THE PALLILOG
If early noise means anything, here’s what the Astros should hear
Apr 10, 2025, 2:54 pm
Can the Astros get the offense on track against the Angels? Composite Getty Image.
What a wild four day pendulum swing of results for the Astros. The season is two weeks old and they may already have on the books what turn out to be their biggest comeback and biggest blown lead all season. Not one time all last season did the Astros win a game they trailed after eight innings. 0-56. We know they can't match that futility in 2025 after Sunday's wow of a win at Minnesota after trailing 7-1 early, and 7-5 going to the ninth. If yin was that win, Wednesday's yang really stang (stung doesn't rhyme!). It's no easy feat to blow a game you lead 5-0 with two out in the eighth inning. The Astros' bullpen proved down to the challenge in Seattle. Had to make the flight home feel extra long. The Astros have played four series this season. They have won two and lost two. Their record sits below .500 because while taking two out of three from the Mets and Twins, and losing two of three to the Mariners, they got swept three by the Giants. The Astros' 5-7 mark means that over the next 14 games they can go 3-11 and still have a better record than the 7-19 mess they built through the first 26 games last season! Bet the over.
While losing Spencer Arrighetti to a fluke injury broken thumb is a bummer, Astros’ starting pitching remains a strength. Hunter Brown has been rock solid in all three of his starts. Framber Valdez has been fabulous in two of his three starts. Hayden Wesneski has flashed quality. Ronel Blanco has not thus far, but it’s two starts. Bullpen depth will remain a question but a bigger concern is Bryan Abreu blowing two save opportunities in Seattle.
The offense continues to be, well, mostly underwhelming is a nice way to put it. Jake Meyers hasn’t been the second-best hitter in the lineup because he has morphed into prime Mike Trout (more on him later). The Astros have still failed to score more than three runs in back-to-back games. That will soon change. Yordan Alvarez has jarringly feeble numbers, but think of him as a bomb soon to detonate. It’s a sluggish start and nothing more. Elite hitters have down stretches, Alvarez just happens to have had one out of the starting blocks. Last May, for the entire month Yordan hit two home runs with only four runs batted in. He began last season absolutely atrociously with runners in scoring position, going eight for his first 50 at bats (.160 batting average). The rest of the season he mashed to a .369 average in those spots. Over 162 games water finds its level.
It’s still too early to be deeply concerned about a player’s performance, but geez Yainer Diaz has been awful. Batting 61 sums it up. Not .161. .061. Two hits (both singles) in 33 at bats. Though his power disappeared for multiple long stretches last season, Diaz hit .299 for the year. At 26 years old he hasn’t lost the ability to hit.
Christian Walker also remains mostly a mess. His strike zone management has been abysmal. At least Walker finally drew his first two walks of the season Wednesday. That goes with his .146 average and 18 strikeouts in 48 at bats. Remember, Walker missed a chunk of spring training with an oblique issue. That’s not a full alibi, but perhaps somewhat explicative of his scuffles. In seven of 12 games played, Walker has struck out at least twice. He’s a slugger who is going to whiff, averaging over 130 strikeouts the last three seasons.
Angels in the outfield
The Astros get the Angels this weekend at Daikin Park. They will not face Yusei Kikuchi on the mound, with the briefly stellar ‘Stro having pitched Wednesday for his new team. If Kikuchi turns out to be a complete bust with the Angels over his three-year 63 million dollar contract, he won’t come close to being the worst free agent signing in Halos’ history.
If you think the Astros have gotten a paltry return on Lance McCullers’s contract, of course you’re right. But Lance’s five-year 85 million dollar deal pales in disaster comparison to the Angels’ ill-fated marriage with Anthony Rendon. You will not see the Rice-ex this weekend, or perhaps ever again on a big league field. Rendon has this season and next left on the seven-year 245 million dollar contract he signed with the Angels fresh off a monster 2019 season in which he finished third in National League Most Valuable Player Award voting and helped the Washington Nationals beat the Astros in the World Series. In the short-COVID 2020 season, Rendon stayed healthy and played very well. He ended 2020 with a career batting average of .290 and an .862 OPS, for perspective those numbers are both better than Alex Bregman’s. Over the four full seasons since, Rendon has hit .231 with a .666 OPS, while never playing more than 58 games in a season. That pathetic OPS number is fitting since Angels’ fans have come to think of Rendon as somewhat the Devil. He has a total of 13 home runs post-2020. Injuries ruined the back half of what had the potential to be a Hall of Fame career. But what really put Rendon in the crosshairs with Angels’ fans, his laissez-faire attitude toward the game, seemingly at times almost brandishing his lack of passion for it.
Then there’s Trout. He’s simply one of the greatest players of all-time. Mickey Mantle was at most slightly better than Mike Trout. Willie Mays is the greatest all-around player ever but offensively he was not as good as Mike Trout. Injuries have ravaged Trout over the last four seasons and at 34 he’s no longer in the league of what he once was. The Angels are paying Trout more than 37 million dollars this season, and each of the next five seasons. He’ll be 39 when the deal expires.
For Astro-centric conversation, join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday. Click here to catch!
_____________________________________________
*Looking to get the word out about your business, products, or services? Consider advertising on SportsMap! It's a great way to get in front of Houston sports fans. Click the link below for more information!
Most Popular
SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome
Listen Live
It’s May 1, and the Astros are turning heads—but not for the reasons anyone expected. Their resurgence, driven not by stars like Yordan Alvarez or Christian Walker, but by a cast of less-heralded names, is writing a strange and telling early-season story.
Christian Walker, brought in to add middle-of-the-order thump, has yet to resemble the feared hitter he was in Arizona. Forget the narrative of a slow starter—he’s never looked like this in April. Through March and April of 2025, he’s slashing a worrying .196/.277/.355 with a .632 OPS. Compare that to the same stretch in 2024, when he posted a .283 average, .496 slug, and a robust .890 OPS, and it becomes clear: this is something more than rust. Even in 2023, his April numbers (.248/.714 OPS) looked steadier.
What’s more troubling than the overall dip is when it’s happening. Walker is faltering in the biggest moments. With runners in scoring position, he’s hitting just .143 over 33 plate appearances, including 15 strikeouts. The struggles get even more glaring with two outs—.125 average, .188 slugging, and a .451 OPS in 19 such plate appearances. In “late and close” situations, when the pressure’s highest, he’s practically disappeared: 1-for-18 with a .056 average and a .167 OPS.
His patience has waned (only 9 walks so far, compared to 20 by this time last year), and for now, his presence in the lineup feels more like a placeholder than a pillar.
The contrast couldn’t be clearer when you look at José Altuve—long the engine of this franchise—who, in 2024, delivered in the moments Walker is now missing. With two outs and runners in scoring position, Altuve hit .275 with an .888 OPS. In late and close situations, he thrived with a .314 average and .854 OPS. That kind of situational excellence is missing from this 2025 squad—but someone else may yet step into that role.
And yet—the Astros are winning. Not because of Walker, but in spite of him.
Houston’s offense, in general, hasn’t lit up the leaderboard. Their team OPS ranks 23rd (.667), their slugging 25th (.357), and they sit just 22nd in runs scored (117). They’re 26th in doubles, a rare place for a team built on gap-to-gap damage.
But where there’s been light, it hasn’t come from the usual spots. Jeremy Peña, often overshadowed in a lineup full of stars, now boasts the team’s highest OPS at .791 (Isaac Paredes is second in OPS) and is flourishing in his new role as the leadoff hitter. Peña’s balance of speed, contact, aggression, and timely power has given Houston a surprising tone-setter at the top.
Even more surprising: four Astros currently have more home runs than Yordan Alvarez.
And then there’s the pitching—Houston’s anchor. The rotation and bullpen have been elite, ranking 5th in ERA (3.23), 1st in WHIP (1.08), and 4th in batting average against (.212). In a season where offense is lagging and clutch hits are rare, the arms have made all the difference.
For now, it’s the unexpected contributors keeping Houston afloat. Peña’s emergence. A rock-solid pitching staff. Role players stepping up in quiet but crucial ways. They’re not dominating, but they’re grinding—and in a sluggish AL West, that may be enough.
Walker still has time to find his swing. He showed some signs of life against Toronto and Detroit. If he does, the Astros could become dangerous. If he doesn’t, the turnaround we’re witnessing will be credited to a new cast of unlikely faces. And maybe, that’s the story that needed to be written.
We have so much more to discuss. Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!
The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday!
*ChatGPT assisted.
___________________________
Looking to get the word out about your business, products, or services? Consider advertising on SportsMap! It's a great way to get in front of Houston sports fans. Click the link below for more information!