GAMBLING GUIDE
Bookie Busters: Let's keep rolling with another big week
Oct 17, 2018, 7:11 am
Bookie Busters: Paper Chase
Nobody ever said this was going to be easy, well at least not the ones that do this for a long time. Gambling is a grind, success won't happen overnight. It's all about what you take from it, even when you lose. It's about seeing similar situations that remind you of a particular bet, giving you an edge as you become experienced on how to deal with certain angles. This week we were very hot, maybe the hottest yet throughout this streak, but like I say ups and downs.
We blew a chunk of the weeks' profits on the Astros game and total. A big week still, but it does hurt to give some back. Let's get back to the grind and see if we can get to +200 Units in the next few weeks.
142.9U in the pocket
Iceland vs France Over 3 MAX 3U
Scotland Pk DNB 1u
Peoples parlay 1U 3-way
Russia DNB
France over 3 game
Serbia DNB
Thursday night football Prop Buster
Barkley over 5.5 receptions -105 3U MAX
Shepard over 66.5 yards -140 2U
ODB Scored TD -130 1U
ODB receptions Over 7.5 -140 1U
ODB Over 91.5 yards -140 1U
Over 45 2U
Eagles TT 2nd half 3U
England/Croatia
Over 2 -130 MAX 3U
Belgium vs Switzerland
Belgium TT over 2 +105 1U
Hazard anytime goal scorer +115
Peoples Parlay
Chile/Peru Over 2 -130
Slovakia -175 PK Draw no bet
Georgia -7 (buy the hook if 7.5)
Patriots TT over 31.5 -110
Peru vs Chile
Over 2 MAX 5U
England League 1
Scunthorpe vs Peterborough
Over 3 MAX
Peoples Parlay
Germany/Netherlands Over 2.5
DC United/Dallas Over 2.5
Cal -6.5
Falcons ML
Teaser 10 points 3u
Chi/Mia U 1U
Chi -4 1U
Sea/Oak Ov 1U
NCAA
Cal -6.5 5U MAX
Oregon +3.5 3U MAX
Iowa State +7 5U MAX
Alabama first half -18.5 1U
Alabama Game under 75 1U
Ohio State Over live 66 5U
Nebraska next score 1U
Boxing Benavidez Under 2U
Total of the day
Germany/Netherlands Over 2.5 5 U MAX
Russia PK 3U
Russia O 2 2U
Ml 1U
Peoples Parlay #2 risk 1 U on parlays
Minnesota United (MLS) ML
Cal-6.5
Oregon moved to +4
Falcons(NFL) ML
NFL
Sea TT 5U
Atl TT 5U
Pitt +1.5 3U
Pitt/Atl parlay 1U
Ravens U 1U
Den +7.5 1U
Soccer
Col/USA over 2 5U
Over 4.5 live 5U
SNF
Patriots TT over 30.5 -120 5U BOMB
Live Over 66 MAX 5U
Halftime Banger
Pats Over 13.5 TT 2nd half 3U
Monday Night football feast
Packers first half TT over 14 (don't play if 14.5 find the 14) 5U MAX
D Adams Over 6.5 receptions 3U
Kittle Over 5.5 receptions 3U
Kittle over 59.5 Yards 3U
GB 3rd Q 5u
GB 1st half TT O 26.5 1U
3rd Q highest Q .5
Tuesday MLB
Astros -125 2U
Astros TT over 4 MAX 5U
Over 10.5 Live 5U
Fra/Bel Ov 2.5 5U
Bel/Neth Ov 2.5 5U
142.9U +24.6 + 167.5 Units Since NFL Started. This doesn’t include our World Cup and Champions League profits.
Still a great week after giving back a chunk to MLB Tuesday. I listed the live plays as well. Tried to get all of them (we play a high volume), If something is off, call me bad at math but not a cheat. I do this for you. My plan is to get us to +200 Units but we have to be patient. Ups and downs!
Wednesday
MLS
DC United/Tor
Over 3 5U MAX
Dreams....
Astros ML first 5 innings -140 5U MAX BANG
Astros -155 5U MAX BANG
10/18 UPDATE
NFL
Kirk Receptions over 3.5 5U MAX
Kirk yards over 51 yards 3U
Prop of the night
Game over 4.5 sacks 5U MAX
MLB
Astros -1 -140 MAX 5U
NBA
76ers first half TT over 59.5 1U
Shatterday
Chelsea ML 3U
Hoffenheim at Nurnberg
Over 3 5U MAX 5U
RB Leipzig at Augsburg
Over 2.5 MAX 5U
Bournemouth/ Southampton
over 2.5 2U
UPDATE 10:42 AM CST
Virginia +7 2U
Hawaii -3 2U
Auburn -4 (seeing 4.5 some places get to 4) 5U
UPDATED 10:55 CST
Liverpool Salah scores anytime 5U
UPDATE Sat 2:45 PM CST
Peru Soccer
Garcilaso game Over 3 MAX 5U
NBA
Rockets -2.5 3U MAX
Update 6:23 PM CST
NCAA
Utah -7 5U MAX
SNF
KC -6 5U BOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
KC TT Over 31 -127 5U typo it was a 5* grade it 3 or 5 same to me. Just look at the 5 key its %
KC TT First half Over 16 3U
Watkins Over 3,5 receptions 5U MAX
Kelce TD 3U MAX
Mahomes Rush TD 1U +380
UPDATED
KC ML 3rd Q (no spread) MAX 5U -137
KC TT over 14 2nd half MAX 5U
KC scores next -180 1U
Monday 10/22 UPDATE CST 1:30 PM CST
England
Arsenal/Lei City
Over 3 3U MAX
UPDATE 10/23 1:10 PM CST
Ajax game over 2.5 3U MAX
Peoples Parlay 1u
Ajax game over 2.5
Lyon game over 3
Juventus pk draw no bet
Parlay #2 1U
Manchester City game Over 3
Ajax game over 2.5
Roma ML
Juventus TT over 1
Parlay #3 1U
Roma ML
Juventus TT over 1
Lyon game Over 3
Off the wall parlay Risk .5 U
Ajax draw +300
Lyon game over 3
HALFTIME 2:54 CST
Manchester City game over 3.5 5U MAX
Follow at your own risk, turn the volume up
For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz Twitter.
Be sure to check out my new show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We’re on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we’ll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975 on Twitter.
After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.
Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.
While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.
Caratini comes through!
So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.
Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.
Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.
Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.
Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…
Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.
Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.