How latest news impacts premier free agent's chances of landing with Texans
DON'T LOOK NOW!
26 February 2024
DON'T LOOK NOW!
The Houston Texans are coming off a breakout year which included a star being born in QB CJ Stroud, an AFC South championship, and a Wild Card round beat down of the Cleveland Browns.
The interest in the Texans hasn't been this high in years, and some top free agents are eyeing the Texans as their next landing spot.
Giants running back Saquon Barkley recently followed several Texans players on social media. Which should come as no surprise, who wouldn't want to join Stroud and the surging young Texans?
KPRC'S Aaron Wilson reported on Sunday night that Barkley's interest in joining the team is more than hitting like on social media. He's been in contract with Stroud and expressed an interest in playing in Houston (jump to the 3:45 mark in the video below).
#HoustonTexans #NFLCombine @KPRC2 discussion on Sports Sunday with @KPRC2RandyMc @KPRC2Ari pic.twitter.com/dMCJWNliBq
— Aaron Wilson (@AaronWilson_NFL) February 26, 2024
The real question is, should the Texans want Barkley? While he's still a quality running back, he's not the same player as he was before some significant injuries.
He averaged below four yards a carry last season, but as Craig points out in the first video, his offensive line was the worst in football, according to PFF.
In fact, they only had 1 out of 5 players that were considered starting caliber. The Texans had 4.
So that alone should be working in his favor to bounce back this season.
The elephant in the room
The size of the contract he will command is the real issue. PFF projects he could be looking for a deal in the range of 3-years, $31 million. With him being 27 years old, the length of the contract does make sense.
Plus, it was announced on Friday the NFL is raising the salary cap to $255.4 million, an increase over 13%. That puts the Texans 7th in cap space per PFF.
The Texans have plenty of money to spend but also a lot of holes to fill on defense. The other thing to consider is whether Barkley is the top back on the market.
This offseason stands in contrast to 2023, when Josh Jacobs, Saquon Barkley, Tony Pollard received franchise tags. This offseason, it appears no RBs will be tagged, making this one of the finest and deepest RB classes in the history of free agency.https://t.co/xmxS91X5w9
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) February 26, 2024
Adam Schefter is reporting no backs will receive the franchise tag, so Houston could have the pick of the litter in theory between Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, and Tony Pollard.
And bringing Devin Singletary back on a more affordable contract is also a possibility. We will learn a lot about the Texans backfield over the next two weeks when the legal tampering period begins on March 11.
Be sure to let us know what you would do in the comments!
Make no mistake about it, the Texans have their biggest challenge of the season this Saturday in KC, trying to keep the Chiefs from moving on and possibly winning their third straight championship.
And the level of difficulty goes much further than just a fierce opponent. The Chiefs are fully rested, and the Texans will be short-handed again on offense.
After releasing disgruntled receiver Diontae Johnson and tight end Cade Stover heading to IR, Houston will need someone outside of Nico Collins to make an impact in the passing game. Joe Mixon is a prime candidate to catch some passes this week, but he missed practice on Thursday (ankle) so that will be something to watch.
Not to mention, Robert Woods has missed practice time this week with a hip injury. Which means outside of Collins, the Texans will have to lean on John Metchie III, Dalton Schultz, and Xavier Hutchinson to move the ball through the air.
As opposed to the Chiefs who have a full complement of weapons with Travis Kelce, Hollywood Brown, DeAndre Hopkins, and burner Xavier Worthy, with Patrick Mahomes pulling the trigger. Oh yeah, they also have Andy Reid calling the plays.
It certainly appears the Chiefs have the edge of offense, but the Texans defense has gotten healthy at the right time. Especially on the defensive line that gave Justin Herbert fits in the Wild Card round.
X-factors
Tank Dell was Stroud's most effective target against the Chiefs in December, recording over 100 yards and scoring a touchdown. Collins was held to just 60 yards on 7 catches. If that happens this time around, that could spell trouble for Houston. Metchie is now the Texans No. 2 receiver because of injuries, and he got off to a terrible start last week, fumbling on the first offensive play of the game. He's done a decent job of getting open this year, but he's struggled to hold on to the football. The moment can't get too big for him this week. Also, Texans OC Bobby Slowik has to do a better job of calling plays that will keep the team out of third and long situations. Something that has plagued the team all season.
On defense, limiting Mahomes' ability to create big plays with his legs will be key. He escaped through the B gap several times in his last matchup with DeMeco Ryans' defense. Those runs led to first downs and KC's first touchdown of the game.
What does Vegas think?
The Chiefs are favored by 9, and the total is set at 41.5 points.
We have so much more to get to! Be sure to watch the video above for our in-depth preview and predictions for the big game.