JERRY BO'S GAMBLING GUIDE

Bookie Busters: Back on the road to riches

Bookie Busters: Back on the road to riches
Here, piggy piggy. Time for you to eat. Getty Images

I always stress the importance of being able to endure the ups and downs of the game and how to deal with those moments. Around the Bookie Buster family sometimes we get spoiled, and rightfully so after hitting at over 70% for 8 weeks. Be prepared for weeks where the numbers won't always be extreme and don't go outside the box for unnecessary reasons.

Last week read +167.5U    + 39.3U = 206.8 we finally broke our 200 Unit goal. 300 you're next!!
 

Last week's plays

Friday
Germany
Borussia Monchengladbach at Freiburg
Over 2.5 – 125    2U +2

SNF

Vikings +1 +111 -3U

TT over 25.5U  -3.4U

Tre'quan Smith Rec Over 3 PUSH

Yards Over 43.3   LOSS -1U

Scores Td +220   -1U

MNF

Live Pats -8.5   2U -2.2

South America
Gremio/River
Over 1.5 -160   5U MAX +5
or Over 2  +110 3U

-3.6U

206.8 -3.6      +203.2

New Plays

Tottenham vs West Ham
West Ham PK  +109 5U MAX

 

NBA FIGHT NIGHTZ

Lakers-7 -120 5U MAX

Lakers TT over 120.5 2U

James over 28.5 points 3U MAX

 

TNF    11/1 

Prop of the Night 3U MAX

J. Cook over 4.5 Receptions

UPDATE  11/1      7:19  CST

NBA

76ers TT 3rd Q over 27.5 3U MAX

 

 

Saturday Money truck

Liverpool/Arsenal

Liverpool TT over 1.5 MAX

Over 3  MAX

Salah scores 1U

Germany 

Dortmund/Wolfsburg

Over 2,5 5U MAX

 

Leipzig/ Berlin

Over 2.5 5U mAX

France

Lyon -1   3U MAX

NFL

C.McCaffrey pass receptions over 5½ 3U MAX

 T.Kelce pass receptions over 5½ 3U MAX

Kelce TD 1U

 

Seahawks  ML

Steelers+3

Miami/Jets Under 42

 

NFL Halftime   1:35 PM CST

Jets/Mia

Under 21 2nd half 1U

Bills TT under 7  3U

 

Halftime   4:40 CST

HOU/DEN 2nd half over 23.5   2U

 

UPDATED 4:42 CST

Seahawks TT over 10.5 2nd half 2U 

 

 

UPDATED   5:03 CST

NO/LA

3rd Q over 13.5   3U MAX

 

 

SNF    6:53 CST

 J.Edelman receiving yards over 75½   5U MAX

My Bookie prop of the Night

Brady over 20 fantasy points   5U MAX

SNF   8:57 CST

Patriots over 13.5 2nd half TT    5U MAX of the Night

 

MNF  UPDATED    11/5   6:20 CST

Zeke Over 92.5 rush yards 3U

MAX Titans TT Under 17 5U
 

 

Champions League  1:19 CST

PSG/Napoli BTTS and over 2.5 -145 5U MAX

 

ATLÉTICO MADRID VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND 

1st half over 1     5U MAX

 

Peoples Parlay 1U

Atl/Dortmund BTTS

Barca BTTS

Napoli BTTS

 

UPDATE HALFTIME  2:50 CST

Tottenham ML DNB -180 5U MAX

Game over 2.5  5U mAX
 

 

Get ready this is a huge week.

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz Twitter.

Be sure to check out my show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We’re on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we’ll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975 on Twitter.

 


 

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Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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