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Bookie Busters: Let's keep rolling with another big week

Bookie Busters: Let's keep rolling with another big week
Let's get that cash. Illustration by Matt Cardy/Getty Images

 

 

Bookie Busters:    Paper Chase

 

Nobody ever said this was going to be easy, well at least not the ones that do this for a long time. Gambling is a grind, success won't happen overnight. It's all about what you take from it, even when you lose. It's about seeing similar situations that remind you of a particular bet, giving you an edge as you become experienced on how to deal with certain angles. This week we were very hot, maybe the hottest yet throughout this streak, but like I say ups and downs.

We blew a chunk of the weeks' profits on the Astros game and total. A big week still, but it does hurt to give some back. Let's get back to the grind and see if we can get to +200 Units in the next few weeks.

Last week read

142.9U in the pocket

Iceland vs France  Over 3 MAX 3U
Scotland Pk DNB     1u

Peoples parlay 1U   3-way
Russia DNB
France over 3 game
Serbia DNB

Thursday night football Prop Buster
Barkley over 5.5 receptions -105 3U MAX
Shepard over 66.5 yards   -140 2U
ODB  Scored TD  -130 1U
ODB receptions Over 7.5   -140 1U
ODB Over 91.5 yards -140  1U
Over 45  2U
Eagles TT 2nd half 3U

England/Croatia
Over 2 -130 MAX 3U
Belgium vs Switzerland
Belgium TT over 2  +105 1U
Hazard anytime goal scorer  +115

Peoples Parlay
Chile/Peru Over 2 -130
Slovakia  -175 PK Draw no bet
Georgia -7 (buy the hook if 7.5)
Patriots TT over 31.5 -110

Peru vs Chile
Over 2 MAX 5U

England League 1
Scunthorpe  vs Peterborough
Over 3 MAX

Peoples Parlay
Germany/Netherlands Over 2.5
DC United/Dallas Over 2.5
Cal -6.5
Falcons ML

Teaser 10 points 3u
Chi/Mia   U 1U
Chi -4     1U
Sea/Oak Ov     1U

NCAA

Cal -6.5      5U MAX
Oregon +3.5     3U MAX
Iowa State +7  5U MAX
Alabama first half -18.5 1U
Alabama Game under 75  1U
Ohio State Over live 66      5U
Nebraska next score    1U
Boxing Benavidez Under 2U

Total of the day
Germany/Netherlands Over 2.5        5 U MAX

Russia PK   3U
Russia O 2   2U
Ml  1U

Peoples Parlay #2  risk 1 U on parlays
Minnesota United (MLS) ML
Cal-6.5
Oregon moved to +4
Falcons(NFL) ML

NFL
Sea TT 5U
Atl TT 5U
Pitt +1.5  3U
Pitt/Atl parlay   1U
Ravens U  1U
Den +7.5   1U

Soccer

Col/USA over 2   5U
Over 4.5 live 5U

SNF
Patriots TT over 30.5 -120     5U BOMB
Live Over 66   MAX 5U
Halftime Banger
Pats Over 13.5 TT 2nd half 3U

Monday Night football feast
Packers first half TT over 14  (don't play if 14.5 find the 14)    5U MAX
D Adams Over 6.5 receptions   3U
Kittle Over 5.5  receptions 3U
Kittle over 59.5 Yards    3U

GB 3rd Q 5u
GB 1st half TT O  26.5 1U
3rd Q  highest Q   .5


Tuesday MLB
Astros -125    2U
Astros TT over 4   MAX 5U
Over 10.5 Live 5U

Fra/Bel Ov 2.5   5U
Bel/Neth  Ov 2.5 5U

142.9U  +24.6 + 167.5 Units Since NFL Started. This doesn’t include our World Cup and Champions League profits.

Still a great week after giving back a chunk to MLB Tuesday. I listed the live plays as well. Tried to get all of them (we play a high volume), If something is off, call me bad at math but not a cheat. I do this for you. My plan is to get us to +200 Units but we have to be patient. Ups and downs!


Wednesday

MLS

DC United/Tor

Over 3   5U MAX

 

 

Dreams....

Astros ML first 5 innings -140   5U MAX BANG

Astros -155    5U MAX BANG

 

 

 

10/18  UPDATE

NFL

Kirk Receptions over 3.5 5U MAX

Kirk   yards over 51 yards 3U

Prop of the night

Game over 4.5 sacks    5U MAX

 

MLB

Astros -1   -140    MAX 5U

 

NBA

76ers first half TT over 59.5    1U

 

Shatterday

Chelsea ML   3U

Hoffenheim at Nurnberg
Over 3 5U MAX 5U


RB Leipzig at Augsburg
Over 2.5  MAX 5U

 

Bournemouth/ Southampton

over 2.5 2U

 

UPDATE   10:42 AM CST

Virginia +7    2U

Hawaii -3    2U

Auburn -4  (seeing 4.5 some places get to 4)   5U

 

UPDATED 10:55 CST

 

Liverpool   Salah scores anytime 5U

 

UPDATE Sat 2:45 PM CST

Peru Soccer

Garcilaso game Over 3  MAX 5U

 

NBA

Rockets -2.5 3U MAX

 

Update   6:23 PM CST

NCAA

Utah -7   5U MAX

 

SNF

KC -6    5U   BOOOOOOOOOOOOOM

KC TT Over 31 -127   5U   typo it was a 5*  grade it 3 or 5 same to me. Just look at the 5 key its %

KC TT First half Over 16  3U

Watkins Over 3,5 receptions   5U MAX

Kelce TD 3U MAX 

Mahomes Rush TD 1U +380

 

UPDATED

KC ML 3rd Q  (no spread)    MAX 5U -137

KC TT over 14  2nd half MAX 5U

KC scores next -180  1U

 

Monday 10/22 UPDATE  CST 1:30 PM CST

England

Arsenal/Lei City

Over 3      3U MAX

 

UPDATE    10/23     1:10 PM   CST

Ajax game over 2.5 3U MAX

Peoples Parlay   1u

Ajax game over 2.5

Lyon game over 3

Juventus pk draw no bet

 

Parlay #2   1U

Manchester City game Over 3

Ajax game over 2.5

Roma ML

Juventus TT over 1

 

 

Parlay #3   1U

Roma ML

Juventus TT over 1

Lyon game Over 3

 

Off the wall parlay Risk .5 U

Ajax draw +300

Lyon game over 3

 

 

HALFTIME   2:54 CST

Manchester City game over 3.5  5U MAX

 

 

Follow at your own risk, turn the volume up

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz Twitter.

Be sure to check out my new show MoneyLine with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5. We’re on every Sunday from 10-noon, and we’ll talk a lot of fantasy football and NFL gambling. Also, be sure to follow us @Moneyline975 on Twitter.


 

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Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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