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Jerry Bo's Bookie Busters: World Cup weekend edition

Jerry Bo's Bookie Busters: World Cup weekend edition
Mexico should be celebrating another victory. Alexander Hassenstein/Getty Images

The World Cup has brought us plenty of surprises thus far, and we look for things to become somewhat more uniform as the tournament progresses. Favorites continue to dominate straight up going 14-5-4. Don't be afraid to parlay some of these big favorites, small payouts are better than large losses.

The Under run continues. As we previously discussed, this tournament has seen an abundance of low scoring first halves and favorites winning but not covering the line. The Over/ Under is now 9-13-1. Teams are parking the bus and playing for short results. Imagine playing a game with your whole squad backed in your own half playing not to lose for 90 minutes, but then conceding in the 70th minute giving you minimal time to make up the score. An interesting trend we have seen is South American teams struggling, starting out 0-6-2 ATS. Keep a close eye on teams from the CONMEBOL as the tournament continues.

3 MAX plays this weekend, Good Luck!

Costa Rica vs Brazil - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Brazil -1.5    MAX
Brazil TT Over 2     4U
Brazil to nil    2U

Iceland vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Nigeria TT Over 1      1U

Switzerland vs Serbia - FIFA World Cup - Group E
Under 2      2U

Tunisia vs Belgium - FIFA World Cup - Group G
Belgium -1      2U

Mexico vs South Korea - FIFA World Cup - Group F
Mexico  ML MAX  5U

Panama vs England - FIFA World Cup - Group G
England -1.5   4U
England to nil  1U

Senegal vs Japan - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Senegal PK     2U

Colombia vs Poland - FIFA World Cup - Group H
Over 2     MAX 5U

Colombia advances from Group H   +155 1U

Egypt vs Saudi Arabia - FIFA World Cup - Group A
Egypt ML     1U

Portugal vs Iran - FIFA World Cup - Group B
Portugal ML     2U

Peru vs Australia - FIFA World Cup - Group C
Peru    PK  4U

Argentina vs Nigeria - FIFA World Cup - Group D
Over 2.5    1U

Peoples Parlay  1U

Brazil  -1.5

Peru PK

Mexico ML

Col/Pol  Over 2

For any questions or comments reach me @JerryBoKnowz on Twitter.

 

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Yainer Diaz is looking more comfortable at the plate. Composite Getty Image.

After dropping a frustrating series to the Chicago White Sox, the Houston Astros find themselves in a familiar position—searching for answers, but still within striking distance. Despite their inconsistency, Houston sits just three games behind the AL West-leading Mariners, who are currently 7 games over .500 and riding an 8-2 stretch. For as up-and-down as the Astros have been, the division remains tantalizingly close.

That inconsistency was on full display throughout the White Sox series. Jake Meyers and Zach Dezenzo each played the roles of both hero and heartbreaker. Dezenzo launched a massive home run in Game 3, a moment that energized the dugout and briefly shifted momentum. But his costly defensive error later in the game flipped the script. Meyers was a spark plug in Houston’s lone win, delivering a clutch performance at the plate, only to run the team out of a rally in the finale when he was picked off second—right before Jeremy Peña ripped what would have been an RBI single.

Jose Altuve’s struggles are quietly becoming more worrisome. He’s recorded just one multi-hit game since April 19 and has only one homer since April 8. On Sunday, he swung at the first pitch after Lance McCullers had grinded through a 33-pitch inning—a decision that raised questions about his awareness in a veteran moment. Should manager Joe Espada have reminded Altuve of the situation? Or is this on Altuve, who should have known what to do as one of the team leaders?

Signs of life

There are flickers of life from the bats. Last week, Houston's team OPS was an underwhelming .667 (23rd in MLB), with a slugging percentage of .357 (25th). They've nudged those numbers up to .684 (19th) and .370 (21st), respectively. It’s modest progress, but enough to suggest this offense might be trending in the right direction. Still, their 5-5 record over the last 10 games feels emblematic of who they are right now—a .500 team with both talent and flaws.

Looking ahead

The upcoming schedule could be a turning point. Three of the next five opponents have losing records, and none of them are elite. This stretch offers a prime opportunity for Houston to finally build momentum and close the gap in the division—assuming the Mariners cool off from their current tear, which seems inevitable given their unsustainable 8-2 pace.

McCullers is officially back!

Lance McCullers returned for the first time since 2022 and, despite being limited to 3.2 innings due to command issues (three walks and a hit batter), there were encouraging signs. His velocity was there, and the stuff looked sharp. It’s a start, and perhaps a step toward stabilizing a rotation that still needs length.

Steering the ship

Manager Joe Espada, however, continues to draw scrutiny. His decision-making in the finale raised eyebrows again. Giving Isaac Paredes a day off when Yordan Alvarez was already sitting left the lineup depleted. Rather than using promising young infielder/outfielder Cam Smith, he opted for Mauricio Dubón and Brendan Rodgers—a defensive combo that didn't inspire confidence. It feels at times like Espada isn’t prioritizing winning the final game of a series, a pattern that could haunt the team down the stretch.

The plot thickens

Meanwhile, Christian Walker’s slump is dragging on. He went 0-for-5 twice in the last two series and looks out of sync at the plate. The Astros need more from their power hitters if they hope to make a real run. And with Alvarez now heading to the IL with hand inflammation, runs will be even harder to come by.

All told, this team still feels like one hovering just above or below .500. But in a division that remains wide open, the path forward is clear: play better, hope the Mariners come back to earth, and capitalize on a soft schedule. The race is far from over—but it’s time for Houston to start acting like contenders.

We have so much more to discuss. Don't miss the video below as we examine the topics above and much, much more!

The MLB season is finally upon us! Join Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and Charlie Pallilo for the Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast which drops each Monday afternoon, with an additional episode now on Thursday!

*ChatGPT assisted.

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