CODY STOOTS
A look at all things college football as the season begins
Aug 30, 2018, 8:12 am
I don't know if there is a sport in the world that offers such dominating greatness which can see its quest derailed on one Saturday night. College football has the best regular season in sports. The champions have to be near perfect. Others can call a 6-6 season a success with one December win. It's beautiful and it's played by boys who act like men on the field and then get to return to boys when the clock strikes zero.
Enough of me waxing poetic on the greatness of college football. Inside this article, you will find my Heisman preview, playoff selections, and various predictions for the 2018 season. Good luck to your favorite school, alma mater, or however you select your rooting interest.
This will be my sixth year voting on the Heisman trophy and it is one of my favorite things I am lucky enough to be a part of in my career. I have voted the eventual winner at the top of my ballot every year with the exception of 2015 when I believed Deshaun Watson was the Heisman winner over Derrick Henry. It's an honor to do this each season. I will tell you the few contenders, and a few bonus players, and how they can win the illustrious trophy.
Bryce Love (RB Stanford)
Love starts as the favorite though he has some built-in disadvantages that hinder him greatly. He will play a lot of games on the West Coast and thus many Heisman voters will miss his amazing PAC-12 After Dark feats of awesomeness. He doesn't have a championship team around him, at least not yet but maybe they play into it. He will have to best what Christian McCaffrey did in breaking Barry Sanders' all-purpose yardage record in 2015. Oh, and McCaffrey's performance was good enough for runner-up in the Heisman voting.
Tua Tagovailoa (QB Alabama)
The best chance someone who has never started a college football game has ever had at winning the Heisman is where this young man starts his journey. His remarkable performance to help the Crimson Tide win the national championship last year is legendary. This would be a remarkable accomplishment if he wins because of Nick Saban. Saban doesn't like wildcards; he likes players who don't make mistakes and stay within themselves. Tagovailoa wins if he warms Saban's cold heart to a dynamic and risk-taking style of offense and leads the Tide to the SEC Championship.
Jonathan Taylor (RB Wisconsin)
This is going to sound hard but Taylor wins if he is the best running back in the country. Now, while it may sound hard, it isn't as difficult as you may think. Wisconsin has a monster offensive line, returning every starter from last year. Their extremely favorable schedule has two truly tough games with road affairs against Penn State and Michigan. Taylor was third in rush yards last year as an 18-year-old freshman. This sophomore could see 2,000 yards and 15 touchdowns and some great hardware on his mantle in December.
Trace McSorley (QB Penn State)
Saquon Barkley is gone and the third-year starter takes over as the potential star of the Nittany Lions. He is at a slight disadvantage though with his offensive coordinator Joe Moorehead departing to coach Mississippi State. Penn State has plenty of big matchups on their schedule and it presents plenty of opportunities for McSorley to shine. He won't get this done with stats; how he wins it with remarkable moments in big games and leading Penn State to the Big Ten title game. He's a longshot but can make it happen.
Khalil Tate (QB Arizona)
The stat monster is here. He is exciting and dynamic. His head coach, Kevin Sumlin, has coached a Heisman winner before. Though the numbers aren't eye-popping as a passer, he was the 17th leading rusher in the nation last year. Tate fully unleashed and seasoned should be something close to Lamar Jackson the year he won the trophy. Now is it likely Tate replicates and rips off 51 touchdowns and over 5,000 yards? No. Can he do something incredible like 40 touchdowns and 4,000 yards? You bet.
Will Grier (QB West Virginia)
I don't see it with Grier but he can win the trophy. He was pretty much the third-best quarterback in the Big 12 in most categories behind Baker Mayfield and Mason Rudolph last year. Without a significant improvement from some other quarterback in the conference, Grier will be top of the class. If West Virginia is truly the team poised to take the next step and reign supreme they will be led by him. Challenging for the conference title and slight bump could have him headed to New York.
Trevor Lawrence (QB Clemson)
You're probably asking who the heck this guy is and that is a worthwhile question. Let me describe him to you. Imagine if Sunshine from Remember the Titans grew six inches, his hair grew three inches, and suddenly had the arm talent to make any throw and even on the run could make those throws. That's Lawrence in a nutshell. The incumbent starter Kelly Bryant couldn't climb out of Deshaun Watson's shadow and he failed to wow or show consistency. If Bryant struggles in Clemson's second game at Texas A&M the Tigers could turn to Lawrence. From there, Lawrence just has to guide the Tigers to a playoff berth. Simple enough.
Sam Ehlinger (QB Texas)
If Texas is back and there is only one starting quarterback all year then the quarterback of Texas will be in the race. Tom Herman can coach offense and the thought of him elevating Ehlinger should make him a longshot for the trophy. If Herman could craft a 2015 Greg Ward campaign with a little more passing and a little less rushing you could see Ehlinger in the neighborhood of 35 touchdowns and nearly 4,000 yards. Now, if the Longhorns are good on top of that, he's in the hunt.
Kellen Mond (QB Texas A&M)
Don't you dare laugh at this one. The last time Jimbo Fisher coached a player as highly touted as Mond he went number one overall in the NFL Draft and the year before that won the Heisman. That's right, despite Mond's lackluster first season he is a talented athlete. He, like Jameis Winston, was the number one quarterback in the nation on the Rivals recruiting service. Fisher is a quarterback whisperer and the Aggies play in the best division of any conference. Showing off there with the national attention and surprising people with what he can do after a disappointing start last year could earn him the trophy.
Nick Bosa (DL Ohio State)
The sack record. That's how Bosa could win. It's really the only way a defender could win the award. Just be a transcendent menace on a great team. Ohio State could be great and 21 sacks would blow people away and get him in the conversation. It can't be just the sacks though. Elvis Dumervil has the most single-season sacks ever and he finished 10th in the voting. The next three highest totals have zero Heisman votes. He has to turn some of those sacks into scores, via fumble or safety, and really show-off against the run. It was a joke Manti Te'o was in consideration into 2012 looking back. A legendary season from Bosa wouldn't be looked back on foolishly.
Ed Oliver (DL Houston)
In the last five years, one defensive lineman has earned Heisman votes and it was Jonathan Allen in 2016. He rattled off 69 tackles, 16 tackles for a loss, 10.5 sacks, and scored two touchdowns. Oliver comes in with a real chance to go number one overall in the draft so he has the eyes already on him. People will be paying very close attention to Houston's stud defensive lineman. Should he stay healthy and dominate like he is expected to, really up the sack numbers, he will be in the mix.
1. Clemson
2. Alabama
3. Oklahoma
4. Wisconsin
I love Clemson this year. They have a more dynamic option at quarterback than last year and have the best defensive line in college football. Their big non-conference game gives them the nod over Alabama (at Texas A&M is better than neutral against Louisville) when the dust clears on their two conferences. Alabama has a dynamic quarterback the likes of which they haven't before and if he isn't good the backup is still really good. Oklahoma has a nice enough non-conference schedule to survive one Big 12 loss and despite me not believing in their quarterbacks Rodney Anderson is that dude. Wisconsin has three big games this year which are two tough road games at Michigan and at Penn State and the Big Ten championship. They should mash in their other ones with almost their entire offense back.
Bold Predictions (Excuse me. Once more with feeling. *clears throat*) BOLD PREDICTIONS
Texas loses to Oklahoma in a Red River Big 12 Championship game.
Kyler Murray starts less than five games for the Sooners.
Kansas wins three games matching their win total from the three previous years combined.
Baylor wins six games this season.
Oklahoma State and Mike Gundy finally call it quits on each other.
LSU calls it quits on Ed Orgeron midway through a disappointing season.
Lane Kiffin is the new head coach of LSU after his FAU team rattles off a double-digit win season.
Texas A&M wins nine games in Jimbo Fisher's debut year but it won't be easy on the Aggies hearts.
Florida wins 10 games because Dan Mullen is one of the best coaches in the country.
Someone has something better than the turnover chain this year. Sorry, Miami.
Michigan State wins the Big Ten East.
Michigan and Jim Harbaugh part ways.
Ohio State and Urban Meyer part ways.
Jeff Brohm leaves Purdue for one of the above open jobs.
Herm Edwards and his Arizona State Sun Devils win four games. It's a disaster.
Chip Kelly and his UCLA Bruins have the sixth-best record in the Pac-12. Doesn't sound like much but Chip makes noise.
Boise State plays in a New Year's Day Bowl.
And I finish with my Texas Tech prediction. My alma mater wins seven games and win their bowl game meaning the best result in Kliff Kingsbury's tenure since his first year at the head of the program. Led by a defense returning a ton of experience, which sounds so strange to say about Texas Tech, the Red Raiders are poised to surprise. Let's say Dakota Allen even challenges for the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year. Yes, I am drinking the red and black kool-aid. 8-5 here we come!
Each football game of a season carries much more weight than one game in a 162 Major League Baseball schedule. That reality, combined with the National Football League campaign opening and with it the most anticipated season in Texans’ history, the Astros are relegated to second banana this weekend. Just the way it goes despite the Astros’ phenomenal extended run from 10 games out of first place in mid-June to now having control of the American League West race and a likely (though definitely not yet certain) eighth consecutive year of postseason play.
It is reality that getting swept out of Cincinnati cost the Astros two games in the standings to Seattle the last two days and trimmed their division lead to four and a half games going into this weekend. There was nothing shameful about getting swept. It’s not as if they choked. They got outplayed and beaten in all three games. Stuff happens within a 162-game season. The 2019 Astros were vastly better than the 2024 Astros. The 2019 ‘Stros posted the best record in franchise history at 107-55. In Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole they had the two best pitchers in the AL. The Reds finished 75-87 in ’19. In the lone Astros-Reds series five years ago, Verlander and Cole started two of the three games. The Reds swept the Astros out of Cincy by scores of 3-2, 4-3, and 3-2. Stuff happens. The following week the Astros called up Yordan Alvarez. There is no Yordan coming to fortify the offense now, but wait! Is that Kyle Tucker's music?
The Astros host the NL champs this weekend
It’s highly unlikely but it’s still a possible World Series preview at Minute Maid Park this weekend with the Astros home for three games versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. The reigning National League Champions woke up under .500 July 11, but since then have been sizzling with 33 wins against just 15 losses. Over the same time frame the Astros are 27-21. The Diamondbacks by a large margin have scored the most runs in MLB this season, and that’s while playing the last nearly three weeks without Ketel Marte because of a high ankle sprain. Marte has been far and away the best second baseman in the game this year. He may return this weekend in a designated hitter role. The Arizona offense overall has been sensational, however it has vulnerability against left-handed pitching, in significant part because it typically takes lefty-hitting platoon beast Joc Pederson out of the lineup. The D’Backs are 55-35 in games facing right-handed starters, just 24-27 in games started by opposing southpaws. The Astros have lefties Framber Valdez and Yusei Kikuchi set to go in the first two games this weekend. While the Astros deal with the Diamondbacks the Mariners are in St. Louis for three against the Cardinals.
Eleven Diamondbacks have had at least 200 plate appearances this season. Only one of them has an OPS below .725. The Astros also have 11 guys with at least 200 PAs. Five of them lug around sub-.715 OPSes: Jeremy Pena (.714), Jake Meyers (.664), Mauricio Dubon (.645), Jon Singleton (.697), and Chas McCormick (.566).
Maximizing Tucker's return
Speaking of returns, Tucker fiiiiiiinally should see action for the first time since his June 3 bone bruise. Oh wait, broken leg. Shame on the Astros for their BSing over this and other injuries. Yeah, Alex Bregman slept funny. Whatever. To boost the lineup Tucker doesn’t have to be the .979 OPS MVP candidate he was when felled. Ben Gamel has done some good work, but over time he’s Ben Gamel. Same for Jason Heyward. If Tucker's legs are under him his power is a B-12 shot and only Yordan is in his league in on-base percentage. Joe Espada has decisions to make as to how slot the batting order. Against a right-handed starter Jose Altuve, Tucker, Alvarez, Yainer Diaz, Bregman one through five makes sense with Tucker dropping down below Yainer against a left-handed starter. No question those are the top five in some order. How much of a workload Tucker is ready for bears watching. Presumably he doesn’t initially play the outfield day in day out. When Tucker DHs obviously Bregman (and Yordan) can’t so Alex’s ailing elbow holding up is key. One might say hopefully the bone chips don’t fall where they may. Tuesday the Astros start a stretch playing 16 days in a row.
Keep hope alive!
If you’re an Astros fan holding out hope of chasing down the second seed to avoid having to play the best-of-three Wild Card series, say it with me, whatever nausea it may induce: “Go Dodgers Go!” Hurt as it might, business is business. The Dodgers play host to the Guardians. The Astros trail Cleveland by five games with just 22 to play, but do finish the regular season with three games at Cleveland. It's pretty much over for the Astros to catch both the Orioles and Yankees.
Season-long trends mean nothing once the playoffs start, and that’s a good thing for the Astros provided they are in the playoffs. They continue to flat out stink in close games. Thursday’s 1-0 loss to the Reds has the Astros record in one-run games at 15-24. In two-run games they are 10-14. Correlatively, the Astros also continue to routinely fail late in close games. The Astros have played 14 games that were tied after seven innings. They have lost 11 of the 14. In games tied after eight innings they are 7-13. Every team loses an extremely high percentage of games when trailing after eight innings, but the Astros haven’t pulled out a single game they’ve trailed going to the ninth. 0-50. Oh and fifty. But hey, the White Sox are 0-92!
*Catch our weekly Stone Cold ‘Stros podcast. Brandon Strange, Josh Jordan, and I discuss varied Astros topics. The first post for the week generally goes up Monday afternoon (second part released Tuesday) via The SportsMap HOU YouTube channel or listen to episodes in their entirety at Apple, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.