Gambling Guide

Bookie busters: Plays for the weekend with a heavy focus on soccer

Bookie busters: Plays for the weekend with a heavy focus on soccer
Ronaldo should score a goal this weekend. Photo courtesy of Nike, Inc.

Let's jump into a weekend primed for gambling with Playoff action and a few soccer bets I love. Come with me; I'll take you around the world!

Tuesday Champions League Semi-Finals 2nd leg

Real Madrid -Bayern Munich        1:45   PM

The highly anticipated grudge match, in which the away team will be looking to overcome a 2-1 home loss in the first leg. Having allowed two away goals, Bayern Munich knows the task at hand, and that will be to score quickly. I don't think they are capable of shutting down Madrid in the Bernabeu. Both teams will have chances with Real Madrid ultimately putting the nail in the coffin through counter attacks.

Both teams to score

Over 3

Scores in both halves

Ronaldo scores goal

NBA

Utah Jazz vs. Oklahoma City Thunder            Friday 9:35 PM

An elimination game, with the world watching, brings us everything we want out of a playoff NBA game. Now you would think teams in "have to" win situation would go out and win but the truth is in the last five years teams facing elimination are 53-71 straight-up and 58-64 (47.5percent) ATS. Sometimes the added pressure of needing to win doesn't relate to better play. Utah set the pace at home; the 6 point spread might be a little too much so I'll go with the under.

Jazz games went under the total 52.3 percent of games during the season, while at home the number skyrocketed to 60.5 percent.

Under 207

Australia

Friday 4:50 AM

Melbourne City vs. Newcastle Jets

Newcastle has scored 10 goals in the past 5 matches but also has allowed 12.

Over 3

Germany

Saturday 11:30 AM

Bayer Leverkusen vs. Stuttgart

Leverkusen last three over. Visitors last 3 road games over total 2.5

Over  3

England

Sunday  10:30 AM

Plays Of The Weekend

Manchester United vs. Arsenal

United has scored 2+ goals in 8 of last 9 games in English competitions. Arsenal 23 goals in the last 8 matches also scoring 2+ in 9 of the last 10 matches.

Over 2.5

Both teams to score

MLS

Saturday 7 PM

Minnesota vs. Houston Dynamo

Minnesota's last two matches have seen a combined nine goals, Not a good trend hosting the league's top 5 scoring team. The only problem is the Dynamo defense has allowed 14 goals, landing them in bottom 10 in the MLS.

Both Teams to Score

Over 3

France

Sunday 2 PM

PSG vs. Guingamp

Guingamp have netted 13 goals in the last 6 matches; The home team is one of the highest scoring squads in European football. PSG has scored 15 goals in the last 5.

Over 3.5

For any questions  or comments reach me @JerryBoknowz on twitter. Follow for live/halftime plays.

 

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Is leadership the main problem for Houston? Composite Getty Image.

With the Astros now officially ten games under .500 for the season, manager Joe Espada is taking a lot of heat from the fanbase for the team's struggles.

While we don't agree with the sentiment, we even hear fans clamoring for the return of Dusty Baker and Martin Maldonado, thinking the Astros wouldn't be in this mess if they were still here.

Which is ridiculous. First of all, Maldonado has been awful for the White Sox, hitting .048 (even worse than Jose Abreu's .065). And for those of you that think his work with the pitching staff justifies his pathetic offense. Let me say this: Where was Maldy's game calling genius for Hunter Brown, Cristian Javier, and Framber Valdez last year? All of them regressed significantly.

And as far as Baker is concerned, we have no idea how much a difference he would make, we can only speculate. Baker would also be dealing with a pitching staff ravaged with injuries. And let's not forget, Baker was the guy that refused to move Jose Abreu down in the batting order, even though he would finish the regular season with the ninth-worst OPS in baseball.

The reality of the situation is managers can only do so much in baseball. Which leads us to something else that needs to be considered. Is Espada being handcuffed by the front office? Espada and GM Dana Brown both said recently that Jon Singleton was going to get more at-bats while they give Abreu time off to try to figure things out. Yet, there Abreu was in the lineup again in the opening game of the Cubs series.

It makes us wonder how much power does Espada truly have? The Astros have some other options at first base. Yainer Diaz may only have eight games played at the position, but how much worse could he be than Abreu defensively? Abreu already has four errors, and Diaz is obviously a way better hitter. Victor Caratini isn't considered a plus offensive player, but his .276 batting average makes him look like Babe Ruth compared to Abreu. Let him catch more often and play Diaz at first. Starting Diaz at first more often could also lengthen his career long-term.

Maybe that's too wild of a move. Okay, fine. How about playing Mauricio Dubon at first base? I understand he doesn't have much experience at that position, but what's the downside of trying him there? If he can play shortstop, he can play first base. He's driving in runs at a higher rate (11 RBIs) than everyone on the team outside of Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez. And he's producing like that as part-time player right now.

The other criticism we see of Espada is his use of Jon Singleton to pinch hit late in games. Let's be real, though, who else does Espada have on the roster to go to? Batting Abreu late in games in which you're trailing should be considered malpractice. Espada can only use who he has to work with. This all really stems from the Astros poor farm system.

They don't have anyone else to turn to. The draft picks the club lost from the sign-stealing scandal are really hurting them right now. First and second rounders from 2020 and 2021 should be helping you in 2024 at the big league level.

Maybe they go to Astros prospect Joey Loperfido soon, but after a hot start he has only two hits in his last six games.

Finally, we have to talk about what seems like a committee making baseball decisions. Lost in a committee is accountability. Who gets the blame for making poor decisions?

As time continues to pass it looks like moving on from former GM James Click was a massive mistake. He's the guy that didn't sign Abreu, but did trade Myles Straw (recently DFA'd) for Yainer Diaz and Phil Maton. He also built an elite bullpen without breaking the bank, and helped the club win a World Series in 2022.

The reality of the situation is Dusty Baker and James Click are not walking back through that door. And all good runs come to an end at some point. Is this what we're witnessing?

Don't miss the video above as we hit on all the points discussed and much more!

Catch Stone Cold 'Stros (an Astros podcast) with Charlie Pallilo, Brandon Strange, and Josh Jordan. We drop two episodes every week on SportsMapHouston's YouTube channel. You can also listen on Apple Podcast, Spotifyor wherever you get your podcasts.

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