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Jerry Bo: 2018 Russia World Cup Knockouts -- 16 teams with 16 Dreams

Jerry Bo: 2018 Russia World Cup Knockouts -- 16 teams with 16 Dreams
We are down to 16 for the World Cup. @FIFAWorldCup verified Twitter account

After a wild two weeks to kick off the FIFA 2018 World Cup, we made it out of the group stages alive. The start of the tournament killed of many bankrolls and had touts going back to the drawing boards to save their customers. Let’s keep building!

The Final numbers after the group stage:
Favorites      28-11-9 straight up
Over/Under    23-22-3


The number that sticks out here is how even the totals ended. This comes as a surprise after the terrible start for over bettors.

Updated   Odds To Win

Brazil    +350
Spain    +450
Belgium    +600
England    +750
France    +850
Croatia    +1000
Argentina    +1200
Portugal    +2200
Uruguay    +2200
Colombia    +2200
Switzerland    +3300
Mexico    +5000
Russia    +6000
Sweden    +7000
Denmark    +8000
Japan    +15000

Something we have to keep in mind here when betting futures is the path of the team one is backing. If the team you're thinking about is on the "Death" side of the bracket, you might be better off rolling over money line bets all the way until the final.

The action starts back up Saturday with two beautiful matches, no more ties, make sure when you make your wagers you are aware if its in 90 minutes or to advance.

Saturday, June 30

France vs.  Argentina - 10 a.m. ET
France +157        -.5 +147
Argentina +254
Draw +201
Over 2
Under 2 (-110)

Advance Odds:
France -145
Argentina +125

Uruguay vs.  Portugal - 1 p.m. ET
Uruguay +187        PK -112
Portugal +201      PK -103
Draw +196
Over 2
Under 2 (-128)

Advance Odds:
Uruguay -120
Portugal +100

Sunday, July 1

Spain vs.  Russia -9 a.m. ET
Spain -168     -1 +115
Russia +630
Draw +291
Over 2.5
Under 2.5 (-132)

Team to Advance Odds:
Spain -340
Russia +280

Croatia vs. Denmark - 1 p.m. ET
Croatia -115
Denmark +444
Draw +221
Over 2
Under 2 (-120)

Team to Advance Odds:
Croatia -236
Denmark +190

Monday, July 2

Brazil vs.  Mexico -9 a.m. ET
Brazil -189          -1 -116
Mexico +687
Draw +321
Over 2.5
Under 2.5 (-120)

Advance odds:
Brazil -400
Mexico +320

Belgium vs.  Japan -1 p.m. ET
Belgium -243       -1 -149
Japan +906
Draw +371
Over 2.5
Under 2.5 (-110)

Advance Odds:
Belgium  -570
Japan     +435

Tuesday, July 3

Sweden vs. Switzerland -10 a.m. ET
Sweden +220         PK -125
Switzerland +171      PK +110
Draw +197
Over 2
Under 2 (-121)

Advance odds:
Sweden +105
Switzerland -125

Colombia vs.  England -1 p.m. ET
Colombia +317      +.5 -125
England +113
Draw +223
Over 2
Under 2 (-111)

Advance odds:
Colombia   +155
England    -175

Plays

France vs.  Argentina

Over 2 MAX
France Advance  MAX

France Team Total Over 1   MAX

I love all 3 as MAX plays, pick and choose which you like.

Uruguay vs.  Portugal
Under 2    2U

Spain vs.  Russia
Spain ML  MAX
Spain Team Total Over 1.5      MAX


Denmark vs Croatia
Under 2   1U

Mexico vs Brazil
Brazil Team Total Over 1.5      3U
Mexico Team Total Over .5    3U


Japan vs Belgium
Belgium -1  MAX

People Parlays, we hit our last couple  3 and 4 ways

To advance  
Parlay 3U    -110
Spain
Belgium
Brazil


To advance   
Parlay 1U   +630
Spain
Belgium
France
Uruguay
France
Croatia


Parlay   1U
Uruguay Under 2
Spain TT over 1.5
France Team total Over 1
Belgium -1

 

Good Luck everyone!

I have a few MAX on the same games, pick your spots.

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter.

 

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Have the Astros turned a corner? Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images.

After finishing up with the Guardians the Astros have a rather important series for early May with the Seattle Mariners heading to town for the weekend. While it’s still too early to be an absolute must-win series for the Astros, losing the series to drop seven or eight games off the division lead would make successfully defending their American League West title that much more unlikely.

Since their own stumble out of the gate to a 6-10 record the Mariners have been racking up series wins, including one this week over the Atlanta Braves. The M’s offense is largely Mmm Mmm Bad, but their pitching is sensational. In 18 games after the 6-10 start, the Mariners gave up five runs in a game once. In the other 17 games they only gave up four runs once. Over the 18 games their starting pitchers gave up 18 earned runs total with a 1.44 earned run average. That’s absurd. Coming into the season Seattle’s starting rotation was clearly better on paper than those of the Astros and Texas Rangers, and it has crystal clearly played out as such into the second month of the schedule.

While it’s natural to focus on and fret over one’s own team's woes when they are plentiful as they have been for the Astros, a reminder that not all grass is greener elsewhere. Alex Bregman has been awful so far. So has young Mariners’ superstar Julio Rodriguez. A meager four extra base hits over his first 30 games were all Julio produced down at the ballyard. That the Mariners are well ahead of the Astros with J-Rod significantly underperforming is good news for Seattle.

Caratini comes through!

So it turns out the Astros are allowed to have a Puerto Rican-born catcher who can hit a little bit. Victor Caratini’s pedigree is not that of a quality offensive player, but he has swung the bat well thus far in his limited playing time and provided the most exciting moment of the Astros’ season with his two-out two-run 10th inning game winning home run Tuesday night. I grant that one could certainly say “Hey! Ronel Blanco finishing off his no-hitter has been the most exciting moment.” I opt for the suddenness of Caratini’s blow turning near defeat into instant victory for a team that has been lousy overall to this point. Frittering away a game the Astros had led 8-3 would have been another blow. Instead, to the Victor belong the spoils.

Pudge Rodriguez is the greatest native Puerto Rican catcher, but he was no longer a good hitter when with the Astros for the majority of the 2009 season. Then there’s Martin Maldonado.

Maldonado’s hitting stats with the Astros look Mike Piazza-ian compared to what Jose Abreu was doing this season. Finally, mercifully for all, Abreu is off the roster as he accepts a stint at rookie-level ball in Florida to see if he can perform baseball-CPR on his swing and career. Until or unless he proves otherwise, Abreu is washed up and at some point the Astros will have to accept it and swallow whatever is left on his contract that runs through next season. For now Abreu makes over $120,000 per game to not be on the roster. At his level of performance, that’s a better deal than paying him that money to be on the roster.

Abreu’s seven hits in 71 at bats for an .099 batting average with a .269 OPS is a humiliating stat line. In 2018 George Springer went to sleep the night of June 13 batting .293 after going hitless in his last four at bats in a 13-5 Astros’ win over Oakland. At the time no one could have ever envisioned that Springer had started a deep, deep funk which would have him endure a nightmarish six for 78 stretch at the plate (.077 batting average). Springer then hit .293 the rest of the season.

Abreu’s exile opened the door for Joey Loperfido to begin his Major League career. Very cool for Loperfido to smack a two-run single in his first game. He also struck out twice. Loperfido will amass whiffs by the bushel, he had 37 strikeouts in 101 at bats at AAA Sugar Land. Still, if he can hit .225 with some walks mixed in (he drew 16 with the Space Cowboys) and deliver some of his obvious power (13 homers in 25 games for the ex-Skeeters) that’s an upgrade over Abreu/Jon Singleton, as well as over Jake Meyers and the awful showing Chas McCormick has posted so far. Frankly, it seems unwise that the Astros only had Loperfido play seven games at first base in the minors this year. If McCormick doesn’t pick it up soon and with Meyers displaying limited offensive upside, the next guy worth a call-up is outfielder Pedro Leon. In January 2021 the Astros gave Leon four million dollars to sign out of Cuba and called him a “rapid mover to the Major Leagues.” Well…

Over his first three minor league seasons Leon flashed tools but definitely underwhelmed. He has been substantially better so far this year. He turns 26 May 28. Just maybe the Astros offense could be the cause of fewer Ls with Loperfido at first and Leon in center field.

Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via YouTube: stone cold stros - YouTube with the complete audio available via Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts.

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