Texans try to avoid going down 0-2

How these 3 major factors will determine the outcome of Texans-Ravens

Texans Deshaun Watson
Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images

The Kansas City Chiefs held a 17-7 lead over the Houston Texans with 11:03 left in the third quarter. Patrick Mahomes completed an inside handoff to rookie running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire on 2nd-and-3. A missed tackle by Benardick Mckinney, Justin Reid and later Jacob Martin in desperation led to a 27-yard touchdown run from Edwards-Helaire.

The first career touchdown by the LSU and Baton Rouge product was a prime example of the Texans' inability to stop the run during their 34-20 defeat to the Chiefs inside Arrowhead Stadium. Following the game, a visually frustrated J.J. Watt took to the podium to express the importance of stopping the run.

When the 0-1 Texans welcome Lamar Jackson and the 1-0 Baltimore Ravens to NRG Stadium this Sunday, an impressing streak that began two years to the date on Wednesday is in jeopardy of coming to an end. Houston has not lost two consecutive games since September of 2018 and has gone 9-2 since when coming off a loss.

The 10-day layoff period between games is enough time to improve on the fallacies from Thursday's season opener. But the extra time given to the Texans may not be enough to record their first victory of the 2020 season against the Ravens.

"He [Edwards-Helaire] played a good football game," Watt said. "We have to play our assignments better — myself included. We didn't play well to win. We have to stop the run a lot better and put ourselves in better situations on third downs to get off the field."

What adjustment can the Texans make to their run defense?

Stopping the run could possibly be the Texans most vulnerable part of their defense, which could lead to a field day for the Ravens.

In 2019, Baltimore led the league in total rushing yards with 3,296 — averaging 206.0 yards per game. Houston experienced the Ravens' dynamic running game last season during a Week 11 blowout loss at M&T Bank Stadium. Led by their running back Gus Edwards — who totaled 112 yards on eight carries — the Ravens recorded 235 yards on the ground with Jackson adding 79 yards on 10 attempts.

Having Watt activated this time around will help diminish some of the damage caused by the Ravens' running game, but the addition of the five-time Pro-Bowler will not be enough to maintain Baltimore's speed. Watt missed their previous contest last November due to a torn pectoral muscle.

After the performance from last week, Houston should call upon defensive end P.J. Hall to assist their front seven in stopping the run. While appearing in 17 defensive snaps, the Texans limited the Chiefs to 50 rushing yards when Hall took to the field. He may not be inserted in the starting lineup (yet), but Hall may have bought himself more snaps this Sunday based on his performance against the Chiefs.

"P.J. did some good things," head coach and general manager Bill O'Brien said. "Let's see how it goes this week. P.J. definitely showed up on Thursday night and made a few plays. That was good to see. Let's see if we can build on that this week in practice and just keep going."

How can the Texans contain MVP Lamar Jackson?

Lamar Jackson put on a clinic against the Texans during their 41-7 victory last season. He led the Ravens to their sixth straight win with four touchdowns — going 17-for-24 through the air. Jackson's performance was one of several that justified him earning MVP honors in just his second season in the league.

Preparing for any MVP caliber quarterback can be a challenge for the Texans on any given week, but Jackson may be the worst possible match for Houston. Even more so than Mahomes.

Jackson's skill-set as the NFL's top dual-threat quarterback can leave the Texans' defense in a snafu state. His improvements as a pocket passer can carve up Houston's defense through the air. It's unenviable for the Texans to put pressure on the 23-year-old quarterback, because Jackson could use his legs to create plays outside the pocket.

The best way for the Texans to contain Jackson is by utilizing their offense as defense. If Houston can muster out a way to win the time of possession, the greater their chances will become at recording their first win over Baltimore since December of 2014. The more time Jackson spends on the sideline the better.

"Their scheme in the running game is very unique," O'Brien said before Wednesday's practice. It's just the way they use their tight ends, their blocking schemes, their backs and then obviously Lamar. Obviously, he's an excellent passer, so it's very unique."

Will the Texans see their receivers in full force against the Ravens?

Against the Chiefs, Will Fuller pulled down eight catches for 112 receiving yards. He ended the night as the only receiver who recorded over 40 yards in the loss. The trio of Randall Cobb, Brandin Cooks and Kenny Stills totaled a combined 43 yards on four receptions — Stills failed to complete a single catch.

A great deal of the Texans' lack of production coming from their receiving group was the result of a shortened offseason affected by COVID-19. The chemistry between Deshaun Watson and his new receivers seemed fictitious. Although their performance should be better with one game under their belt, the comradery between Watson and his receivers will be tested against one of the best secondaries in the league.

Last season, the Ravens' secondary played a prominent role in their success on the defensive side of the ball — only allowing 3,315 passing yards (6th) in 2019. The last time these two franchises squared off, Baltimore held Houston to 110 passing yards. DeAndre Hopkins only poured in 80 yards on seven catches.

With Pro-Bowlers Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters leading the way, the Texans should rely on their run game in hopes of pulling out a victory. Houston's backfield may be a little feeble due to Duke Johnson's ankle injury, but this would be the perfect game to utilize David Johnson's talents at its full potential.

"He played well. He did a good job. I think that he's a guy that worked hard in the offseason. Came back in good shape. He's an excellent player. He's a good route runner. It's always good to have him out there. When he plays at a high level it really helps our offense. We've got a lot of receivers. I think guys are feeling better from a health standpoint this week so we'll see how it goes." — Bill O'Brien

Prediction:

Ravens 34 Texans 23

Coty M. Davis is a reporter for ESPN 97.5 Houston/SportsMap covering the Houston Texans. He is also the co-host of Locked On Texans, a part of the Locked On Podcast Network. Follow Coty on Twitter @CotyDavis_24.

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The Chiefs are favored by nine points. Composite Getty Image.

If you are a believer in the third time is a charm, go ahead and book the Texans for their first ever appearance in the AFC Championship game! Saturday is the Texans’ third crack at the Kansas City Chiefs in the playoffs. Of course, the Texans had a third time is the charm opportunity at advancing beyond the division round back in 2016 and came nowhere close. Charm will have nothing to do with the outcome at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs have administered the Texans’ two most humiliating postseason defeats in franchise history. They came as the bookend postseason appearances of Bill O’Brien’s tenure as head coach. In 2015, the Texans won the worst division in the AFC (that sounds familiar) but as a division champ got to play host to the Wild Card 11-5 Chiefs. The visitors were three-point favorites. They won by 30. 30-0 to be more precise. Knile Davis returned the opening kickoff 106 yards for a touchdown. It would have been in the Texans’ best interest to have forfeited right then and there. In what was not exactly a shocking development, Texans’ quarterback Brian Hoyer wasn’t up to the task, throwing for just 112 yards and four interceptions. On the Chiefs’ side third-year tight end Travis Kelce had eight receptions for 128 yards. Taylor Swift was not in attendance.

The second Texans-Chiefs playoff get together is the most incredible game in Texans’ history. The Texans showed up in Missouri fresh off the greatest comeback win in their history, having come from down 16-0 in the third quarter to best the Buffalo Bills in overtime. In what could safely be characterized as stunning, the Texans put up three first quarter touchdowns for a 21-0 lead. *Massive bonus points if you can name the three Texans who scored those TDs, answer below. A field goal made it 24-0 Texans with 10:54 left in the second quarter. In a collapse tough to pull off, the Texans would trail before halftime. The Chiefs scored four touchdowns in nine minutes and eleven seconds of game time, with that Kelce fellow scoring the last three of them. Some will recall O’Brien calling a fake punt from his own 31-yard line with the Texans up 24-7. Too soon? Justin Reid (now pursuing his third Super Bowl ring in three seasons as a Chief) was stopped short. An even more damning O’Brien moment came later in that game when he actually had to use a timeout to change his mind and go for it with 11:49 left in the fourth quarter, the Texans down 48-31, and facing fourth and four at the K.C. 42. That was a fire-able on the spot offense! Instead it took an 0-4 start to the 2020 season for O’Brien to be ousted. 51-31 Chiefs was the final score, and they went on to win the first of their three Super Bowl titles in the ongoing Andy Reid/Patrick Mahomes era.

Back to the present

Those routs were then, this is now. For a 15-2 team the Chiefs seem vulnerable. Maximum credit to them for having won an NFL record 16 consecutive games decided by eight or fewer points, 11 of them this season including their 27-19 victory over the Texans December 21. Perhaps the two-time defending champions were often bored with the regular season and often did just enough to win. The Texans would have been tied with them late in the third quarter had Ka’imi Fairbairn not botched an extra point. On the other hand, it was the play that got them within 17-16 which resulted in Tank Dell’s catastrophic season-ending knee injury. Who besides Nico Collins will do something in the passing game Saturday? Last Saturday the Texans’ pass rush harassed and flustered Chargers’ quarterback Justin Herbert. Mahomes is a different breed. Four weeks ago the Texans sacked Mahomes just once and did not intercept him. That seemingly must change for the Texans to pull off what be a shocker for most people. Saturday’s high temperature forecast for Kansas City is 25 degrees. Not ideal for the Texans but better than if the game had been scheduled for Sunday when the high is supposed to be 16.

Still standing

Four Texans who dressed for the debacle five years ago will suit up against the Chiefs Saturday: Laremy Tunsil and Tytus Howard who were in their first season with the team, Fairbairn, and long snapper Jon Weeks. Granted he’s just a long snapper (important role but not physically taxing), but Weeks is in his 15th season with the Texans and has yet to miss a game-244 regular season games (with Saturday his 14th playoff game, also without a miss). Presuming he is back next season, Weeks (who turns 39 next month) can crack the top five list of most consecutive games played in NFL history by answering the bell in the first 12 regular season games.

*The Texans’ three early TDS in the 51-31 loss at KC: 1. Kenny Stills with a 54-yard reception 2. Lonnie Johnson with a 10-yard return of a blocked punt 3. Darren Fells with a four-yard grab

For Texans’ conversation, catch Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and me on our Texans On Tap podcasts. Thursdays feature a preview of the upcoming game, and then we go live (then available on demand) after the final gun of the game: Texans on Tap - YouTube

The Astros are always in season for discussion. Our Stone Cold ‘Stros podcasts drop Mondays: Click here to watch!

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