Big offseason

Patrick Creighton: Who’s next? 5 potential additional Astros moves

Patrick Creighton: Who’s next? 5 potential additional Astros moves
Should the Astros upgrade over Ken Giles? Al Bello/Getty Images

Patrick Creighton is co-host of "Nate & Creight" on SportsMap 94.1 FM Houston, a host on SB Nation Radio and PxP broadcaster for Texan Live. Follow him on Twitter at @PCreighton1

Astros GM Jeff Luhnow may be fresh off stealing SP Gerrit Cole from the Pittsburgh Pirates, but that doesn’t mean he’s finished sculpting the roster of the defending World Series champions.   One message that Luhnow has always been consistent with since taking his post in Houston is that he is always looking to improve the club.

The Astros don’t have a lot of holes or needs (they did just win the World Series after all) but here are 5 moves that could bolster the team as it embarks on its quest to repeat as champs in 2018:

Greg Holland, closer

Holland (32) is coming off a season where he led the National League in both saves (41) and games finished (58).  He is a thee-time All Star who racks up tons of Ks (11.0 K/9 in 2017).  He’s the best reliever on the market.

There are reportedly some within the Astros organization who feel the closer spot (currently occupied by Ken Giles) is a question mark that needs addressing.  Holland is the best and surest solution to that question on the market.

Holland won’t come cheap (he passed on a $15M option and declined Colorado’s $17.4M qualifying offer), he’s struggled with handing out free passes (4.1 BB/9 in 2017) and he did miss all of 2016 with Tommy John surgery.  

While the offseason has moved slow for many higher end free agents, there is a chance the Astros can wait out his asking price some more and get him for a more amenable price.  That said, Holland is easily the best choice the team has in free agency to upgrade from Giles.

Jonathan Lucroy, C

The Astros have been fans of Lucroy (32) for a while, including chasing him at the trade deadline in 2016.  

Lucroy’s power tailed off last season, although perhaps part of his offensive struggles could be related to the Texas Rangers overall struggles, as his offense saw a significant uptick after being traded to Colorado.  Lucroy slashed .310/.429/.437 (.865 OPS) in 142 AB for the Rockies after being acquired.

Lucroy is no longer the elite receiver he once was, but he’s still considered above average defensively, which is far more than can be said for Evan Gattis’ prowess with the leather.

Lucroy could pair with Brian McCann in a platoon behind the plate, allowing Gattis to focus strictly on being a DH, which is ultimately his best position.  In this situation, Gattis would share time with Marwin Gonzalez at DH, as Marwin is a significantly better hitter as a LH than a RH batter.  Also, A.J. Hinch likes to get Marwin ABs at various places in the field regularly, so Gattis would get a significant number of ABs in a DH only role.  It would also allow the team to go full platoon with McCann/Gonzalez as LH batters vs RHP & Lucroy/Gattis as RH batters vs LHP.  

Tony Watson LHP

Jorge De La Rosa LHP

Fernando Abad LHP

The Astros would love to have two LHPs in their bullpen.  Right now they have none (or they shouldn’t have one, as Tony Sipp and Reymin Guduan don’t belong on the roster). They definitely want at least one.

The LH reliever is a scarce commodity, and these are likely the 3 best available on the market.

Watson (32) is not as dominant as he once was but he is still a workhorse who went a combined 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA last season, although he pitched better after being acquired by the Dodgers  at the July 31 deadline (2-1, 2.70 ERA, 1.05 WHIP in 24 G).  He had a  5:1 K/BB ratio vs LHB, surrendering only 5 XBH to LHB in 2017.

De La Rosa (36) made the transition to the bullpen last season after spending the previous 10 years exclusively as a starter.  He has spent the last 10 years of his career pitching in hitters’ ballparks as well (nine years at Coors Field in Colorado, last year at Chase Field in Arizona).  He finished last season 3-1 with a   4.21 ERA.  He was very tough vs LHB, holding them to a .194 AVG, and a very weak .545 OPS.  He also had a  5:1 K/BB ratio vs LHB.

Abad (32) is someone most Astros fans are likely familiar with, as he started his professional career with the Astros Dominican Summer league team in 2006 and progressed through the system, ultimately making his major league debut with Houston in 2010 at 24.  

Abad was solid in his first year with the team in 2010, but struggled badly as the Astros lost 100+ games for the first times in their history in 2011 & 2012.  Since then, he’s found himself as a pitcher and been one of the better LH relievers in baseball.  He finished 2-1 with a 3.30 ERA for the Red Sox in 2017, proving he could pitch in one of baseball’s toughest divisions and in the heat of playoff race.  He gave up only 4 XBH hits to LHB last season and held them to a .227 AVG and .288 OBP, while maintaining a 4.2 K/BB rate vs LHB.

Adding any one of these three LHPs to the bullpen would be a boost.  

 

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Kyle Tucker returns to Houston this weekend. Composite Getty Image.

Two first-place teams, identical records, and a weekend set with serious measuring-stick energy.

The Houston Astros and Chicago Cubs open a three-game series Friday night at Daikin Park, in what could quietly be one of the more telling matchups of the summer. Both teams enter at 48-33, each atop their respective divisions — but trending in slightly different directions.

The Astros have been red-hot, going 7-3 over their last 10 while outscoring opponents by 11 runs. They've done it behind one of the best pitching staffs in baseball, with a collective 3.41 ERA that ranks second in the American League. Houston has also been dominant at home, where they’ve compiled a 30-13 record — a stat that looms large heading into this weekend.

On the other side, the Cubs have held their ground in the NL Central but have shown some recent shakiness. They're 5-5 over their last 10 games and have given up 5.66 runs per game over that stretch. Still, the offense remains dangerous, ranking fifth in on-base percentage across the majors. Kyle Tucker leads the way with a .287 average, 16 homers, and 49 RBIs, while Michael Busch has been hot of late, collecting 12 hits in his last 37 at-bats.

Friday’s pitching matchup features Houston’s Brandon Walter (0-1, 3.80 ERA, 1.10 WHIP) and Chicago’s Cade Horton (3-1, 3.73 ERA, 1.29 WHIP), a promising young arm making one of his biggest starts of the season on the road. Horton will have his hands full with Isaac Paredes, who’s slugged 16 homers on the year, and Mauricio Dubón, who’s found a groove with four home runs over his last 10 games.

It’s the first meeting of the season between these two clubs — and if the trends continue, it may not be the last time they cross paths when it really counts.

BETMGM SPORTSBOOK LINE: Astros -112, Cubs -107; over/under is 8 1/2 runs

Here's a preview of Joe Espada's Game 1 lineup.

The first thing that stands out is rookie Cam Smith is hitting cleanup, followed by Jake Meyers. Victor Caratini is the DH and is hitting sixth. Christian Walker is all the way down at seventh, followed by Yainer Diaz, and Taylor Trammell who is playing left field.

How the mighty have fallen.

Pretty wild to see Walker and Diaz hitting this low in the lineup. However, it's justified, based on performance. Walker is hitting a pathetic .214 and Diaz is slightly better sporting a .238 batting average.

Screenshot via: MLB.com



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