THE WEEK IN GAMBLING

Week 13 review: Hey, Mr. Wilson!

Week 13 review: Hey, Mr. Wilson!
Russell Wilson is a monster. Getty Images

He was 20-of-31 for 227 yards and three touchdowns and that is what the box score will read, but the story was the manner in which Russell Wilson manipulated his mightiest qualities.

According to Pro Football Focus, Russell Wilson was under pressure on 16 of his 36 dropbacks.  Although it has improved at times, the offensive line has had issues protecting the slippery play caller. Using football outsiders offense efficiency ratings, Seattle ranks top 10 in weighted DVOA, and much has to do with the ability of Wilson to improvise and create outside of the pocket.

Let's take a look at Seattle's offensive line.

The Seahawks rank 30th in Adjusted line yards (3.43), only leading Miami and Detriot. The Seahawks have received nothing from the running back position where they average a wretched 3.25 yards per carry, well below the league average of 4.03.

The stat that has to stick out is that Wilson is second in the league in rush yards at his position. Wilson averages 6.1 yards per carry on 71 attempts only trailing Cam Newton. Even more fascinating, is his success on first downs. Of his 432 total yards on the ground, 189 have come on first down, while accumulating  22 first downs. In the fantasy world, he leads all Quarterbacks (ESPN Standard) in scoring with 279.4  total points, well ahead of second place Carson Wentz (254.5). Wilson is accounting for over 80% of his team's offense and has been involved in all but 1 of his teams 30 offensive touchdowns this year. The next four weeks will represent what this team will be as they have a tough stretch playing at Jacksonville, vs. LA Rams, at Dallas Cowboys, and the finale at home vs. the Arizona Cardinals.

From the Cashiers Window:

Patriots 87%

Rams 86%

Chargers 85%

Raiders 83%

Packers 82%

3-2 ATS

Although they went 10-6 straight up, favorites came back down to earth and went 7-9 ATS in Week 13. 96-84-8 ATS is where the number sits for 2017. Week 13 was a week for underdogs winning outright; we saw six teams stand up to the task.

Jets +4, ML +170

Seahawks +6, ML +190

Vikings +3, ML +125

49ers +2.5, ML +120

Cowboys+1 ML +110

Dolphins+1 ML +110

The Largest Favorite to cover was the Jaguars, as they beat up on division rival Indianapolis, coasting to a 30-10 victory easily covering the -10 point spread.

Play action or Pass went 8-2 in Week 13. We are 30-23-4 ATS in 2017.

Saints-4   WIN

Seahawks+6 WIN

Panthers/Saints over 48 WIN

Falcons-3 LOSS

Packers PK WIN

Browns/Chargers over 43 LOSS

Teasers

7 Point

Chargers-7/Patriots-2 WIN

Chargers-7/Oakland-1.5 WIN

10 point

Chargers-4/Saints over38/Seattle+16 WIN

Chargers-4/Jaguars PK/Patriots+1 WIN

Super Bowl Odds

New England Patriots    +250

Pittsburgh Steelers    +550

Philadelphia Eagles    +600

Minnesota Vikings    +800

New Orleans Saints    +900

Los Angeles Rams    +1200

Atlanta Falcons    +2500

Carolina Panthers    +2500

Seattle Seahawks    +2500

Los Angeles Chargers    +2500

ESPN Power rankings

1: Patriots

2: Eagles

3: Vikings

4: Rams

5: Steelers

6: Seahawks

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter.














 

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With their closer revealed, here are the Astros top bullpen X-factors

Houston Astros skipper Joe Espada wasted no time this week at spring training by answering one of the most talked about questions of the offseason.

Espada revealed that newly-acquired free agent Josh Hader will be the team's closer and will pitch the ninth inning, with Ryan Pressly working as the setup man.

Bryan Abreu will be tapped to pitch the seventh inning, but it wouldn't shock anyone if he had the best season of the three. But after Abreu, things get interesting in the bullpen.

Who pitches the sixth inning?

Astros GM Dana Brown gave Rafael Montero a vote of confidence, saying he's “legit.”

While we have our concerns about Montero after he finished with an ERA over five last year, there's reason for hope. The nature of relief pitchers halving up and down seasons from year to year could work in Montero's favor.

And with the salary that's already committed to him, Brown will likely give him every opportunity to justify his contract. It will be fascinating to see how Espada deploys him early on. You have to think with the boss man backing Montero, Espada will be on board too.

But if he does struggle, will Espada quickly stop using him in critical situations? The good news is, the team won't often have to turn to him in high leverage situations with Abreu, Pressly, and Hader ready to handle those duties.

Be sure to watch the video above for the full discussion about the Astros 'pen, and much more!

Don't miss Stone Cold 'Stros (an Astros podcast) every week on SportsMapHouston's YouTube channel!

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