GAMBLING GUIDE

Bookie Busters weekend edition: EPL Kickoff

Harry Kane is the favorite to league the EPL in goals. Matthias Hangst/Getty Images

Soccer fans have been waiting patiently while recovering from World Cup fever. The wait is over, Friday brings us the kickoff of the English Premier League.

We are doing Bookie Busters a little different now. I'll be updating my plays on this same article throughout the weekend. That way nobody misses the plays, just click my latest articles as I update plays. This will be crucial during football when we fire off halftime/live bets.

Click away!

ODDS TO WIN 2018-19 PREMIER LEAGUE

Manchester City    -150
Liverpool    +400
Manchester United    +750
Chelsea    +1200
Tottenham    +1600
Arsenal    +2500
Everton    +20000
Leicester    +30000
Wolves    +30000
Burnley    +50000
Newcastle    +50000
Southampton    +50000
West Ham    +50000
Crystal Palace    +75000
Cardiff City    +100000
Fulham    +100000
Bournemouth    +100000
Brighton    +100000
Huddersfield    +100000
Watford    +100000

I personally love Liverpool this season. 4-1 seems a little short after the recent signings and the public had jumped on board.
 

Champion prediction: Liverpool   2U

ODDS TO BE 2018-19 PREMIER LEAGUE TOP GOAL SCORER

Team    Odds
Harry Kane (Tottenham)    +300
Mohamed Salah (Liverpool)    +450
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal)    +700
Sergio Aguero (Manchester City)    +800
Romelu Lukaku (Manchester United)    +850
Gabriel Jesus (Manchester City)    +1000
Alexandre Lacazette (Arsenal)    +2500
Alvaro Morata (Chelsea)    +2500
Eden Hazard (Chelsea)    +3300
Alexis Sanchez (Manchester United)    +3300
Roberto Firmino (Liverpool)    +3300
Raheem Sterling (Manchester City)    +3300
Olivier Giroud (Chelsea)    +4000
Leroy Sane (Manchester City)    +4000
Jamie Vardy (Leicester)    +5000
Marcus Rashford (Manchester United)    +5000
Sadio Mane (Liverpool)    +6600
Cenk Tosun (Everton)    +6600
Marko Arnautovic (West Ham)    +6600
Riyad Mahrez (Leicester)    +6600
Christian Benteke (Crystal Palace)    +8000
Anthony Martial (Manchester United)    +8000
Javier Hernandez (West Ham)    +10000
Kelechi Iheanacho (Leicester)    +10000
Dele Alli (Tottenham)    +10000
Charlie Austin (Southampton)    +10000
David Silva (Manchester City)    +10000
Javier Hernandez (West Ham)    +10000
Danny Welbeck (Arsenal)    +15000
Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City)    +15000
Christian Eriksen (Tottenham)    +15000
Callum Wilson (Bournemouth)    +15000

Eden Hazard had one of the best performances at Russia 2018. Now, he comes into the season sitting at 33-1 to win top goalscorer this season, I'll take those odds.

Eden Hazard .5U

Friday

Plays
Leicester at Manchester United - EPL Regular Season Kickoff
Manchester United team total over 1.5        MAX 5U -140   WINNER

Match Result and O/U 1.5 Goals
United and Over   MAX 5U -125   WINNER

EPL

Cardiff vs Bournemouth

Bournemouth -110 ML  2U   WINNER

Uruguay

Cerro vs Nacional

Over 1 First Half   -160  MAX  PUSH

Holland

Utrecht vs PSV

Over 3 4U   WINNER

 

 

MLS

Minn/LA

Over 3.5     MAX WINNER

 

KC/ LA FC

Over 3     MAX  LOSS

 

RSL/ MTL

Over 3     MAX   LOSS

Pool/West ham  

Over 3  3U   WINNER

Arsenal/ City     

Over 3 MAX LOSS

Updated 8/14    6:15 PM CST

MLS

Rapids/ Galaxy 

Over 3 MAX

 



I'll be updating all weekend, stay tuned!!

 

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on twitter. Check out Moneyline on Sundays from 10 a.m. - noon with Josh Jordan on ESPN 97.5.


 

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Framber Valdez injured his ring finger on Tuesday. Composite image by Jack Brame.

That sure escalated quickly. The news on Framber Valdez went from bad to vastly worse for the Astros with the fractured ring finger on his pitching hand concerning enough that season ending surgery is on the radar. Valdez is/was no sure thing to have been a first time quality full season starting pitcher, but seemed a decent bet after his maturity-driven albeit short season breakout 2020.

37-year-old Zack Greinke is the only member of the Astros' starting rotation to have thrown even 130 innings in a big league season. Greinke showed notable slippage in 2020. A by-product of the funky short season, or Father Time making a move? If Greinke further erodes, uh oh. It's all question marks behind him.

Lance McCullers got to the big leagues in 2015. Six years later McCullers has zero seasons under his belt in which he both pitched well and stayed healthy. If he hits that exacta in 2021 it's great for the Astros of course, greater for McCullers with free agency arriving at season's end. Particularly confounding with McCullers is that over his career he's been outstanding at Minute Maid Park, and basically sucked on the road. Career earned run average at MMP: 2.51. Career ERA everywhere else: 4.99. That's absurd. It's certainly not as if MMP is some great pitchers' park.

"Crafty" is typically applied to left-handed pitchers. Jose Urquidy seems a crafty right-hander. But since missing the 2017 season recovering from Tommy John surgery Urquidy has topped 100 innings worked once. Cristian Javier has some electric stuff and showed very well as a rookie. Javier has never thrown 115 innings in a professional season.

The odds are long against McCullers, Urquidy, and Javier all pitching well and staying healthy all season. Valdez didn't come close to making it to Opening Day. The best internal candidates to replace Framber (or anyone else) are Luis Garcia and the extremely-hyped thus far dud but still just 23 years old Forrest Whitley.

Woeful Rockets

It certainly isn't paying homage to James Harden that has the Rockets on a 13 game losing streak as they mercifully take their All-Star break. They're just that bad. Watching them is like watching a helpless fly tossed into a spider web game after game. Out of the break the Rockets play at Sacramento Thursday. The Kings are no good, but the Rockets are worse. A loss there all but guarantees matching the Houston Rockets' longest ever losing streak of 15 since the following night they play at Utah. If you care about them the Rockets are painful to watch. Hapless, helpless, hopeless. Their best shot at accelerating what might be a years long path back to relevance is to keep on stinking. The Rockets have the third worst record in the NBA. The three worst teams have equal chances at getting picks one through four in the draft. It's a 14 percent shot at number one, a 52 percent shot of being in the top four. The fourth worst team has a 48 percent chance of picking in the top four. If the Rockets are not in the top four, they lose their pick to Oklahoma City as a payoff of the awful Chris Paul-Russell Westbrook trade.

Watt signs with Cardinals

J.J. Watt could have least acknowledged "Of course the money the Cardinals offered had plenty to do with me picking them!" Off an 8-8 season in which they faded down the stretch the Cards have an interesting squad with some serious upside, especially if Kyler Murray makes a leap in his third season at quarterback. But no way are the Cardinals presently a first tier Super Bowl contender. We don't know for certain who Watt's other "finalists" were and what they offered. Seems a lock that none of them offered 23 million dollars guaranteed or two years 31 million total. Money is another scoreboard and J.J. is a huge winner on it. No one should ever blame a player for going for every dollar he can get. But Watt can't honestly say the best shot at a Super Bowl was his top priority then sign with a team which last had a winning season in 2015 and in Kliff Kingsbury has a guy who has accomplished nothing meaningful as a Head Coach at either Texas Tech or Arizona. Doesn't mean it can't happen in the desert, but there had to be better teams interested if a ring shot was of paramount importance.

Buzzer Beaters:

1. Les Miles, what a slimeball. LSU, what a slimy institution in its handling of serial sexual misconduct in its football program

2. NBA All-Star Game Sunday. In 1993 more than 22 million people watched. Last year, 6.8 million. Not sure 5 mil watch Sunday.

3. Greatest ever NFL free agent signings: Bronze-Packers, Reggie White Silver-Buccaneers, Tom Brady Gold-Saints, Drew Brees

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