Gambling guide

Bookie Busters: In the Zone

Kelvin Sampson has the Cougars rolling. Bob Levey/Getty Images

HOT! HOT! HOT!

Entering these tournaments where tons of public money is spread out, one just hopes to come out of the gates flying. Thursday we accomplished that.

Ending the first day of the tournament on a 9-1 run isn't too shabby, but lets not settle, I want more. The next few days allow us the opportunity to cash more tickets, but we have to be smart and patient. Pick your spots.

New Plays

Sunday Funday

2 CST

North Carolina TT over 80 5U MAX


6 CST

Virginia -10 (buy the hook) @me 5U MAX


715 CST

Houston Cougars -6 10U MAX


Cougars Alternate line -9 +130 2U

Corey Davis Points over 17.5 3U











Saturday Night Double BOMB

Auburn -2 5U MAX

Game over 147 5U MAX

FH over 69 3U


Follow at your own risk. Good luck









Previous Plays

UPDATE 1209 CST

Texas Tech TT FH Over 34.5 5U MAX

UPDATE 1251

UC Irvine +4 5U


Parlay 1U

UC Irvine +4

Oregon +2

Virginia -13.5 FH


Tennessee FH TT over 40 5U MAX


HOUSTON COUGARS -12 5U MAX BOMB !!!! LET'S RIDE

Corey Davis Over 18 Points 1U

Reb+assist over 5.5 1U


Houston -4.5 2nd half 5U MAX BIG PLAY

Houston TT over 41 3U





Previous Plays

Louisville -5 (buy the hook if 5.5) 5U MAX

Parlay 1U

NM ST +6

Under Florida ST 134

Baylor +1.5

Florida first half +1

Louisville -5

UPDATE 1204 CST

Louisville -4 HT 5U MAX

Fl St/Vermont Under 134 MAX 5U

UPDATE 125 CST

Kansas -6 5U MAX

Old Dominion +12.5 5U MAX

Parlay 1U

Kansas -6

Baylor/Cuse Under 130

Woffor/Seton Over 145

Old Dom +12.5

UPDATE 505

Murray ST TT over 39 2nd half 5U

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnows Twitter.

Be sure to check out my show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We're on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we'll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975 on Twitter.

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Framber Valdez injured his ring finger on Tuesday. Composite image by Jack Brame.

That sure escalated quickly. The news on Framber Valdez went from bad to vastly worse for the Astros with the fractured ring finger on his pitching hand concerning enough that season ending surgery is on the radar. Valdez is/was no sure thing to have been a first time quality full season starting pitcher, but seemed a decent bet after his maturity-driven albeit short season breakout 2020.

37-year-old Zack Greinke is the only member of the Astros' starting rotation to have thrown even 130 innings in a big league season. Greinke showed notable slippage in 2020. A by-product of the funky short season, or Father Time making a move? If Greinke further erodes, uh oh. It's all question marks behind him.

Lance McCullers got to the big leagues in 2015. Six years later McCullers has zero seasons under his belt in which he both pitched well and stayed healthy. If he hits that exacta in 2021 it's great for the Astros of course, greater for McCullers with free agency arriving at season's end. Particularly confounding with McCullers is that over his career he's been outstanding at Minute Maid Park, and basically sucked on the road. Career earned run average at MMP: 2.51. Career ERA everywhere else: 4.99. That's absurd. It's certainly not as if MMP is some great pitchers' park.

"Crafty" is typically applied to left-handed pitchers. Jose Urquidy seems a crafty right-hander. But since missing the 2017 season recovering from Tommy John surgery Urquidy has topped 100 innings worked once. Cristian Javier has some electric stuff and showed very well as a rookie. Javier has never thrown 115 innings in a professional season.

The odds are long against McCullers, Urquidy, and Javier all pitching well and staying healthy all season. Valdez didn't come close to making it to Opening Day. The best internal candidates to replace Framber (or anyone else) are Luis Garcia and the extremely-hyped thus far dud but still just 23 years old Forrest Whitley.

Woeful Rockets

It certainly isn't paying homage to James Harden that has the Rockets on a 13 game losing streak as they mercifully take their All-Star break. They're just that bad. Watching them is like watching a helpless fly tossed into a spider web game after game. Out of the break the Rockets play at Sacramento Thursday. The Kings are no good, but the Rockets are worse. A loss there all but guarantees matching the Houston Rockets' longest ever losing streak of 15 since the following night they play at Utah. If you care about them the Rockets are painful to watch. Hapless, helpless, hopeless. Their best shot at accelerating what might be a years long path back to relevance is to keep on stinking. The Rockets have the third worst record in the NBA. The three worst teams have equal chances at getting picks one through four in the draft. It's a 14 percent shot at number one, a 52 percent shot of being in the top four. The fourth worst team has a 48 percent chance of picking in the top four. If the Rockets are not in the top four, they lose their pick to Oklahoma City as a payoff of the awful Chris Paul-Russell Westbrook trade.

Watt signs with Cardinals

J.J. Watt could have least acknowledged "Of course the money the Cardinals offered had plenty to do with me picking them!" Off an 8-8 season in which they faded down the stretch the Cards have an interesting squad with some serious upside, especially if Kyler Murray makes a leap in his third season at quarterback. But no way are the Cardinals presently a first tier Super Bowl contender. We don't know for certain who Watt's other "finalists" were and what they offered. Seems a lock that none of them offered 23 million dollars guaranteed or two years 31 million total. Money is another scoreboard and J.J. is a huge winner on it. No one should ever blame a player for going for every dollar he can get. But Watt can't honestly say the best shot at a Super Bowl was his top priority then sign with a team which last had a winning season in 2015 and in Kliff Kingsbury has a guy who has accomplished nothing meaningful as a Head Coach at either Texas Tech or Arizona. Doesn't mean it can't happen in the desert, but there had to be better teams interested if a ring shot was of paramount importance.

Buzzer Beaters:

1. Les Miles, what a slimeball. LSU, what a slimy institution in its handling of serial sexual misconduct in its football program

2. NBA All-Star Game Sunday. In 1993 more than 22 million people watched. Last year, 6.8 million. Not sure 5 mil watch Sunday.

3. Greatest ever NFL free agent signings: Bronze-Packers, Reggie White Silver-Buccaneers, Tom Brady Gold-Saints, Drew Brees

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