Gambling Guide

Bookie busters: Fatten your bankroll with some midweek games

You can make some cash on Anthony Davis and the Pelicans. New Orleans Pelicans/Facebook

Our bookie busters went 2-2 for the weekend, but let's examine a specific sequence from one of our plays that prohibited us from the sweep.

NBA
Friday 3/2/2018 6:35 pm
Warriors at Hawks
Warriors -13  Over/Under 227

The Picks were:
Warriors-13
Warriors Team Total over 120

Our thoughts were that the game would be high scoring due to not only the obvious in the Warrior's prolific offense but in the new-found pace, the Hawks have been playing at in the last month. Golden State played its part and scored 62 in the first half, and with less than five minutes left in the 4th quarter, the Warriors held a double-digit lead needing to cover -13. What happened in the last 2 minutes is inexcusable. Following a pair of Kevin Durant free throws to put the Thunder up 111-100 and put the spread at a baskets distance, the Warriors allowed Atlanta to go on a 9-0 run in 1:40 killing the bet.  A key to being successful betting is to learn from every wager you make whether it's a win or a loss. Go back and look at what exactly happened and did the game play at the pace you expected.

Cris Cyborg Under 1.5 rounds was easy cash as the Champion scored a first-round TKO.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin under 132 was also easy cash as the game ended 63-60, with the number never in doubt.


NBA 3/7 9:00 PM
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings
The Pelicans travel to Sacramento to finish a four-game round trip. (This is being written before the Clippers game) During this road trip, the Pelicans have been involved in shootouts, with all of their games seeing over 235 point totals. Not just on this road trip but going back to February 9th, all of New Orleans contest have seen their totals go over 221 points. In the past 15 games, the Pelicans rank 1st in pace in the NBA (105.7). New Orleans' Over/Under record sits at 38-23-1 on the year, the best in the NBA, with their games cashing over tickets 62.3% of the time. Their opponents, also have seen success with totals this season, and they are ranked top 5 in the league seeing the game go over in 54% of their contest while holding a 34-29-1 overall record. With the Pelicans coming off back-to-backs to finish off the road trip, I fully expect them to keep playing at the pace that has given them success on the current eight-game win streak.

Plays
Pelicans -5
Pelicans Team Total over 114.5
Over 224

More Action

ACC Tournament 3/7 1:00 PM
NC State vs. Boston College
NC State-3    Over/Under 158

NC State on a 5-1 run, scoring 74+ in the last six contest. BC 2-4 in last six games allowing 84,82,79 and 85 points in those losses.
Pick: NC State-3

Big East Tournament
St John's vs. Georgetown
St John's -4.5    Over/Under 145.5

The Red Storm averaged 73 points per game this season, and in their last five wins, they have surpassed 75+ points. They will be looking to continue that remedy. Georgetown on a four-game losing streak, allowing the opponent to score 89,74,90, and 97 on that streak. Look for an extremely fast-paced game.

Picks:
Over 145.5
St John's Team Total Over 74.5



For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoknowz On Twitter

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The Texans didn't have an answer for Derrick Henry. Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images

Romeo Crennel made a valorous call that might have costed the Houston Texans from winning their second consecutive game on Sunday. Up by seven with 1:50 left in the fourth quarter, Crennel decided to call a two-point conversion following Deshaun Watson's one-yard touchdown pass to Brandin Cooks.

During the two-point conversion, Watson had a look at an open Randall Cobb, but Titans' defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons got a hand on the ball to deflect the pass. The failed conversion allowed the Titans to take a 42-36 victory over the Texans inside Nissan Stadium. Tennessee scored 13 unanswered points, which included a seven-yard touchdown pass from Ryan Tannehill to A.J. Brown to send the game into overtime.

"I think I would do it again," Crennel said during his media availability on Monday. "You are on the road against a divisional opponent who is undefeated, and if you could get that two-point conversion — you shut the door on them. We had a guy open, but unfortunately, the ball got tipped and we did not make it. I would do it again because it was a good choice."

The decision to not kick the field goal caused somewhat of an uproar, but it is understandable why Crennel made the call. Crennel had faith in Watson to put the Texans in a position to close the game, similar to his 4th-and-4 call during last week's victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars.

In the end, Crennel's risky decisions could stem from the lack of faith he has in the Texans' depleted defense.

Houston's defense hit an all-time low against the Titans. They gave up a franchise-worst 601 total yards — with Derrick Henry accounting for 212 yards on 22 carries. But despite their struggles against the run, the Texans' secondary were just as faulty. They gave up a total of 338 yards through the air and allowed Tannehill to go 8-for-9 down the field during the Titans' final drive of regulation.

Had Houston's defense made a stop during the closing seconds of the fourth quarter, the Texans could have ended the game 2-0 under their interim head coach.

"I wanted to go ahead and get the two points — I felt like that would have put the game out of reach for them," Crennel said. "If we had gotten it, we would have been in much better shape. But we did not get it. We did not perform well in overtime, and they [Titans] won the game."

Following Sunday's heartbreaking loss, Texans safety Justin Reid said it best, "Had we converted on the two-point conversion, this would be a totally different conversation. So it is what it is."

Up next, the 1-5 Texans will look to bounce back from defeat against the 4-1 Green Bay Packers, inside NRG Stadium on Sunday. Kick-off is at 12:00 PM CT.

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