STOOTS ON TEXANS

11 observations from Texans' 31-3 loss to Jaguars

Houston Texans fan stays late after the Texans' loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2013
The Jaguars hammered the Texans on Sunday. Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images.
Texans fans in full-on panic mode after just one loss

The Houston Texans finished the home slate of their schedule with a loss falling to the Jacksonville Jaguars 31-3. Here are 11 observations from the game.

1. It is the first time in franchise history the Texans have failed to win a home game. The Texans didn’t lose all eight, but they lost seven straight after opening the season with a tie against the Colts

2. This is the largest losing margin this season for the Texans. The last time Houston lost by this much was last season against the Colts. It came on the heels of three of the best weeks of play from Lovie Smith’s team.

3. The defense was horrid again, reverting to their early season form. The tackling was poor and the rush defense against the Jacksonville starters left a lot to be desired.

4. Jalen Pitre and Desmond King each had interceptions, but each had a hand in part of a horrible display of tackling on a 62-yard touchdown scamper from Travis Etienne. King just pushed him while Pitre failed to finish the play. There were plenty of poor tackling displays but this one stood out.

5. Jalen Pitre will end up as a bright spot. He will have played a ton and has solidified himself as something positive heading into next season. There were plenty of ups from his season to offset the downs.

6. This is one of the worst offenses in franchise history. The talent is lacking at skill positions, but the plays called for the players are bad too. The team ran a fade to Rex Burkhead on fourth down. Next year, it will be an offense that needs some reshaping with a different offensive mind.

7. The Texans should thank their lucky stars the Jaguars drafted Travon Walker. He’s been terrible compared to a number of other players selected in the first round. Walker amassed just one QB hit in the game. That’s all. Meanwhile, the number two overall pick Aidan Hutchinson has as many interceptions as Sauce Gardner and Derek Stingley combined to go along with his seven-and-a-half sacks.

8. The loss secures a top-two selection for the Texans.

9. The Chicago Bears are the only team who can earn the top pick other than the Texans. A win by the Bears secures the top choice for the Texans. A loss next week in Indianapolis secures the top pick for the Texans. A win by the Texans and a loss by the Bears lands Chicago the top spot.

10. Lovie Smith said if he was a betting man he would bet the Texans show up against the Colts next week. The Colts are spiraling out of control, having been demolished by the New York Giants on Sunday.

11. Lovie Smith’s job is in jeopardy and if I was making a call as you read this, I would believe he is fired and the Texans have their third head coach search under general manager Nick Caserio.

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Gerrit Cole and Hunter Brown share the same agent now. Composite Getty Image.

There's no denying that this year's World Series champs (LA Dodgers) have some serious firepower on their roster. And one of the ways they were able to assemble such a talented team involved players like Shohei Ohtani being willing to differ their money.

Just this week, there was some speculation that the Yankees could do something similar when restructuring Gerrit Cole's contract, that would allow them more flexibility in the present.

The Yankees ended up calling Cole's bluff about opting out, and no adjustment was made to the contract.

But this situation got us thinking, would the Astros consider a tactic like this to maximize the roster? At this point, it doesn't seem all that likely. Just last year, the team handed out a $95 million contract to Josh Hader, without any differed money.

The other factor that also has to come into play is the tax threshold. The organization would have to give the okay to go over it again in order to make a splash signing this offseason. Which unfortunately does not sound like the plan right now when listening to GM Dana Brown at the Winter Meetings.

Astros pitcher hires a new agent

Now that MLB free agency is in full swing, most of the attention moving forward will be focused on players like Alex Bregman, Pete Alonso, and Juan Soto.

But for Astros fans, there might be someone else to keep an eye on this offseason and next. Starting pitcher Hunter Brown quietly hired super agent Scott Boras recently.

With Brown still another season away from his first year of arbitration, he should be with the Astros for the foreseeable future.

However, the hiring of Boras does raise some interesting questions. Why make the move now? Certainly, Brown could use some more cash, as he's set to make less than a million in 2025.

Perhaps Brown wants to land some HEB commercials to fatten his wallet. And if Bregman does leave the team in free agency, a spot will open up for another player, in theory. And three of the players in the HEB ads are represented by Boras (Jose Altuve, Lance McCullers Jr. and Bregman).

Jeremy Pena has been stacking cash from Taquerias Arandas for several years now, maybe Brown would like an opportunity to do an endorsement similar to that.

I say all this half kidding, but Brown does look like the future ace of this staff, and I'm sure there are plenty of advertisers that would have interest in Hunter.

There is another element that could have initiated the hiring of Boras. Would Brown be willing to sign an extension early with the Astros similar to the deal the team made with Cristian Javier?

Their situations are actually pretty comparable, except Javier was one year further into his career (3 years of MLB service time) and eligible for arbitration before agreeing to the extension.

If Brown was heading into arbitration this offseason, it wouldn't be surprising at all for the Astros to be considering a long-term deal with him that buys up all his arbitration years. The 'Stros love these types of contract extensions. We've seen them do it with Bregman, the aforementioned Javier, and others.

One of the main differences though between Brown and Javier is their rookie year numbers. Brown only pitched 20.1 innings in his first season (2022). While Javier pitched 54.1 innings his rookie year. However, his rookie season was in 2020, so Javier completed a full year of service time despite the shortened season. Whereas Brown didn't get called up until September 2022.

Another difference is performance. Javier never posted an ERA over 3.55 in his first three seasons. As opposed to Brown, who had a disastrous year in 2023. He made 29 starts, recording an ERA over 5.

It wasn't until May of 2024 that Brown started using his two-seam fastball with great success and becoming one of the most dominant pitchers in the American League.

The Astros had a bigger sample size to judge Javier. However, if Brown has another quality season in 2025, Houston and Brown should definitely be having conversations about an extension. Especially with Framber Valdez being in the final year of his contract in 2025. Hunter could be the unquestioned ace one year from now.

Still, though, there are some concerns with handing out these early extensions. For example, if the Astros had it to do over again, would they still extend Javier?

After receiving his extension before the 2023 season, he went on to post the highest ERA of his career (4.56), and then blew out his elbow in May 2024.

And if we're going by Luis Garcia's recovery timeline from Tommy John surgery, we may not see Javier pitch at all in 2025.

So even with a sample size of three terrific seasons, the Javier extension looks like a miss with the benefit of hindsight. It will be interesting to see if that deal impacts Dana Brown's decision-making going forward.

Especially since Javier was Dana's first big contract extension as the Astros GM.

Be sure to watch the video as we discuss how the Astros can get the most out of their roster, the pros and cons of signing Hunter Brown early, and much more!

*Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo discuss varied Astros topics. The post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon. Find all via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

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