Gambling Guide

Weekend bookie busters: Some spot plays on NBA, NCAA and UFC

There is money to be made on Steph Curry and the Warriors this weekend. Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Here are a few spots, you can find value on this weekend:


Friday 3/2/2018 6:35 pm
Warriors at Hawks
Warriors -13  Over/Under 227

Golden State travels to Atlanta in hopes of sweeping their three-game road trip. The Warriors continue to dominate their opponents; the only problem so has their arch-rival Houston Rockets. Houston is on a 13-game win streak and keeping pace with them makes this road trip very business like. Out of the 11 games Atlanta has played this month, they have allowed teams to score 115+ points five times. This can be credited to their newfound fast play which they ran at the sixth fastest pace in February. The Hawks offensive efficiency ranked 26th during the time frame slightly worse than their season average. The Warriors have the top-rated offense and in the last month have averaged 117 points per game. Atlanta playing fast will play into the Warriors strengths allowing them to get out in the open court. Another stat we have to look at is the Turnover percentage of these teams, where they both ranked in the bottom five in the month of February. With the pace being fast and these teams playing somewhat careless as of late, look for a high scoring affair. After this game, Golden State will have three days off before hosting Brooklyn; expect them to go all out while putting a stamp on the road trip.

Warriors Team Total over 120

NCAA basketball

Friday 3/2/2018 11:00 am
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Michigan State -9.5         Over/Under 132

In a Big 10 Friday afternoon matchup, defense will be manifested by both schools. Just days ago, these teams squared off in a low scoring affair. Michigan State was able to survive after having 13 turnovers and only shooting 43% from the field. The Spartans carry the nations seventh ranked defense, and they are aggressive. Michigan State leans on its defense and ability to excel in slow tempo to grind out wins. Tom Izzo's group is ranked 218th in tempo per 40 minutes. A slow, methodical attack, attached to the 11th overall offensive efficiency makes the Spartans a favorite to win the Big 10 tournament and perhaps make noise in the big dance. Thier opponent Wisconsin plays a similar style of ball, and they know this game will be a physical, hard-fought contest. Working to the Badgers advantage is the fact they have been battle tested the entire year having played the 20th overall toughest strength of schedule. Like their foes Michigan State, the pace the Badgers play at is among the lowest in the nation at 63.2, ranking them 347th in the nation. By the way these two teams have been playing all year, and the ability of Wisconsin to match up with some of the tougher teams they've faced, I see this game going under the total of 132.

Under 132

UFC 222

Cris Cyborg vs. Yana Kunitskaya

Cris Cyborg -1600    Over/Under 1.5

We know what Cyborg brings to the table, the question is more of what her opponent can do to stop her. Holly Holm is a southpaw, and that stopped Cyborg from establishing her jab, something she thrived on in her previous fight vs. Tonya Evinger. Head movement will be vital and Im not sure how much of a beating Kunitskaya will be able to withstand. Yana is more of a counter striker and not a fighter who pushes forward. Cyborg has been patient her last couple of fights and that has resulted in her previous two matches going over and past the 2nd round. The opponents she faced were extremely tough and took a drubbing in those fights vs. the Brazilian. Im not sure Kunitskaya has the same toughness; look for Cyborg to end the fight early. I'll be on the square side for the Main Event of UFC 222.

Under 1.5 rounds.

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter


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Houston loses first game to Oakland

A's end losing streak against Astros with late homers

Lance McCullers Jr. went five innings of one-run ball Friday night. Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

After maintaining their stronghold against the A's in Thursday's home opener, the Astros had the chance to lock up the three-game series victory against Oakland with a win on Friday night. On the mound, Lance McCullers Jr. hoped to improve upon his first start against this same team, a five-inning one-run outing.

Instead, he would have the same outcome, once again lasting five innings while allowing one run, before a big tie-breaking home run late in the game would push Oakland out of their losing skid against the Astros.

Final Score: A's 6, Astros 2

Astros' Record: 6-2, tied for first in AL West

Winning Pitcher: Yusmeiro Petit (2-0)

Losing Pitcher: Bryan Abreu (1-1)

McCullers Jr. makes it through five

McCullers Jr. looked sharp through the first three innings, allowing just two baserunners, one on a second-inning single, then a walk in the third. Oakland did better against him the second time through their order in the fourth, with Jed Lowrie leading the inning off with a solo home run to put Oakland in front 1-0.

They went on to load the bases with one out on an error and two walks, but McCullers would strand them all. He returned for the fifth, a much cleaner inning where a caught stealing by Martin Maldonado would help him face just three batters. His final line: 5.0 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 3 BB, 6 K, 88 P.

Oakland gets homer-happy to even the series

McCullers Jr. would leave the game without being eligible for the winning or losing decision, as an RBI-groundout by Kyle Tucker in the fourth would have it tied 1-1. Bryan Abreu was the first out of Houston's bullpen, and he would attempt to eat up multiple innings. He had perfect innings in the sixth and seventh, retiring six A's in order to maintain the stalemate.

Abreu remained in the game in the top of the eighth, allowing a single before getting a strikeout, ending his run as Dusty Baker would bring in left-handed Blake Taylor. Taylor would give up a single against his first batter, then a loud go-ahead three-run home run to Matt Olson to push the A's back in front 4-1. They'd add two more insurance runs off of Joe Smith in the top of the ninth, getting a two-run home run by Mark Canha to extend the lead to 6-1.

Oakland's bullpen would hold on to the newly created lead, allowing just one run on a sac fly by Jose Altuve in the bottom of the ninth, finally ending their losing streak against Houston and setting up the rubber game on Saturday to be for the series victory.

Up Next: This series's finale will be a Saturday afternoon start, with first pitch scheduled for 3:05 PM. For the Astros, Jose Urquidy (0-0, 4.15 ERA) will look to get a win on the board, while Oakland will hand the ball to Frankie Montas (0-1, 23.63 ERA).

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