GAMBLING GUIDE

Jerry Bo's Bookie Busters: World Cup weekend edition

Mexico should be celebrating another victory. Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images

The World Cup has brought us plenty of surprises thus far, and we look for things to become somewhat more uniform as the tournament progresses. Favorites continue to dominate straight up going 14-5-4. Don't be afraid to parlay some of these big favorites, small payouts are better than large losses.

The Under run continues. As we previously discussed, this tournament has seen an abundance of low scoring first halves and favorites winning but not covering the line. The Over/ Under is now 9-13-1. Teams are parking the bus and playing for short results. Imagine playing a game with your whole squad backed in your own half playing not to lose for 90 minutes, but then conceding in the 70th minute giving you minimal time to make up the score. An interesting trend we have seen is South American teams struggling, starting out 0-6-2 ATS. Keep a close eye on teams from the CONMEBOL as the tournament continues.

3 MAX plays this weekend, Good Luck!

Costa Rica vs Brazil - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Brazil -1.5    MAX
Brazil TT Over 2     4U
Brazil to nil    2U

Iceland vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Nigeria TT Over 1      1U

Switzerland vs Serbia - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Under 2      2U

Tunisia vs Belgium - FIFA World Cup - Group G
Belgium -1      2U

Mexico vs South Korea - FIFA World Cup - Group F
Mexico  ML MAX  5U

Panama vs England - FIFA World Cup - Group G
England -1.5   4U
England to nil  1U

Senegal vs Japan - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Senegal PK     2U

Colombia vs Poland - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Over 2     MAX 5U

Colombia advances from Group H   +155 1U

Egypt vs Saudi Arabia - FIFA World Cup - Group A
Egypt ML     1U

Portugal vs Iran - FIFA World Cup - Group B
Portugal ML     2U

Peru vs Australia - FIFA World Cup - Group C
Peru    PK  4U

Argentina vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Over 2.5    1U

Peoples Parlay  1U

Brazil  -1.5

Peru PK

Mexico ML

Col/Pol  Over 2

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter.

 

Most Popular

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome

Listen Live

A WEEKLY REVIEW OF O'BRIEN'S COACHING

Not my job: Texans no match for the Ravens

Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images.

The Texans fell to the Ravens 33-16 in a game they had a shot at winning. Most of you reading this will probably think I'm crazy for saying that. I assure you, I meant what I said. One of the reasons they didn't was because Bill O'Brien made a few questionable decisions that cost this team.

The first was the 4th & 1 decision. Deciding to go for it was bad enough. They were down 3-0 near the end of the first quarter with the ball on their own 34-yard line. This is not a situation that calls for a gamble or statement play. The play call itself was okay I guess: a play action bootleg with two short options. It was read and played perfectly by the Ravens defense. Deshaun Watson had nowhere to go with the ball and had to throw it at Darren Fells' back before getting sacked. That led to a quick Ravens touchdown and an early 10-0 deficit. I seriously think he has PTSD after that playoff loss to the Chiefs when it comes to fourth down calls. Bumbling Bill strikes again!

When they got the ball back, they scored a touchdown thanks to more play action passes and pre-snap motion. It was as if Bumbling Bill realized his offensive line was outmatched by the front seven they're opposing. Sure Watson is mobile and looks like a magician escaping sacks, but misdirection helps throw the defense off and keeps Watson from breaking into 177,000,000 pieces. Oh, and the quick reads were a good idea as well. Too bad Bumbling Bill went away from that and opted for longer developing routes. Or will he blame it on Timid Tim Kelly? Or was Waiting Watson holding onto the ball too long? I blame all three.

Also, can we stop starting drives with the predictable run, run, pass combo please? First down should be play action rollout with Watson having the ability to choose to run if it's there. More run/pass/option plays need to be called as well. Incorporate more things that we saw when Watson was on his way to winning rookie of the year before his knee was sacrificed for the Astros.

Credit where it's due: the end of the first half to get a field goal with a minute and change left was good to see. Typically, these situations tend to make Bumbling Bill come out. I liked the quick slant to Cobb with no timeouts. They were able to spike the ball and get the field goal up.

The game was still within reach at 23-13 in the beginning of the fourth quarter. On a 4th & 1, they gave up a 30 yard touchdown run on a direct snap to Mark Ingram. I saw gaps on both sides of the defensive line pre-snap. Sure enough, Ingram got a lead block from the Ravens human plough of a fullback and that effectively put the nail in the coffin at 30-13. I know the tendency is to quarterback sneak or run up the middle, but don't leave gaps along the defensive line trying to stack the middle. First time defensive coordinator Anthony Weaver will take the L on this one.

Overall, I'll give O'Brien and his coaching staff a C- this game. Mistakes were made that could've cost them a legit shot at winning, but the Keke Coutee fumble return for a touchdown wasn't their fault. The play calling menu was brought to us this week by Craft Pita via the "What's Eric Eating" podcast. Tune in next week for another "Not my job!"

SportsMap Emails
Are Awesome