field goal.  The game ended 12-9, completing the double-digit underdog victory and cashing the money line tickets of +350. This year's Giants have been more unpredictable than  Donald Trump's twitter account.  Their last win came back on Oct.15, where they also won as a double-digit underdog in Denver under the lights in a primetime game.


Most bet teams:

Patriots  89%

Eagles  86%

Lions  80%

Chiefs  74%

Jaguars  70%


The Giants may have taken home the honor of upset of the week, but again, the favorites prevailed. Teams favored went 11-3 straight up and 9-4-1 ATS. Teams favored now hold the edge 77-71-8 in 2017. Also, after week 11, the Home vs. Away record vs. the spread is split down the middle 73-73-8.

Totals:

The over/under went 7-7 in Week 11.

The worse bad beat for totals came in the Tampa Bay vs. Miami game. Under bettors were ordering top-shelf as the Buccaneers kicked a game-winning field goal with four seconds left to put them up 23-20. What happened next looked like a backyard game of kill the man with the ball. A series of backward laterals later, and Tampa Bay recovered the ball for a touchdown pushing the total over, ultimately landing on 50. If you had an over ticket, go to church Sunday.

Play, Action or pass went 7-3 in week 11. We are now 20-16-2 in 2017.

Patriots-7   WIN

Eagles Team Total Over 26.5  WIN

Saints Team Total over 29.5   WIN

Patriots Team Total over 30   WIN

Texans/Cardinals Under 43    LOSS

Buccaneers/Dolphins over 41  WIN

Teasers:

Patriots PK/ Saints(2x) WIN

Patriots PK/ Saints        WIN

Patriots Pk/ Chiefs -3.5  LOSS

Saints-1-/ Chiefs -3.5      LOSS

What we learned in week 11

- That you cannot trust a thief, and that is precisely what the fraudulent Browns have been to bettors. Just a week out from giving their backers and fans ulcers, the Browns blew a late game spread once again. The play came on a strip sack of the Brown's Deshone Kizer that was recovered by linebacker Telvin Smith in the end zone scoring a touchdown for the Jaguars. The score put the Jaguars in front, 19-7 with 1:14 remaining in the game, covering the 7.5 point spread and cashing tickets for the Jacksonville faithful. Just how bad are the Browns? They outgained the Lions the previous week and still failed to cover as a double-digit dog. If you were to bet blindly vs. the Browns this year both for the first half and full game, you would be 13-5. This trend goes back to last year, where being on the opposite side of Cleveland, would have you in the green with a 19-6 record.

- The Patriots came in well prepared, the Raiders, not so much.  Tom Brady came out scorching hot completing his first twelve passes, eight of those coming on the first drive capped by a 15-yard score by Dion Lewis. The Patriots came out in the no-huddle offense from the opening whistle, and although the Raiders were the team coming off a bye week, it was New England that looked the fresher of the two. Oakland never stood a chance and Brady was unstoppable in the first half, completing 20-of-24 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. The Patriots coasted to a 33-8 victory pushing them to  8-2 overall on the year with Division Foe Miami, on deck.

Super Bowl Favorite Odds

New England Patriots    +310

Philadelphia Eagles    +400

Pittsburgh Steelers    +600

New Orleans Saints    +800

Minnesota Vikings    +1200

ESPN Week 12 Power Rankings:

1) Eagles

2) Patriots

3) Steelers

4) Vikings

5) Saints

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.

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ROCKETS BEAT THUNDER

Rockets blast Thunder in home opener, 124-91

Rockets take care of business in home opener. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images.

The Houston Rockets had an impressive outing versus the Oklahoma City Thunder after an embarrassing loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday night. They took care of business at home on Friday night, which was a surprising blowout. The Rockets didn't have to worry about Karl-Anthony Towns screaming at Alperen Sengun or Anthony Edwards telling Coach Silas to call a timeout. Instead, they took their frustrations out on the Thunder (another younger core).

"We responded and bounced back from that game 1," Silas said. "I wouldn't say it was taking anything out. It was just learning and applying to what you learn and that's going to be us this year. Applying to what you learn and getting better and having some games like we had the other day. Veteran teams have some games when they don't play as well they want."

Christian Wood led the way, as he controlled the paint on all aspects with rebounding and putbacks. He played an incredible game after having a poor performance versus the Timberwolves. Silas showed complete trust in allowing Wood to open sets, as he walked the ball down the court several times, and in transition too. Wood became aggressive on the perimeter with open shooting and tough shots, and long strides towards the rim. He finished the night with 31 points and 13 rebounds off 66 percent shooting from the field.

The young core for the Thunder had a tough night defending Wood from every aspect. Hopefully, he keeps this play up. Silas loved the space that was created throughout the game for Wood, which included the help from Eric Gordon, as he continued to play better. Wood continues to develop underneath the Silas umbrella. He had a great feel for off-the-dribble shooting a few times. Wood becomes more dangerous when space is created on the court.

"It allows me to show what I can do. It allows the floor to be open and I can create for other guys and create for myself," Wood said.

As Gordon continues to impress, his teammate Kevin Porter Jr was amazed with his performance.

Gordon looked marvelous inside and outside of the paint, as it looked like a time ripple. The younger guards of the Thunder had a tough time staying in front of Gordon. His size and strength gave the Thunder a huge problem. Gordon is shooting the ball better too, as he is shooting the three-ball at 70 percent this season. Although it's a small sample size, Gordon is trying to overcome his shooting struggles from last year. Gordon finished with 22 points on 66 percent shooting versus the Thunder.

"EG is the biggest part of this squad," Porter said. He comes in and just scores. We need somebody off the bench to do that. He is our guy when me and J come out, it's EG time and he knows that, and comes in aggressive. So much energy on the bench, and we need that every night from him if we want a chance to win."

As I recently mentioned Porter, his facilitation did look better versus the Thunder than the Timberwolves. Porter had nine turnovers in his first game but managed to have two Friday night. He made great slip passes and found open teammates in the open corner. Porter forced a good number of passes versus the Timberwolves but looked more relaxed Friday night. The hardest position in the NBA is the point guard position, but Silas will not allow Porter to fail. Instead of nine turnovers, Porter dished out nine assists. Silas said:

"Bounce back right, going from nine turnovers to nine assists… I think he had two turnovers tonight, which is great. He is making plays for his teammates, and he was really focused."

Porter's shiftiness and creative ability allowed his teammates to get open looks near the rim. He had 18 points because of his step-back threes and first step going towards the basket. Thankfully, Porter is a great ball handler, which confuses defenders on different spots on the court. It's almost like watching a ballerina skate on ice in the Olympics. Hopefully, his confidence continues to get better throughout the year. Porter shot the three-ball at 50 percent tonight. Efficiency is key for Porter this year.

"I'm just trying to let the game slow down," Porter said. "I had a lot of turnovers last game and I just wanted to piggyback and learn from them and learn from some of my forced passes and reads. And sometimes I still force it a little bit. My guys hate that, and sometimes I'm still passive and I'm working on that. When to pass and score and bounce it out, and tonight I felt like I did a good job of that."

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