Gambling Guide

Bookie busters: Fatten your bankroll with some midweek games

Bookie busters: Fatten your bankroll with some midweek games
You can make some cash on Anthony Davis and the Pelicans. New Orleans Pelicans/Facebook

Our bookie busters went 2-2 for the weekend, but let's examine a specific sequence from one of our plays that prohibited us from the sweep.

NBA
Friday 3/2/2018 6:35 pm
Warriors at Hawks
Warriors -13  Over/Under 227

The Picks were:
Warriors-13
Warriors Team Total over 120

Our thoughts were that the game would be high scoring due to not only the obvious in the Warrior's prolific offense but in the new-found pace, the Hawks have been playing at in the last month. Golden State played its part and scored 62 in the first half, and with less than five minutes left in the 4th quarter, the Warriors held a double-digit lead needing to cover -13. What happened in the last 2 minutes is inexcusable. Following a pair of Kevin Durant free throws to put the Thunder up 111-100 and put the spread at a baskets distance, the Warriors allowed Atlanta to go on a 9-0 run in 1:40 killing the bet.  A key to being successful betting is to learn from every wager you make whether it's a win or a loss. Go back and look at what exactly happened and did the game play at the pace you expected.

Cris Cyborg Under 1.5 rounds was easy cash as the Champion scored a first-round TKO.

Michigan State vs. Wisconsin under 132 was also easy cash as the game ended 63-60, with the number never in doubt.


NBA 3/7 9:00 PM
New Orleans Pelicans at Sacramento Kings
The Pelicans travel to Sacramento to finish a four-game round trip. (This is being written before the Clippers game) During this road trip, the Pelicans have been involved in shootouts, with all of their games seeing over 235 point totals. Not just on this road trip but going back to February 9th, all of New Orleans contest have seen their totals go over 221 points. In the past 15 games, the Pelicans rank 1st in pace in the NBA (105.7). New Orleans' Over/Under record sits at 38-23-1 on the year, the best in the NBA, with their games cashing over tickets 62.3% of the time. Their opponents, also have seen success with totals this season, and they are ranked top 5 in the league seeing the game go over in 54% of their contest while holding a 34-29-1 overall record. With the Pelicans coming off back-to-backs to finish off the road trip, I fully expect them to keep playing at the pace that has given them success on the current eight-game win streak.

Plays
Pelicans -5
Pelicans Team Total over 114.5
Over 224

More Action

ACC Tournament 3/7 1:00 PM
NC State vs. Boston College
NC State-3    Over/Under 158

NC State on a 5-1 run, scoring 74+ in the last six contest. BC 2-4 in last six games allowing 84,82,79 and 85 points in those losses.
Pick: NC State-3

Big East Tournament
St John's vs. Georgetown
St John's -4.5    Over/Under 145.5

The Red Storm averaged 73 points per game this season, and in their last five wins, they have surpassed 75+ points. They will be looking to continue that remedy. Georgetown on a four-game losing streak, allowing the opponent to score 89,74,90, and 97 on that streak. Look for an extremely fast-paced game.

Picks:
Over 145.5
St John's Team Total Over 74.5



For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoknowz On Twitter

Most Popular

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome

Listen Live

ESPN Houston 97.5 FM
Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome