GAMBLING RECAP
In Week 11, The Chiefs had Giant problems
Jerry Bo
Nov 21, 2017, 12:00 pm
Things did not go well for Alex Smith and the Chiefs. Peter Aiken/Getty Images
Death, Taxes, and Wins for Andy Reid following the bye week, are things you can guarantee in life. Well, almost. Coming into Sunday, Andy Reid owned a stellar record going 16-2 straight-up and 13-5 ATS when coaching with an extra week to prepare. Attach those numbers to the New York Giants 0-3 ATS record in the last three games losing all those games by ten plus, and the double-digit spread was justified.
Ben McAdoo promised the Giants aficionadi, a “great show" for those who made it out to MetLife Stadium Sunday. "Great" can be questioned by standards, but after losing to the winless 49ers the prior week, a win in front of the hopeless fans might have bought Coach McAdoo, a few more weeks. The Giants coach pulled out all the tricks, converting a fake punt in the first half. The Chiefs also tried what looked to be a tight end screen to Travis Kelce. The tight end caught the Alex Smith pass behind the line of scrimmage and heaved a bomb down the field that was intercepted, setting up the Giants for a 1-yard score on the ensuing drive. The game went into overtime, and with the latest NFL overtime rule that shortened the extra period from 15 minutes to 10, the game looked to be headed to 2017's first stalemate. However, Giants Wide receiver Roger Lewis made an insane catch inside the final two and a half minutes on a 4th down, setting up a 23-yard game-winning field goal. The game ended 12-9, completing the double-digit underdog victory and cashing the money line tickets of +350. This year's Giants have been more unpredictable than Donald Trump's twitter account. Their last win came back on Oct.15, where they also won as a double-digit underdog in Denver under the lights in a primetime game.
Most bet teams:
Patriots 89%
Eagles 86%
Lions 80%
Chiefs 74%
Jaguars 70%
The Giants may have taken home the honor of upset of the week, but again, the favorites prevailed. Teams favored went 11-3 straight up and 9-4-1 ATS. Teams favored now hold the edge 77-71-8 in 2017. Also, after week 11, the Home vs. Away record vs. the spread is split down the middle 73-73-8.
Totals:
The over/under went 7-7 in Week 11.
The worse bad beat for totals came in the Tampa Bay vs. Miami game. Under bettors were ordering top-shelf as the Buccaneers kicked a game-winning field goal with four seconds left to put them up 23-20. What happened next looked like a backyard game of kill the man with the ball. A series of backward laterals later, and Tampa Bay recovered the ball for a touchdown pushing the total over, ultimately landing on 50. If you had an over ticket, go to church Sunday.
Play, Action or pass went 7-3 in week 11. We are now 20-16-2 in 2017.
Patriots-7 WIN
Eagles Team Total Over 26.5 WIN
Saints Team Total over 29.5 WIN
Patriots Team Total over 30 WIN
Texans/Cardinals Under 43 LOSS
Buccaneers/Dolphins over 41 WIN
Teasers:
Patriots PK/ Saints(2x) WIN
Patriots PK/ Saints WIN
Patriots Pk/ Chiefs -3.5 LOSS
Saints-1-/ Chiefs -3.5 LOSS
What we learned in week 11
- That you cannot trust a thief, and that is precisely what the fraudulent Browns have been to bettors. Just a week out from giving their backers and fans ulcers, the Browns blew a late game spread once again. The play came on a strip sack of the Brown's Deshone Kizer that was recovered by linebacker Telvin Smith in the end zone scoring a touchdown for the Jaguars. The score put the Jaguars in front, 19-7 with 1:14 remaining in the game, covering the 7.5 point spread and cashing tickets for the Jacksonville faithful. Just how bad are the Browns? They outgained the Lions the previous week and still failed to cover as a double-digit dog. If you were to bet blindly vs. the Browns this year both for the first half and full game, you would be 13-5. This trend goes back to last year, where being on the opposite side of Cleveland, would have you in the green with a 19-6 record.
- The Patriots came in well prepared, the Raiders, not so much. Tom Brady came out scorching hot completing his first twelve passes, eight of those coming on the first drive capped by a 15-yard score by Dion Lewis. The Patriots came out in the no-huddle offense from the opening whistle, and although the Raiders were the team coming off a bye week, it was New England that looked the fresher of the two. Oakland never stood a chance and Brady was unstoppable in the first half, completing 20-of-24 passes for 201 yards and two touchdowns. The Patriots coasted to a 33-8 victory pushing them to 8-2 overall on the year with Division Foe Miami, on deck.
New England Patriots +310
Philadelphia Eagles +400
Pittsburgh Steelers +600
New Orleans Saints +800
Minnesota Vikings +1200
1) Eagles
2) Patriots
3) Steelers
4) Vikings
5) Saints
For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.
The Houston Astros wrapped up yet another series win this week, this time taking two of three from the struggling Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Despite missing several key players and a bullpen that wasn’t fully available, the Astros continued their recent run of success, pushing their record to 52-35.
Manager Joe Espada appeared to be playing the long game in the rubber match on Thursday. After Houston rallied to tie the game in the seventh inning, Espada stuck with reliever Jordan Weems instead of turning to his high-leverage arms. That decision, while frustrating to some fans hoping for the sweep, underscored the team’s cautious approach to workload management as they navigate a long season.
One bright spot continues to be rookie Cam Smith, who delivered again in the clutch with a two-run triple in the seventh inning on Thursday. Smith has been Houston’s most dependable bat with runners on base and is quickly settling into the cleanup role—a rarity for a first-year player but one he’s earned with his poise and production.
Astros cleanup hitter RBIs this season:
Cam Smith: 10 RBIs in 7 games
All others: 28 RBIs in 80 games
— Matt Kawahara (@matthewkawahara) July 3, 2025
Off the field, the biggest storyline continues to be Yordan Alvarez’s injury. After reports surfaced that the slugger had experienced a setback in his return from a fractured hand, the team clarified that the issue is inflammation, not the fracture itself. Astros general manager Dana Brown said Alvarez received injections to address the irritation and is expected to rest for now. Encouragingly, the Astros say the fracture is no longer a concern, and while there’s still no definitive timeline for his return, the overall tone from the club was optimistic.
The transparency around Alvarez’s situation is part of a larger shift. After being criticized in recent seasons for vague injury updates, the Astros have begun issuing daily availability reports. It’s a move that signals the front office is trying to regain some trust with the media and fans after a stretch of frustrating ambiguity around player health.
Now, the Astros head to Los Angeles for a marquee matchup with the defending champion Dodgers. Friday’s opener will feature Lance McCullers Jr. making just his second start since returning from the injured list. McCullers gave up eight runs in his return against the Cubs and will be under the spotlight as he looks to settle back into form. Control will be the key, as walks have long been McCullers’ Achilles’ heel.
Saturday sets the stage for one of the most anticipated pitching matchups of the season: Framber Valdez versus Shohei Ohtani. With both teams fighting for positioning in their respective divisions, this weekend in LA should serve as a measuring stick—and perhaps a postseason preview.
There's so much more to get to! Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday.
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