Gambling Guide

March for the Cash: Off to a HOT start, plus plays for every game Friday

The gambling guide is off to a hot start. Getty Images

4-1-1 Thursday 3/15

Rhode Island -2 WIN
San Diego State +4  WIN
Kentucky-5 PUSH
Loyola Chicago +1.5 WIN
Florida -4 WIN
NC State +3 LOSS

Including the play in games:
Favorites are 15-5 straight up
Favorites are 12-8 ATS
Unders have dominated going 14-6

Day 1 is in the books, and we got what we expected, THRILLERS! One, thing we must take note of is how sharp the lines were on the first day of games. 8 out of the first 12 games ended within 3 points of the line.

- Down goes No 4 seed Arizona. Listed as an 8.5 point favorite, the Wildcats were blown out by Buffalo. Many fans kissed their brackets goodbye.

- The Houston Cougars won a thriller of a game behind Rob Gray's 39-point performance. None more important than the layup with 1 second left for the Game-winner! One stat that does stick out is Gray had 0 assists, something that must change if they want to advance to the sweet 16. Cougars only had 5 assists the whole game.

- Villanova is SCARY! The Wildcats offense is ranked No 1 in efficiency, as we can see why. They shot lights out hitting 59.6% percent from the field while hitting 14 three-pointers (51.9).

- The Big Ten tournament starting a week early hurt the Wolverines. Michigan started the game ice cold and looked out of sorts. They finally were able to overcome the slow start (10-0) and covered the -10.5 spread.

Here are my predictions for every game (official plays at the bottom)

Kansas State +1     O/U 144
Creighton
Kansas St +1

Providence +2     O/U 138
Texas A&M
Texas A&M -2

Lipscomb +20       O/U 163
North Carolina
Over 163

Butler                     O/U 151.5
Arkansas  +1.5
Butler-1.5

CS Fullerton +20.5    O/U 146.5
Purdue
1st Half Under 68.5

Syracuse +4            O/U 136.5
TCU
Under 136.5

Bucknell +14.5    O/U 148
Michigan State
Over 148

Texas                   O/U 143
Nevada +1    
Texas -1

Georgia State+14    O/U 129.5
Cincinnati
Under 129.5

Texas Southern +19.5     O/U 160
Xavier
Xavier -19.5

Florida State           O/U 147
Missouri +1.5
Missouri +1.5


Murray State +10.5      O/U 145.5
West Virginia
Under 145.5

Marshall   +12    O/U 165
Wichita State
Over 165

New Mexico State +5.5    O/U 133
Clemson
New Mexico St +5.5       

College of Charleston   +9 O/U 148
Auburn
Auburn -9

Official Plays
New Mexico St +5.5
Texas A&M -2
Butler-1.5
Cincinnati Under 129.5



Any questions or comments reach me at @JerryBoKnowz on twitter
 

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PROBABLE STARTERS

Thurs, Sept. 24 - HOU: Cristian Javier (4-2, 3.33) vs. TEX: Lance Lynn (6-2, 2.53)

Fri, Sept. 25 - HOU: Jose Urquidy (1-1, 2.78) vs. TEX: Kyle Cody (1-1, 1.53)

Sat, Sept. 26 - HOU: TBD vs. TEX: Kyle Gibson (2-6, 5.87)

Sun, Sept. 27 - HOU: TBD vs. TEX: Jordan Lyles (1-5, 7.07)

STORYLINES

Season finale - The Astros will wrap up their regular season with their four game set in Arlington at the new Globe Life Field. Houston's magic number rests at two, as the Angels still have a puncher's chance. With Houston's miserable 8-20 road record, the postseason is anything but clinched.

Where's the offense? - The Astros offense has left a lot to be desired over the last few weeks, scoring more than three runs just twice in their last ten games. The bats really need to get going, especially if the team expects to do anything in the playoffs. George Springer has been the only reliable bat of late, with the performances of Carlos Correa, Yuli Gurriel, Alex Bregman, and, most of all, Jose Altuve, leaving a lot to be desired.

Playoff seeding - If the playoffs started today, the Astros would face off with their division rivals in Oakland. There's an infinite number of possibilities over the next four games, but the Astros can see themselves finish anywhere from the fifth seed to out of the playoffs entirely. Any of Tampa Bay, Minnesota, Oakland, Chicago, New York, and Cleveland could be first round foes depending on how the cards fall.

PREDICTION

Lance Lynn has been one of the better pitchers in the game for a few years now, Kyle Cody is an intriguing young arm with good stuff, and Jordan Lyles and Kyle Gibson gave the Astros fits in Houston just last week. It isn't a recipe for success for Houston. The Astros win 1 of 4, which combined with the Angels and Mariners failing to take care of business, is enough to get Houston into the playoffs.

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