Gambling Guide

Weekend bookie busters: Some spot plays on NBA, NCAA and UFC

There is money to be made on Steph Curry and the Warriors this weekend. Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Here are a few spots, you can find value on this weekend:


Friday 3/2/2018 6:35 pm
Warriors at Hawks
Warriors -13  Over/Under 227

Golden State travels to Atlanta in hopes of sweeping their three-game road trip. The Warriors continue to dominate their opponents; the only problem so has their arch-rival Houston Rockets. Houston is on a 13-game win streak and keeping pace with them makes this road trip very business like. Out of the 11 games Atlanta has played this month, they have allowed teams to score 115+ points five times. This can be credited to their newfound fast play which they ran at the sixth fastest pace in February. The Hawks offensive efficiency ranked 26th during the time frame slightly worse than their season average. The Warriors have the top-rated offense and in the last month have averaged 117 points per game. Atlanta playing fast will play into the Warriors strengths allowing them to get out in the open court. Another stat we have to look at is the Turnover percentage of these teams, where they both ranked in the bottom five in the month of February. With the pace being fast and these teams playing somewhat careless as of late, look for a high scoring affair. After this game, Golden State will have three days off before hosting Brooklyn; expect them to go all out while putting a stamp on the road trip.

Warriors Team Total over 120

NCAA basketball

Friday 3/2/2018 11:00 am
Michigan State vs. Wisconsin
Michigan State -9.5         Over/Under 132

In a Big 10 Friday afternoon matchup, defense will be manifested by both schools. Just days ago, these teams squared off in a low scoring affair. Michigan State was able to survive after having 13 turnovers and only shooting 43% from the field. The Spartans carry the nations seventh ranked defense, and they are aggressive. Michigan State leans on its defense and ability to excel in slow tempo to grind out wins. Tom Izzo's group is ranked 218th in tempo per 40 minutes. A slow, methodical attack, attached to the 11th overall offensive efficiency makes the Spartans a favorite to win the Big 10 tournament and perhaps make noise in the big dance. Thier opponent Wisconsin plays a similar style of ball, and they know this game will be a physical, hard-fought contest. Working to the Badgers advantage is the fact they have been battle tested the entire year having played the 20th overall toughest strength of schedule. Like their foes Michigan State, the pace the Badgers play at is among the lowest in the nation at 63.2, ranking them 347th in the nation. By the way these two teams have been playing all year, and the ability of Wisconsin to match up with some of the tougher teams they've faced, I see this game going under the total of 132.

Under 132

UFC 222

Cris Cyborg vs. Yana Kunitskaya

Cris Cyborg -1600    Over/Under 1.5

We know what Cyborg brings to the table, the question is more of what her opponent can do to stop her. Holly Holm is a southpaw, and that stopped Cyborg from establishing her jab, something she thrived on in her previous fight vs. Tonya Evinger. Head movement will be vital and Im not sure how much of a beating Kunitskaya will be able to withstand. Yana is more of a counter striker and not a fighter who pushes forward. Cyborg has been patient her last couple of fights and that has resulted in her previous two matches going over and past the 2nd round. The opponents she faced were extremely tough and took a drubbing in those fights vs. the Brazilian. Im not sure Kunitskaya has the same toughness; look for Cyborg to end the fight early. I'll be on the square side for the Main Event of UFC 222.

Under 1.5 rounds.

For any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter


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Another win for the Coogs! Photo by Getty Images.

The Cougars were supposed to play a game in Tampa against The University of South Florida on Jan. 14th, but this contest was postponed due to positive COVID-19 tests and contact tracing within the USF program. Houston was able to take advantage of the extra time off to rest their players and prepare for their next game against UCF.

Their previous game against the Knights in Orlando on December 26th was a close matchup which saw UCF and the Cougars tied at halftime. The second half was a back-and-fourth contest between the two teams, but Houston was able to come away with a nine point victory.

This game however was nowhere near as close and their previous meeting.

Houston immediately got off to a 12-0 start thanks to four straight 3-pointers from DeJon Jarreau (2x), Marcus Sasser & Quentin Grimes.

The Cougars continued to surge past the knights and at one point led 38-9 with 3:43 left to go in the contest.

Houston led 45-19 at halftime, their largest first half lead of the season.

The Cougars were able to maintain their commanding lead with both efficient scoring early on and elite level defense. Houston forced UCF to commit 20 turnovers that resulted in 22 points for the Cougars.

The Cougars won most of their games this season with commanding defense, dominating the boards and superior guard play. All three boxes were checked as Houston was able to secure a 75-58 victory.

UCF did outscore Houston in the second half 39-30, but the Cougars' lead proved to be an insurmountable obstacle to overcome for the Knights. Essentially, Houston was on cruse control the second half of the game and never saw their lead drop below double digits.

Grimes scored in double figures for his 11th straight game after opening the season with eight points against Lamar. Senior forward Justin Gorham scored a season high 15 points as well.

Houston has now won its fourth straight game since its loss to Tulsa and now remain in sole position of 1st place in the AAC.

The Cougars moved up from No.11 to the 8th ranked team in the country as multiple top-ranked teams suffered losses over the week.

Kelvin Sampson passed former Houston coach Tom Penders as he earned his 650th career win. This also moves him into sole possession of 41st place on the NCAA wins list. He is also the second winningest coach in Houston Cougars Men's Basketball history behind only the great Guy Lewis.

UP NEXT: Houston looks to exact revenge against the only team to defeat them this season as they host Tulsa at the Fertitta Center on Wednesday at 7pm.

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