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This article originally appeared on NFL.com
Here's a look at my first mock of the 2020 NFL Draft, which will take place April 23-25 in Las Vegas. Remember, this mock is a projection of where I believe players will go -- not necessarily a reflection of my opinion as to where the players should go.
NOTE: The final draft order may change depending on the outcome of Super Bowl LIV.
PICK
1. Bengals
Joe Burrow - QB
School: LSU | Year: Senior (RS)
Burrow will need the scheme fit to be right, but his pinpoint accuracy and elite intangibles are hard to resist.
PICK
2. Redskins
Chase Young - Edge
School: Ohio State | Year: Junior
It's just a no-brainer here. Based upon pure talent and upside, Young is the clear front-runner in my book.
PICK
3. Lions
Jeff Okudah - CB
School: Ohio State | Year: Junior
Easy slot to fill with the Lions needing help opposite Darius Slay and Okudah possessing all the traits Matt Patricia could want.
PICK
4. Giants
Isaiah Simmons - LB
School: Clemson | Year: Junior (RS)
Rare height, weight, speed and versatility to be deployed in a variety of positions. He's only scratching the surface of his upside.
PICK
5. Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa - QB
School: Alabama | Year: Junior
Obviously the medicals need to check out, but if they do -- race the card up to the podium.
PICK
6. Chargers
Justin Herbert - QB
School: Oregon | Year: Senior
Herbert certainly helped himself during Senior Bowl week, and the Chargers are in desperate need of finding their next QB1.
PICK
7. Panthers
Derrick Brown - DT
School: Auburn | Year: Senior
Brown is one of the draft's most talented players and is a need fit as well in Matt Rhule's first season as head coach.
PICK
8. Cardinals
Jedrick Wills - OT
School: Alabama | Year: Junior
Tackle depth in this draft allows the Cardinals an opportunity to let their free agents at the position walk and feel safe about landing a quality OT here.
PICK
9. Jaguars
Javon Kinlaw - DT
School: South Carolina | Year: Senior
Defense must be addressed. While CB and LB make sense, Kinlaw's freakish size, strength and Chris Jones-like upside is appealing.
PICK
10. Browns
Tristan Wirfs - OT
School: Iowa | Year: Junior
It might be tempting to take a receiver here and prepare to move on from Odell Beckham Jr., but receivers can be found outside the top 10 and Wirfs helps protect Baker Mayfield.
PICK
11. Jets
Mekhi Becton - OT
School: Louisville | Year: Junior
Built like a barn and possessing jarring power, Becton needs to keep his weight in check but has the feet to stay at left tackle.
PICK
12. Raiders
Jerry Jeudy - WR
School: Alabama | Year: Junior
The Raiders have a couple of selections in the first round and one of them has to be spent on a receiver. Why not take your pick of WR1s in this spot?
PICK
13. Colts
K'Lavon Chaisson - Edge
School: LSU | Year: Sophomore (RS)
If Indy loves Jordan Love, he could be the guy here, but Chaisson fits the rush profile the Colts covet. The redshirt sophomore has exciting potential.
PICK
14. Buccaneers
Jacob Eason - QB
School: Washington | Year: Junior (RS)
Tampa might trade back, but Eason could still be the target. While I expect him to be taken later than this pick, his stature and arm strength will give Bruce Arians some Carson Palmer vibes.
PICK
15. Broncos
Andrew Thomas - OT
School: Georgia | Year: Junior
Thomas doesn't always look pretty doing it, but guys get blocked. He's an instant upgrade over Garett Bolles and is a tough competitor.
PICK
16. Falcons
Zack Baun - Edge
School: Wisconsin | Year: Senior (RS)
Baun has rare athletic skills to play 4-3 outside linebacker on early downs and rush from the edge on passing downs.
PICK
17. Cowboys
Xavier McKinney - S
School: Alabama | Year: Junior
Assuming Dallas locks up pending free agent Byron Jones, McKinney would give the 'Boys a versatile, interchangeable safety who can also line up over the slot.
PICK
18. Dolphins
D'Andre Swift - RB
School: Georgia | Year: Junior
Tagovailoa might need a redshirt in Year 1, but Swift could give the Dolphins' offense an instant boost similar to what we saw with Josh Jacobs and the Raiders.
PICK
19. Raiders
Patrick Queen - LB
School: LSU | Year: Junior
The latest in a recent string of speedy linebackers from LSU, Queen helps fill a gaping hole in the Raiders' defense.
PICK
20. Jaguars
C.J. Henderson - CB
School: Florida | Year: Junior
Smooth cover corner with good size and speed to help fortify a secondary in need of another CB after Jalen Ramsey's departure.
PICK
21. Eagles
CeeDee Lamb - WR
School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior
Lamb has the ability to play inside or outside and is an instant playmaking option who should help alleviate pressure on Carson Wentz.
PICK
22. Bills
Tee Higgins - WR
School: Clemson | Year: Junior
What do you give a big-armed quarterback with spotty accuracy? I suggest a big, downfield wideout with good ball skills and an incredible catch radius.
PICK
23. Patriots
Cesar Ruiz - C
School: Michigan | Year: Junior
Intelligent and athletic with center/guard flexibility, Ruiz could take over pending free agent Joe Thuney's guard spot right away and stabilize New England's interior pass protection.
PICK
24. Saints
Henry Ruggs III - WR
School: Alabama | Year: Junior
Ruggs will come into the NFL as one of the fastest players in the game. He can take the top off defenses or hurt them on catch-and-runs.
PICK
25. Vikings
Jaylon Johnson- CB
School: Utah | Year: Junior
Johnson is a long, man-cover cornerback who could make both Xavier Rhodes (due to count $12.9 million against the cap in 2020) and Trae Waynes (pending free agent) expendable.
PICK
26. Dolphins
Josh Jones - OT
School: Houston | Year: Senior (RS)
How's this for a twist? The Dolphins draft a tackle from the University of Houston using the first-round pick they received from the Houston Texans for Laremy Tunsil.
PICK
27. Seahawks
A.J. Epenesa - Edge
School: Iowa | Year: Junior
The Seahawks must decide whether they want to be in the Jadeveon Clowney business. If not, Epenesa is way less explosive, but more skilled as a big rush end.
PICK
28. Ravens
Kenneth Murray - LB
School: Oklahoma | Year: Junior
Speedy linebacker with sideline-to-sideline range and third-down coverage ability who could challenge for a starter's role immediately.
PICK
29. Titans
Cam Dantzler - CB
School: Mississippi State | Year: Junior (RS)
Tall, thin cornerback who plays with an abundance of toughness and confidence. He allowed three catches for 21 yards vs. LSU and Alabama combined.
PICK
30. Packers
Justin Jefferson - WR
School: LSU | Year: Junior
The Packers' Aaron Rodgers window won't be open forever, so adding a talented inside/outside target with excellent ball skills makes sense.
PICK
31. Chiefs
Jonathan Taylor - RB
School: Wisconsin | Year: Junior
It almost doesn't seem fair to give the Chiefs another talented player at a skill position, but that's the way it goes in this mock.
PICK
32. 49ers
Trevon Diggs - CB
School: Alabama | Year: Senior
Diggs is a big, physical corner with outstanding ball skills who might be able to slide to free safety. Checks needed boxes for the 49ers.
Follow Lance Zierlein on Twitter @LanceZierlein.
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While holding one’s breath that for a change the Astros aren’t publicly grossly underestimating an injury’s severity with Jose Altuve having missed the last game and a half with “right side discomfort…”
The Astros averting a sweep vs. Oakland Thursday was in no way a must-win, but getting the win allowed a mini sigh of relief. The Astros are NOT in the process of choking. Could they collapse? Sure that’s possible. Also possible is that they’ve just been in one more ebb phase in a season of ebb and flow. They certainly have left the door ajar for the Seattle Mariners to swipe the American League West, but with the M's simply not looking good enough to walk through that door the Astros remain in commanding position. The Astros made a spectacular charge from 10 games behind to grab the division lead. But there was a lot of runway left when the Astros awoke June 19th 10 games in arrears. September 3 the Astros arose with a comfy six game lead over the M’s. With Seattle blowing a 4-1 eighth inning lead in a 5-4 loss to the Texas Rangers Thursday night, heading into Friday night the Astros' advantage is back up to four and a half games despite the Astros having lost six of their last nine games and having gone just 10-12 over their last 22 games. Not a good stretch but nothing freefalling about it.
While the Mariners have the remainder of their four-game series vs. the dead in the water Rangers this weekend, the Astros play three at the lousy Los Angeles Angels. The Astros should take advantage of the Halos, with whom they also have a four-game series at Minute Maid Park next weekend. Since the All-Star break, only the White Sox have a worse record than the Angels 19-31 mark (the White Sox are 6-43 post-break!). Two of the three starting pitchers the Angels will throw this weekend will be making their third big league starts. To begin next week the Astros are in San Diego for a three-game-set against a Padres club which is flat better than the Astros right now. That does not mean the Astros can’t take that series. The Mariners meanwhile will be still at home, for three vs. the Yankees.
There are some brutal Astros’ statistics that largely explain why this is merely a pretty good team and not more. As I have noted before, it is a fallacy that the best teams are usually superior in close games. But the Astros have been pathetic in close games. There used to be a joke made about Sammy Sosa that he could blow you out, but he couldn’t beat you. Meaning being that when the score was 6-1, 8-3 or the like Sammy would pad his stats with home runs and runs batted in galore. But in a tight game, don’t count on Sammy to come through very often. In one-run games the Astros are 15-26, in two-run games they are 10-14. In games that were tied after seven innings they are 3-12. In extra innings they are 5-10. The good news is, all those realities mean nothing when the postseason starts. So long as you’re in the postseason. In games decided by three or more runs the Astros have pummeled the opposition to the tune of 53 wins and 28 losses.
General Manager Dana Brown isn’t an Executive of the Year candidate, but overall he’s been fine this season. Without the Yusei Kikuchi trade deadline acquisition the Astros would likely barely lead the AL West. Brown’s biggest offseason get, Victor Caratini, has done very solid work in his part-time role. Though he has tapered off notably the last month and change, relief pitcher Tayler Scott was a fabulous signing. Scrap heap pickups Ben Gamel, Jason Heyward, and Kaleb Ort have all made contributions. However…
Dana. Dana! You made yourself look very silly with comments this week somewhat scoffing at people being concerned with or dismissive of Justin Verlander’s ability to be a meaningful playoff contributor. Brown re-sang a ridiculous past tune, the “check the back of his baseball card” baloney. Dana, did you mean like the back of Jose Abreu’s baseball card? Perhaps Brown has never seen those brokerage ads in which at the end in fine print and/or in rapidly spoken words “past performance is no guarantee of future results” always must be included. Past (overall career) performance as indicative of future results for a 41-year-old pitcher who has frequently looked terrible and has twice missed chunks of this season to two different injuries is absurd. That Verlander could find it in time is plausible. That of course he’ll find it? Absolutely not. His next two starts are slotted to be against the feeble Angels, so even if the results are better, it won’t mean “JV IS BACK!”
Presuming they hold on to win the division, the Astros’ recent sub-middling play means they have only very faint hope of avoiding having to play the best-of-three Wild Card Series. Barring a dramatic turn over the regular season’s final fortnight, Framber Valdez and Hunter Brown are the obvious choices to start games one and two. If there is a game three, it is one game do or die. Only a fool would think Verlander the right man for that assignment. No one should expect Brown to say “Yeah, JV is likely finished as a frontline starter.” But going to the “back of the baseball card” line was laughable. Father Time gets us all eventually. Verlander has an uphill climb extricating himself from Father Time’s grasp.
*Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.